Poland U21 vs Sweden U21 Prediction, H2H & Stats

Head to head

Last 1 meetings

1games

1Poland U21 wins

0Draws

0Sweden U21 wins

6Goals per game

0%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

14 Oct 2025UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Sweden U21

0 - 6

Poland U21

UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form
1	Italy U21	10	9	0	1	32:7	+25	27	WWWWW
2	Poland U21	10	9	0	1	28:8	+20	27	LWWWW
3	Sweden U21	10	4	1	5	12:22	-10	13	WLLDW
4	Montenegro U21	10	3	3	4	13:16	-3	12	DDLDL
5	North Macedonia U21	10	2	1	7	8:20	-12	7	LDWLL
6	Armenia U21	10	0	1	9	5:25	-20	1	DLLLL

Top scorers

UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification

1

G. Koutsias

Greece U21 5goals 0assists 5apps

2

O. Pietuszewski

Poland U21 4goals 1assists 6apps

3

Rodrigo Mora

Portugal U21 4goals 1assists 5apps

4

Gustavo Varela

Portugal U21 3goals 0assists 5apps

5

Tiago Parreira Parente

Portugal U21 2goals 3assists 6apps

6

Roger Fernandes

Portugal U21 2goals 2assists 6apps

7

Diogo Travassos

Portugal U21 2goals 2assists 5apps

8

Adedire Emmanuel Awokoya-Mebude

Scotland U21 2goals 2assists 4apps

9

C. Ndour

Italy U21 2goals 1assists 6apps

10

Youssef Chermiti

Portugal U21 2goals 1assists 5apps

Recent form

9 W 0 D 1 L in the last 10

05 Oct 2026UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Italy U21

6 - 2

Poland U21 L

30 Sep 2026UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Poland U21

3 - 0

Sweden U21 W

31 Mar 2026UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Montenegro U21

0 - 1

Poland U21 W

27 Mar 2026UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Poland U21

4 - 1

Armenia U21 W

18 Nov 2025UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification North Macedonia U21

0 - 1

Poland U21 W

14 Nov 2025UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Poland U21

2 - 1

Italy U21 W

14 Oct 2025UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Sweden U21

0 - 6

Poland U21 W

10 Oct 2025UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Poland U21

2 - 0

Montenegro U21 W

09 Sep 2025UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Armenia U21

0 - 4

Poland U21 W

05 Sep 2025UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Poland U21

3 - 0

North Macedonia U21 W

3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10

05 Oct 2026UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Sweden U21

2 - 0

North Macedonia U21 W

30 Sep 2026UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Poland U21

3 - 0

Sweden U21 L

04 Jun 2026Friendlies Sweden U21

1 - 3

Finland U21 L

31 Mar 2026UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Sweden U21

0 - 4

Italy U21 L

27 Mar 2026UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Sweden U21

2 - 2

Montenegro U21 D

18 Nov 2025UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Armenia U21

0 - 1

Sweden U21 W

13 Nov 2025UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification North Macedonia U21

1 - 4

Sweden U21 W

14 Oct 2025UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Sweden U21

0 - 6

Poland U21 L

10 Oct 2025UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Italy U21

4 - 0

Sweden U21 L

09 Sep 2025UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification Montenegro U21

2 - 0

Sweden U21 L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Goal model

69% 18% 13%

Form & stats

50% 50% 0%

Poland U21 Draw Sweden U21

Most likely scores

2-0 10.8%

2-1 9.7%

1-0 9.4%

1-1 8.4%

3-0 8.3%

3-1 7.4%

Expected goals: 2.3 Poland U21 · 0.9 Sweden U21

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams score53%

Team comparison

68%

Form

32%

67%

Attack

33%

87%

Defence

13%

87%

Goal model

13%

100%

Head to head

0%

100%

Goals

0%

77%

Overall

22%

Season numbers

UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification 2027

When the goals come

2

0-15'

0

1

16-30'

1

7

31-45'

3

2

46-60'

1

2

61-75'

2

8

76-90'

3

0

0-15'

3

1

16-30'

3

0

31-45'

5

0

46-60'

1

2

61-75'

1

0

76-90'

6

Poland U21 Sweden U21

Side by side

Poland U21 Sweden U21

8 Played 8

8 Won 3

0 Drawn 1

0 Lost 4

2.9 Goals scored per game 1.3

0.3 Goals conceded per game 2.4

2.8 / 3 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1.3

6 Clean sheets 2

0 Failed to score 4

8 Longest winning run 2

4-1 Biggest win 3-0

- Biggest defeat 0-6

3/3 Penalties scored 1/1

Poland U21 vs Sweden U21: preview and prediction

Poland U21 host Sweden U21 in the World UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification (Group Stage - 21) on Wednesday, 30th September 2026 at 17:00 at Arena Katowice, Katowice. Poland U21 sit 2nd in the table and Sweden U21 3rd.

Poland U21 are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-L). Sweden U21 are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-W).

In the last 1 meetings, Poland U21 won 1, Sweden U21 won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 6 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 2.3 goals for Poland U21 and 0.9 for Sweden U21. It gives Poland U21 the edge (69% home win, 18% draw, 13% away win), 62% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.

Our pick was Home Win.

Published by

Udeme Henry

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Poland U21 vs Sweden U21 FAQs

What is the best prediction for Poland U21 vs Sweden U21?

Our top tip is Super Single: Home Win.

Who will win Poland U21 vs Sweden U21?

Poland U21 are favourites: our model gives Poland U21 69%, the draw 18% and Sweden U21 13%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 53% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.2 goals in total, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Poland U21 vs Sweden U21?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 30th September 2026 at 17:00 at Arena Katowice, Katowice.

Who is the referee?

D. Nikolic is in charge of this game.