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Progreso vs Cerro Prediction, H2H & Stats

Uruguay: Primera División · Clausura - 6
Progreso

Progreso

15th in table
LDWWL
Full time
1:3
HT 0 - 2
Cerro

Cerro

14th in table
LWDLL
7' A. Cambon
14' A. Cambon
35' Agustín Ocampo
37' Alejo Macelli
50' Ramiro Cristobal
69' Damián Suárez
74' M. Juambeltz
79' Francisco Bregante
88' J. Amaro
Sunday, 13 September 2026
Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
G. Tejera

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Progreso wins
3Draws
2Cerro wins
1.8Goals per game
33%Both scored
22%Over 2.5
14 Mar 2026Primera División Cerro 0 - 1 Progreso
05 Oct 2025Primera División - Clausura Progreso 2 - 0 Cerro
06 Apr 2025Primera División - Apertura Cerro 0 - 0 Progreso
14 Sep 2024Primera División - Clausura Progreso 0 - 1 Cerro
01 Mar 2024Primera División - Apertura Cerro 2 - 3 Progreso
10 Sep 2022Segunda División Cerro 1 - 1 Progreso
18 Jun 2022Segunda División Progreso 0 - 0 Cerro
25 Mar 2022Segunda División Progreso 2 - 1 Cerro
07 Feb 2021Primera División - Clausura Cerro 2 - 0 Progreso

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Penarol 351997 52:28 +24 65 DDLDW
2 Deportivo Maldonado 351898 54:32 +22 63 DWLDW
3 Atletico Torque 3519610 59:41 +18 63 WWLWL
4 Club Nacional 3519412 53:42 +11 61 WLWWW
5 Racing Montevideo 3516127 45:31 +14 60 WDWLL
6 Liverpool Montevideo 3516118 47:31 +16 59 WWWDW
7 Wanderers 3514912 42:44 -2 51 DLLLW
8 Albion FC 3513814 47:44 +3 47 DWWWW
9 Juventud 35101114 37:43 -6 41 LDLWD
10 Central Espanol 3511816 35:48 -13 41 WLLLL
11 Defensor Sporting 3591214 35:43 -8 39 WDLLL
12 Cerro Largo 3591016 33:41 -8 37 LWDLL
13 Boston River 3510718 34:47 -13 37 LLWWD
14 Cerro 3510718 29:53 -24 37 LLDWL
15 Progreso 3510520 31:49 -18 35 LWWDL
16 Danubio 3561415 29:45 -16 32 LLWLW

Top scorers

Primera División
1 J. UrretaviscayaWanderers 1goals 0assists 7apps
2 M. GoicoecheaDanubio 0goals 0assists 11apps
3 A. MehringProgreso 0goals 0assists 11apps
4 E. VelázquezDanubio 0goals 0assists 10apps
5 G. VieraCerro Largo 0goals 0assists 9apps
6 I. RossiDanubio 0goals 0assists 9apps
7 S. CoatesClub Nacional 0goals 0assists 6apps
8 Juan PerezRacing Montevideo 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Primera División Progreso 0 - 2 Defensor Sporting L
25 Oct 2026Primera División Wanderers 0 - 1 Progreso W
17 Oct 2026Primera División Progreso 2 - 0 Juventud W
10 Oct 2026Primera División Penarol 1 - 1 Progreso D
03 Oct 2026Primera División Liverpool Montevideo 3 - 2 Progreso L
26 Sep 2026Primera División Progreso 2 - 1 Racing Montevideo W
19 Sep 2026Primera División Boston River 1 - 2 Progreso W
16 Sep 2026Copa Uruguay Progreso 0 - 1 Club Nacional L
13 Sep 2026Primera División Progreso 1 - 3 Cerro L
07 Sep 2026Primera División Albion FC 0 - 1 Progreso W
2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Primera División Cerro 1 - 2 Central Espanol L
25 Oct 2026Primera División Atletico Torque 3 - 1 Cerro L
16 Oct 2026Primera División Cerro 1 - 1 Cerro Largo D
10 Oct 2026Primera División Defensor Sporting 2 - 3 Cerro W
04 Oct 2026Primera División Cerro 0 - 2 Wanderers L
27 Sep 2026Primera División Juventud 0 - 0 Cerro D
23 Sep 2026Copa Uruguay Cerro 1 - 2 Deportivo Maldonado L
19 Sep 2026Primera División Cerro 1 - 2 Penarol L
13 Sep 2026Primera División Progreso 1 - 3 Cerro W
10 Sep 2026Copa Uruguay Cerro 0 - 2 Cerrito L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Progreso Draw Cerro
Value spotted: Progreso win at 2.32 (model 49% vs market 39%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.1%
1-0 11.5%
2-1 9.4%
2-0 8.9%
0-1 7.8%
0-0 7.4%

Expected goals: 1.55 Progreso · 1.05 Cerro

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams score51%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
38%
Form
63%
29%
Attack
71%
60%
Defence
40%
61%
Goal model
39%
71%
Head to head
29%
67%
Goals
33%
54%
Overall
45%

Season numbers

Primera División 2026

When the goals come

5
0-15'
4
2
16-30'
4
3
31-45'
3
2
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
7
76-90'
6
4
0-15'
3
8
16-30'
4
8
31-45'
10
5
46-60'
3
6
61-75'
5
7
76-90'
16
Progreso Cerro

Side by side

Progreso Cerro
27 Played 27
6 Won 8
4 Drawn 5
17 Lost 14
0.7 Goals scored per game 0.7
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.5
0.8 / 0.6 Scored per game (home / away) 0.8 / 0.6
4 Clean sheets 6
13 Failed to score 10
1 Longest winning run 2
2-1 Biggest win 2-1
0-3 Biggest defeat 0-1
3/3 Penalties scored 1/1

Progreso vs Cerro: preview and prediction

Progreso host Cerro in the Uruguay Primera División (Clausura - 6) on Sunday, 13th September 2026 at 14:00 at Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo. Progreso sit 15th in the table and Cerro 14th.

Progreso have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-W-L). Cerro are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-D-L-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Progreso won 4, Cerro won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 1.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 22%.

Our goal model expects about 1.55 goals for Progreso and 1.05 for Cerro. It gives Progreso the edge (49% home win, 25% draw, 26% away win), 48% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.30. We also like Under 2.5, BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Progreso vs Cerro FAQs

What is the best prediction for Progreso vs Cerro?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.30 odds).

Who will win Progreso vs Cerro?

Progreso are favourites: our model gives Progreso 49%, the draw 25% and Cerro 26%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 51% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.6 goals in total, with a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Progreso vs Cerro?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 13th September 2026 at 14:00 at Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo.

Who is the referee?

G. Tejera is in charge of this game.