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Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK Prediction, H2H & Stats

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 1
Qarabag

Qarabag

3rd in table
WWDDD
Full time
3:1
HT 1 - 1
Şamaxı FK

Şamaxı FK

7th in table
DWLWL
21' F. Marques
28' R. Cephas
43' E. Adilkhanov
45+3' Ricardo Fernandes
59' R. Apolinario (Own Goal)
72' R. F. Pereira Pacheco
79' A. Moumini
85' O. Kashchuk
Monday, 17 August 2026
Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku
R. Hamzazade

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
6Qarabag wins
2Draws
1Şamaxı FK wins
2.2Goals per game
44%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
11 Apr 2026Premyer Liqa Şamaxı FK 0 - 0 Qarabag
04 Mar 2026Cup Qarabag 3 - 1 Şamaxı FK
10 Feb 2026Premyer Liqa Şamaxı FK 1 - 2 Qarabag
05 Feb 2026Cup Şamaxı FK 2 - 1 Qarabag
26 Oct 2025Premyer Liqa Qarabag 0 - 0 Şamaxı FK
24 May 2025Premyer Liqa Şamaxı FK 0 - 1 Qarabag
17 Jan 2025Premyer Liqa Qarabag 3 - 2 Şamaxı FK
19 Dec 2024Premyer Liqa Şamaxı FK 0 - 1 Qarabag
27 Oct 2024Premyer Liqa Qarabag 3 - 0 Şamaxı FK

Premyer Liqa table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Neftchi Baku 10631 25:11 +14 21 WDDDW
2 Sabah FA 9621 20:4 +16 20 LDWDW
3 Qarabag 9540 14:7 +7 19 DDDWW
4 Turan 10532 11:8 +3 18 WDLWW
5 Kapaz 9522 10:9 +1 17 WWDWD
6 Zira 10442 14:14 0 16 DWDDL
7 Şamaxı FK 10343 15:14 +1 13 LLWDW
8 Imisli FK 10316 9:15 -6 10 LWWLL
9 Sumqayıt 9234 13:14 -1 9 DLWWD
10 Qabala 10226 5:16 -11 8 DWLLL
11 Safa Baku 10118 6:18 -12 4 DLLLL
12 Araz 10037 9:21 -12 3 DLLLL

Top scorers

Premyer Liqa
1 Oumar DiawSafa Baku 0goals 0assists 2apps

Recent form

5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Qabala 0 - 0 Qarabag D
25 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Sabah FA 0 - 0 Qarabag D
17 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Qarabag 3 - 3 Neftchi Baku D
11 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Imisli FK 0 - 2 Qarabag W
18 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Qarabag 1 - 0 Safa Baku W
13 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Zira 1 - 1 Qarabag D
06 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Qarabag 3 - 2 Araz W
31 Aug 2026Premyer Liqa Sumqayıt 0 - 1 Qarabag W
27 Aug 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Qarabag 1 - 4 Twente L
20 Aug 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Twente 0 - 1 Qarabag W
4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Premyer Liqa Şamaxı FK 2 - 3 Neftchi Baku L
28 Oct 2026Cup Hypers Guba 1 - 5 Şamaxı FK W
25 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Imisli FK 2 - 1 Şamaxı FK L
16 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Şamaxı FK 3 - 2 Safa Baku W
10 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Zira 1 - 1 Şamaxı FK D
20 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Şamaxı FK 2 - 1 Araz W
12 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Sumqayıt 1 - 1 Şamaxı FK D
04 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Kapaz 1 - 4 Şamaxı FK W
29 Aug 2026Premyer Liqa Qabala 0 - 0 Şamaxı FK D
23 Aug 2026Premyer Liqa Turan 0 - 0 Şamaxı FK D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Qarabag Draw Şamaxı FK

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.5%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Qarabag · 1.1 Şamaxı FK

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
62%
Head to head
38%
60%
Goals
40%
61%
Overall
39%

Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK: preview and prediction

Qarabag host Şamaxı FK in the Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa (Regular Season - 1) on Monday, 17th August 2026 at 16:30 at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku. Qarabag sit 3rd in the table and Şamaxı FK 7th.

Qarabag are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-D-D). Şamaxı FK have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-L-W-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Qarabag won 6, Şamaxı FK won 1 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Qarabag and 1.1 for Şamaxı FK. It gives Qarabag the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win. We also like Home Wins Either Half.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK FAQs

What is the best prediction for Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Home Win.

Who will win Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK?

Qarabag are favourites: our model gives Qarabag 44%, the draw 27% and Şamaxı FK 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Qarabag vs Şamaxı FK?

Kick-off is on Monday, 17th August 2026 at 16:30 at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku.

Who is the referee?

R. Hamzazade is in charge of this game.