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Qabala vs Qarabag Prediction, H2H & Stats

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 31
Qabala

Qabala

11th in table
LLWWD
Full time
1:1
HT 0 - 1
Qarabag

Qarabag

2nd in table
WWDDD
29' Kady Borges
50' C. Duran
57' I. Akinade
78' E. Ahmadov
82' N. Rashidov
86' I. Akinade
Saturday, 9 May 2026
Şəhər stadionu, Gabala
I. Mammadov

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
0Qabala wins
1Draws
7Qarabag wins
3Goals per game
38%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
21 Dec 2025Premyer Liqa Qabala 1 - 2 Qarabag
26 Sep 2025Premyer Liqa Qarabag 2 - 0 Qabala
04 Dec 2024Cup Qabala 0 - 2 Qarabag
20 Apr 2024Premyer Liqa Qarabag 2 - 2 Qabala
28 Feb 2024Premyer Liqa Qabala 0 - 4 Qarabag
04 Dec 2023Premyer Liqa Qarabag 3 - 0 Qabala
25 Sep 2023Premyer Liqa Qabala 1 - 2 Qarabag
08 May 2023Premyer Liqa Qarabag 3 - 0 Qabala

Premyer Liqa table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sabah FA 332463 75:25 +50 78 WLLWW
2 Qarabag 332166 71:27 +44 69 WWDWL
3 Turan 331788 44:27 +17 59 LLWLD
4 Neftchi Baku 3316116 57:32 +25 59 WWWWW
5 Zira 3313146 43:36 +7 53 LWDWD
6 Araz 3313713 44:58 -14 46 WWLLD
7 Sumqayıt 3312516 45:49 -4 41 LLWLW
8 Şamaxı FK 3391113 31:40 -9 38 LWLLW
9 Imisli FK 3371313 23:43 -20 34 DLDWL
10 Kapaz 338322 25:61 -36 27 LLWWL
11 Qabala 337620 32:49 -17 27 WWWDL
12 Karvan 333624 23:66 -43 15 DLLLL

Top scorers

Premyer Liqa
1 JôTuran 10goals 0assists 30apps
2 C. DuránQarabag 9goals 0assists 30apps
3 V. SimićSabah FA 9goals 0assists 17apps
4 I. FarajNeftchi Baku 7goals 0assists 31apps
5 R. AlmeydaQarabag 7goals 0assists 30apps
6 V. AboubakarNeftchi Baku 7goals 0assists 16apps
7 Patrick AndradeAraz 4goals 0assists 30apps
8 Diogo Dos SantosImisli FK 4goals 0assists 16apps
9 Diogo AlmeidaImisli FK 4goals 0assists 16apps
10 H. KeytaAraz 3goals 0assists 28apps

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Qabala 0 - 0 Qarabag D
27 Oct 2026Cup Qabala 3 - 0 Mingəçevir W
23 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Araz 1 - 2 Qabala W
17 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Qabala 0 - 4 Sabah FA L
10 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Sumqayıt 4 - 1 Qabala L
18 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Qabala 0 - 3 Neftchi Baku L
12 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Kapaz 1 - 0 Qabala L
04 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Qabala 2 - 1 Imisli FK W
29 Aug 2026Premyer Liqa Qabala 0 - 0 Şamaxı FK D
22 Aug 2026Premyer Liqa Qabala 0 - 1 Safa Baku L
5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Qabala 0 - 0 Qarabag D
25 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Sabah FA 0 - 0 Qarabag D
17 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Qarabag 3 - 3 Neftchi Baku D
11 Oct 2026Premyer Liqa Imisli FK 0 - 2 Qarabag W
18 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Qarabag 1 - 0 Safa Baku W
13 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Zira 1 - 1 Qarabag D
06 Sep 2026Premyer Liqa Qarabag 3 - 2 Araz W
31 Aug 2026Premyer Liqa Sumqayıt 0 - 1 Qarabag W
27 Aug 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Qarabag 1 - 4 Twente L
20 Aug 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Twente 0 - 1 Qarabag W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Qabala Draw Qarabag
Value spotted: Qabala win at 7.95 (model 18% vs market 11%)

Most likely scores

0-1 11.8%
0-2 10.9%
1-1 10.6%
1-2 9.8%
0-3 6.7%
0-0 6.4%

Expected goals: 0.9 Qabala · 1.85 Qarabag

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
36%
Form
64%
27%
Attack
73%
56%
Defence
44%
21%
Goal model
79%
7%
Head to head
93%
20%
Goals
80%
27%
Overall
72%

Season numbers

Premyer Liqa 2025

When the goals come

3
0-15'
5
4
16-30'
6
5
31-45'
13
6
46-60'
9
2
61-75'
10
6
76-90'
17
6
0-15'
4
9
16-30'
2
8
31-45'
7
8
46-60'
5
5
61-75'
2
10
76-90'
6
Qabala Qarabag

Side by side

Qabala Qarabag
30 Played 30
5 Won 19
5 Drawn 5
20 Lost 6
0.9 Goals scored per game 2.1
1.5 Goals conceded per game 0.8
0.9 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 2.1 / 2.1
4 Clean sheets 13
15 Failed to score 6
2 Longest winning run 4
3-0 Biggest win 7-0
0-3 Biggest defeat 0-2
2/2 Penalties scored 8/8

Qabala vs Qarabag: preview and prediction

Qabala host Qarabag in the Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa (Regular Season - 31) on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 14:00 at Şəhər stadionu, Gabala. Qabala sit 11th in the table and Qarabag 2nd.

Qabala have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-W-D). Qarabag are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-D-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Qabala won 0, Qarabag won 7 and 1 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% and over 2.5 goals in 75%.

Our goal model expects about 0.9 goals for Qabala and 1.85 for Qarabag. It gives Qarabag the edge (18% home win, 22% draw, 60% away win), 52% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 1.36.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Qabala vs Qarabag FAQs

What is the best prediction for Qabala vs Qarabag?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (1.36 odds).

Who will win Qabala vs Qarabag?

Qarabag are favourites: our model gives Qabala 18%, the draw 22% and Qarabag 60%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 38% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Qabala vs Qarabag?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 9th May 2026 at 14:00 at Şəhər stadionu, Gabala.

Who is the referee?

I. Mammadov is in charge of this game.