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Portadown vs Larne Prediction, H2H & Stats

Northern-Ireland: Premiership · Regular Season - 6
Portadown

Portadown

12th in table
DWLLL
Full time
0:2
HT 0 - 1
Larne

Larne

3rd in table
LLWDW
8' T. Cosgrove
18' L. MacKinnon
28' K. O'Hara
56' S. Graham
Saturday, 12 September 2026
Shamrock Park, Portadown
M. McKenna

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3Portadown wins
1Draws
4Larne wins
3Goals per game
38%Both scored
63%Over 2.5
14 Feb 2026Premiership Portadown 2 - 1 Larne
07 Nov 2025Premiership Larne 3 - 0 Portadown
22 Aug 2025Premiership Larne 4 - 0 Portadown
15 Feb 2025Premiership Portadown 2 - 0 Larne
01 Feb 2025Premiership Larne 1 - 1 Portadown
27 Oct 2024Premiership Portadown 2 - 1 Larne
24 Jan 2023Premiership Larne 2 - 0 Portadown
12 Nov 2022Premiership Portadown 0 - 5 Larne

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Coleraine FC 141121 32:13 +19 35 DWWWW
2 Linfield 141031 21:11 +10 33 DWWDW
3 Larne 12822 22:10 +12 26 WDWLL
4 Glentoran 13634 17:11 +6 21 DWDWW
5 Cliftonville FC 14608 23:17 +6 18 WWLLL
6 Carrick Rangers 14536 23:27 -4 18 LDDWW
7 Crusaders FC 14608 20:29 -9 18 WLLLL
8 Ballymena United 12435 17:16 +1 15 LWLWW
9 Dungannon Swifts 13436 13:18 -5 15 DLDLL
10 Limavady United 14428 14:23 -9 14 LDDLW
11 Bangor 14239 12:26 -14 9 WLDLL
12 Portadown 142210 11:24 -13 8 LLWDW

Recent form

2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Premiership Larne 1 - 0 Portadown L
23 Oct 2026Premiership Portadown 1 - 2 Linfield L
20 Oct 2026League Cup Portadown 0 - 2 Cliftonville FC L
17 Oct 2026Premiership Cliftonville FC 1 - 2 Portadown W
09 Oct 2026Premiership Portadown 0 - 0 Glentoran D
03 Oct 2026Premiership Portadown 3 - 1 Limavady United W
26 Sep 2026Premiership Ballymena United 2 - 0 Portadown L
19 Sep 2026Premiership Bangor 3 - 1 Portadown L
15 Sep 2026Premiership Portadown 1 - 1 Linfield D
12 Sep 2026Premiership Portadown 0 - 2 Larne L
7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Premiership Larne 1 - 0 Portadown W
27 Oct 2026Premiership Larne 1 - 1 Limavady United D
24 Oct 2026Premiership Bangor 1 - 2 Larne W
20 Oct 2026Premiership Larne 1 - 2 Linfield L
16 Oct 2026Premiership Larne 2 - 3 Coleraine FC L
10 Oct 2026Premiership Crusaders FC 0 - 3 Larne W
19 Sep 2026Premiership Carrick Rangers 2 - 5 Larne W
15 Sep 2026Premiership Larne 2 - 0 Cliftonville FC W
12 Sep 2026Premiership Portadown 0 - 2 Larne W
08 Sep 2026Premiership Larne 1 - 0 Bangor W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Portadown Draw Larne
Value spotted: Draw at 4.65 (model 26% vs market 20%)

Most likely scores

0-1 21.3%
0-2 16%
0-0 14.2%
1-1 9.6%
0-3 8%
1-2 7.2%

Expected goals: 0.45 Portadown · 1.5 Larne

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals58%
Over 2.5 goals31%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Both teams score28%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
100%
50%
Attack
50%
8%
Defence
92%
0%
Goal model
0%
50%
Head to head
50%
36%
Goals
64%
36%
Overall
64%

Season numbers

Premiership 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
3
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
Portadown Larne

Side by side

Portadown Larne
5 Played 3
0 Won 2
0 Drawn 1
5 Lost 0
0.6 Goals scored per game 1
2.2 Goals conceded per game 0.3
0 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 0
0 Clean sheets 2
3 Failed to score 1
0 Longest winning run 0
- Biggest win 2-1
0-3 Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Portadown vs Larne: preview and prediction

Portadown host Larne in the Northern-Ireland Premiership (Regular Season - 6) on Saturday, 12th September 2026 at 15:00 at Shamrock Park, Portadown. Portadown sit 12th in the table and Larne 3rd.

Portadown are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-L-L-L). Larne have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-D-W).

In the last 8 meetings, Portadown won 3, Larne won 4 and 1 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% and over 2.5 goals in 63%.

Our goal model expects about 0.45 goals for Portadown and 1.5 for Larne. It gives Larne the edge (11% home win, 26% draw, 64% away win), 31% for over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 1.29.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Portadown vs Larne FAQs

What is the best prediction for Portadown vs Larne?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (1.29 odds).

Who will win Portadown vs Larne?

Larne are favourites: our model gives Portadown 11%, the draw 26% and Larne 64%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 28% chance in our model, and it happened in 38% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2 goals in total, with a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Portadown vs Larne?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 12th September 2026 at 15:00 at Shamrock Park, Portadown.

Who is the referee?

M. McKenna is in charge of this game.