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Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Europa League · 2nd Qualifying Round
Qarabag

Qarabag

WWDDD
Full time
0:0
HT 0 - 0
CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia

LWDWD
35' Leandro Godoy
37' Marko Janković
77' Facundo Rodríguez
Thursday, 23 July 2026
Azərsun Arena, Baku
Daniele Chiffi, Italy

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
2Qarabag wins
0Draws
0CSKA Sofia wins
1Goals per game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
04 Jul 2023Friendlies Clubs CSKA Sofia 0 - 1 Qarabag
07 Jul 2021Friendlies Clubs CSKA Sofia 0 - 1 Qarabag

UEFA Europa League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Benfica 3300 10:2 +8 9 WWW
2 Bayer Leverkusen 3300 8:0 +8 9 WWW
3 Bournemouth 3300 8:1 +7 9 WWW
4 Ferencvarosi TC 3300 9:3 +6 9 WWW
5 Olympiakos Piraeus 3300 4:1 +3 9 WWW
6 Union St. Gilloise 3210 8:1 +7 7 WDW
7 Juventus 3210 9:3 +6 7 DWW
8 Beşiktaş 3210 9:5 +4 7 DWW
9 Sunderland 3210 4:2 +2 7 DWW
10 AZ Alkmaar 3201 6:2 +4 6 WWL
11 Omonia Nicosia 3201 5:4 +1 6 LWW
12 Lyon 3201 5:6 -1 6 LWW
13 Rennes 3120 4:3 +1 5 DWD
14 Real Sociedad 3111 8:3 +5 4 WDL
15 Crystal Palace 3111 8:5 +3 4 DLW
16 Sparta Praha 3111 5:3 +2 4 LDW
17 Levski Sofia 3111 3:3 0 4 WDL
18 Dinamo Zagreb 3111 3:4 -1 4 LWD
19 Sturm Graz 3111 1:3 -2 4 WLD
20 NEC Nijmegen 3111 5:8 -3 4 WDL
21 Red Bull Salzburg 3111 3:6 -3 4 DLW
22 Anderlecht 3102 4:3 +1 3 WLL
23 1899 Hoffenheim 3102 5:5 0 3 WLL
24 AC Milan 3102 4:5 -1 3 LWL
25 Celta Vigo 3102 3:4 -1 3 WLL
26 OFI 3102 3:4 -1 3 LLW
27 Jagiellonia 3102 4:6 -2 3 LWL
28 Torreense 3102 4:7 -3 3 LLW
29 Celje 3012 2:7 -5 1 DLL
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva 3012 1:6 -5 1 LLD
31 Lillestrom 3012 2:9 -7 1 LDL
32 Lech Poznan 3012 1:9 -8 1 DLL
33 Plzen 3003 2:7 -5 0 LLL
34 Marseille 3003 1:6 -5 0 LLL
35 Celtic 3003 3:9 -6 0 LLL
36 Ararat-Armenia 3003 2:11 -9 0 LLL

Top scorers

UEFA Europa League
1 L. DionyOmonia Nicosia 4goals 0assists 7apps
2 A. CissèAC Milan 3goals 0assists 3apps
3 Yeremy PinoCrystal Palace 3goals 0assists 3apps
4 Sergio GómezReal Sociedad 3goals 0assists 3apps
5 K. ZachariassenFerencvarosi TC 3goals 2assists 11apps
6 D. BeljoDinamo Zagreb 3goals 0assists 2apps
7 N. WoltemadeJuventus 3goals 1assists 3apps
8 B. YusufFerencvarosi TC 2goals 2assists 11apps
9 Oh Hyeon-GyuBeşiktaş 2goals 1assists 9apps
10 L. JosephFerencvarosi TC 2goals 1assists 9apps

Recent form

5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Qabala 0 - 0 Qarabag D
25 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Sabah FA 0 - 0 Qarabag D
17 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Qarabag 3 - 3 Neftchi Baku D
11 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Imisli FK 0 - 2 Qarabag W
18 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Qarabag 1 - 0 Safa Baku W
13 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Zira 1 - 1 Qarabag D
06 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Qarabag 3 - 2 Araz W
31 Aug 2026Premyer Liqa Sumqayıt 0 - 1 Qarabag W
27 Aug 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Qarabag 1 - 4 Twente L
20 Aug 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Twente 0 - 1 Qarabag W
6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026First League CSKA Sofia 0 - 0 Slavia Sofia D
26 Oct 2026First League CSKA Sofia 2 - 0 Ludogorets W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League FC Nordsjaelland 2 - 2 CSKA Sofia D
18 Oct 2026Cup Nesebar 0 - 2 CSKA Sofia W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League CSKA Sofia 1 - 2 Monaco L
11 Oct 2026First League CSKA 1948 2 - 3 CSKA Sofia W
20 Sep 2026First League Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 1 CSKA Sofia D
16 Sep 2026First League Lokomotiv Sofia 0 - 2 CSKA Sofia W
12 Sep 2026First League CSKA Sofia 4 - 1 Arda Kardzhali W
09 Sep 2026Super Cup Levski Sofia 2 - 4 CSKA Sofia W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Qarabag Draw CSKA Sofia
Value spotted: CSKA Sofia win at 5.69 (model 40% vs market 16%)

Most likely scores

1-1 7.3%
1-2 7.3%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 7.3%
1-3 4.9%
2-3 4.9%

Expected goals: 2 Qarabag · 2 CSKA Sofia

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals56%
Both teams score75%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
55%
Attack
45%
100%
Defence
0%
100%
Goal model
0%
88%
Head to head
13%
100%
Goals
0%
64%
Overall
36%

Season numbers

UEFA Europa League 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
Qarabag CSKA Sofia

Side by side

Qarabag CSKA Sofia
2 Played 2
2 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
3 Goals scored per game 2.5
0 Goals conceded per game 1.5
3 / 3 Scored per game (home / away) 3 / 2
2 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 2
3-0 Biggest win 3-2
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia: preview and prediction

Qarabag host CSKA Sofia in the World UEFA Europa League (2nd Qualifying Round) on Thursday, 23rd July 2026 at 17:00 at Azərsun Arena, Baku.

Qarabag are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-D-D). CSKA Sofia have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-D-W-D).

In the last 2 meetings, Qarabag won 2, CSKA Sofia won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 1 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Qarabag and 2 for CSKA Sofia. It gives Qarabag the edge (40% home win, 21% draw, 40% away win), 76% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win. We also like BTTS Yes, Draw No Bet: Home, Home Wins Either Half.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia FAQs

What is the best prediction for Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Home Win.

Who will win Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia?

It looks very close: our model gives Qarabag 40%, the draw 21% and CSKA Sofia 40%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 75% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4 goals in total, with a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 23rd July 2026 at 17:00 at Azərsun Arena, Baku.

Who is the referee?

Daniele Chiffi, Italy is in charge of this game.