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Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa Prediction, H2H & Stats

Poland: I Liga · Regular Season - 4
Pogoń Siedlce

Pogoń Siedlce

11th in table
LLWLD
Full time
1:0
HT 1 - 0
Polonia Warszawa

Polonia Warszawa

2nd in table
WWDWD
4' K. Kostorz
30' S. Kobusinski
37' B. Poczobut
45+2' F. Kendzia
46' J. Budnicki
57' K. Mis
60' S. Kowalczyk
Saturday, 15 August 2026
Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce
P. Pskit

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
3Pogoń Siedlce wins
1Draws
3Polonia Warszawa wins
2.7Goals per game
57%Both scored
43%Over 2.5
29 Nov 2025I Liga Polonia Warszawa 2 - 0 Pogoń Siedlce
20 Jul 2025I Liga Pogoń Siedlce 1 - 1 Polonia Warszawa
09 Apr 2025I Liga Polonia Warszawa 2 - 1 Pogoń Siedlce
22 Sep 2024I Liga Pogoń Siedlce 2 - 4 Polonia Warszawa
27 Jan 2024Friendlies Clubs Polonia Warszawa 0 - 2 Pogoń Siedlce
13 Nov 2022II Liga - East Polonia Warszawa 0 - 1 Pogoń Siedlce
23 Jul 2022II Liga - East Pogoń Siedlce 2 - 1 Polonia Warszawa

I Liga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Ruch Chorzów 13643 17:12 +5 22 DWWWD
2 Polonia Warszawa 13643 20:15 +5 22 DDWWW
3 Lechia Gdansk 13715 25:21 +4 22 WLWWW
4 ŁKS Łódź 13643 16:12 +4 22 DWWLL
5 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 13634 19:12 +7 21 LLLWW
6 Polonia Bytom 13562 23:20 +3 21 WWWWD
7 Nieciecza 13634 20:18 +2 21 DLWDW
8 Miedz Legnica 13544 19:12 +7 19 DDWLL
9 Warta Poznań 13616 20:17 +3 19 DLWLW
10 Stal Rzeszów 13535 18:24 -6 18 DLWLW
11 Pogoń Siedlce 13445 15:16 -1 16 DWLLL
12 Stal Mielec 13445 17:27 -10 16 WDLWL
13 Arka Gdynia 13436 16:16 0 15 DWLLL
14 Podbeskidzie 13292 16:17 -1 15 DWLWD
15 Chrobry Głogów 13355 13:15 -2 14 DDLLL
16 Puszcza Niepołomice 13418 15:19 -4 13 DWLWL
17 Odra Opole 13337 8:16 -8 12 LLLWL
18 Unia Skierniewice 13328 15:23 -8 11 LLLDD

Recent form

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026I Liga Pogoń Siedlce 1 - 1 Ruch Chorzów D
28 Oct 2026Cup Tychy 71 4 - 2 Pogoń Siedlce L
25 Oct 2026I Liga Odra Opole 0 - 1 Pogoń Siedlce W
18 Oct 2026I Liga Pogoń Siedlce 3 - 4 Stal Rzeszów L
15 Oct 2026I Liga Pogoń Siedlce 1 - 3 Puszcza Niepołomice L
09 Oct 2026I Liga Podbeskidzie 1 - 0 Pogoń Siedlce L
20 Sep 2026I Liga Pogoń Siedlce 2 - 1 Arka Gdynia W
12 Sep 2026I Liga Chrobry Głogów 0 - 0 Pogoń Siedlce D
01 Sep 2026Cup Kluczevia Stargard 2 - 3 Pogoń Siedlce W
29 Aug 2026I Liga Pogoń Siedlce 2 - 0 Stal Mielec W
6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026I Liga ŁKS Łódź 1 - 1 Polonia Warszawa D
29 Oct 2026Cup Polonia Warszawa 2 - 1 Korona Kielce W
23 Oct 2026I Liga Polonia Warszawa 1 - 1 Miedz Legnica D
17 Oct 2026I Liga Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 0 - 1 Polonia Warszawa W
10 Oct 2026I Liga Arka Gdynia 1 - 2 Polonia Warszawa W
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Jagiellonia 1 - 2 Polonia Warszawa W
19 Sep 2026I Liga Polonia Warszawa 2 - 0 Chrobry Głogów W
11 Sep 2026I Liga Polonia Warszawa 2 - 2 Polonia Bytom D
05 Sep 2026I Liga Stal Rzeszów 2 - 1 Polonia Warszawa L
02 Sep 2026Cup Górnik Polkowice 0 - 1 Polonia Warszawa W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Pogoń Siedlce Draw Polonia Warszawa

Most likely scores

0-1 15.3%
1-1 13%
0-0 12.2%
1-0 10.4%
0-2 9.6%
1-2 8.1%

Expected goals: 0.85 Pogoń Siedlce · 1.25 Polonia Warszawa

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Both teams score41%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
22%
Form
78%
44%
Attack
56%
29%
Defence
71%
0%
Goal model
100%
15%
Head to head
85%
31%
Goals
69%
28%
Overall
71%

Season numbers

I Liga 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
3
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
0
Pogoń Siedlce Polonia Warszawa

Side by side

Pogoń Siedlce Polonia Warszawa
3 Played 3
0 Won 2
2 Drawn 1
1 Lost 0
1.3 Goals scored per game 1.7
1.7 Goals conceded per game 0.7
1 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 1
0 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 2
- Biggest win 3-1
1-2 Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa: preview and prediction

Pogoń Siedlce host Polonia Warszawa in the Poland I Liga (Regular Season - 4) on Saturday, 15th August 2026 at 14:30 at Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce. Pogoń Siedlce sit 11th in the table and Polonia Warszawa 2nd.

Pogoń Siedlce are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-D). Polonia Warszawa are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-W-D).

In the last 7 meetings, Pogoń Siedlce won 3, Polonia Warszawa won 3 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% and over 2.5 goals in 43%.

Our goal model expects about 0.85 goals for Pogoń Siedlce and 1.25 for Polonia Warszawa. It gives Polonia Warszawa the edge (25% home win, 29% draw, 46% away win), 35% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.15. We also like Over 2.5, BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa FAQs

What is the best prediction for Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.15 odds).

Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?

Polonia Warszawa are favourites: our model gives Pogoń Siedlce 25%, the draw 29% and Polonia Warszawa 46%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 41% chance in our model, and it happened in 57% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.1 goals in total, with a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Pogoń Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 15th August 2026 at 14:30 at Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce.

Who is the referee?

P. Pskit is in charge of this game.