Primavera MG vs Nova Mutum EC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Brazil: Matogrossense
· Regular Season - 4 Head to head
Last 4 meetings
5 - 1
Nova Mutum EC
1 - 0
Primavera MG
1 - 4
Primavera MG
1 - 0
Primavera MG
Matogrossense table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Luverdense |
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7:3 | +4 | 17 |
| 2 |  Mixto |
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:4 | +9 | 15 |
| 3 |  CEOV Operário |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 4 |  Sport Sinop |
9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6:4 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 |  Cuiaba |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Nova Mutum EC |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Chapada |
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 |  União Rondonópolis |
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Primavera MG |
9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Operário MT |
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:14 | -9 | 5 |
Top scorers
Matogrossense
Fraga FilipeMixto
1goals
Recent form
1 - 2
Brasiliense
L
1 - 1
Primavera MG
D
4 - 0
Primavera MG
L
1 - 0
Luverdense
W
0 - 2
Primavera MG
W
2 - 0
Inhumas
W
0 - 0
Rio Branco ES
D
1 - 1
Primavera MG
D
0 - 1
Gama
L
4 - 1
Primavera MG
L
3 - 2
Nova Mutum EC
L
2 - 1
Mixto
W
1 - 3
Nova Mutum EC
W
2 - 1
Nova Mutum EC
L
3 - 2
Chapada
W
3 - 1
Nova Mutum EC
L
2 - 2
Nova Mutum EC
D
0 - 0
Luverdense
D
3 - 0
Nova Mutum EC
L
1 - 1
Sport Sinop
D
Who wins? Three ways to read it
1 · X · 2Most likely scores
Expected goals: 1.4 Primavera MG · 0.3 Nova Mutum EC
Goal lines
Team comparison
Season numbers
Matogrossense 2026Side by side
Primavera MG
Nova Mutum EC
Primavera MG vs Nova Mutum EC: preview and prediction
Primavera MG host Nova Mutum EC in the Brazil Matogrossense (Regular Season - 4) on Friday, 23rd January 2026 at 00:00 at Primavera do Leste. Primavera MG sit 9th in the table and Nova Mutum EC 6th.
Primavera MG have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-D-L). Nova Mutum EC are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-L).
In the last 4 meetings, Primavera MG won 2, Nova Mutum EC won 2 and 0 ended level. These games average 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.
Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Primavera MG and 0.3 for Nova Mutum EC. It gives Primavera MG the edge (65% home win, 27% draw, 8% away win), 24% for over 2.5 goals and 20% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.
Our pick was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.41. We also like BTTS No.
Primavera MG vs Nova Mutum EC FAQs
What is the best prediction for Primavera MG vs Nova Mutum EC?
Our top tip is Free Tip: Under 2.5 (1.41 odds).
Who will win Primavera MG vs Nova Mutum EC?
Primavera MG are favourites: our model gives Primavera MG 65%, the draw 27% and Nova Mutum EC 8%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams scoring has a 20% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.
How many goals are expected?
Our model expects 1.7 goals in total, with a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals.
When is Primavera MG vs Nova Mutum EC?
Kick-off is on Friday, 23rd January 2026 at 00:00 at Primavera do Leste.