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Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay Prediction, H2H & Stats

USA: USL Championship · Group Stage
Phoenix Rising

Phoenix Rising

8th in table
LLWWD
Full time
3:2
HT 1 - 1
Monterey Bay

Monterey Bay

12th in table
LWLLW
17' C. Nadje
30' D. Badji
42' A. Saidi
43' D. Flores
52' JP Scearce (Own Goal)
72' P. Mar Boye
78' K. Arase
84' R. Nakamura (Own Goal)
90+1' P. Kah
90+3' J. Belmar
Sunday, 19 July 2026
Wild Horse Pass Stadium
E. Koroleva

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3Phoenix Rising wins
2Draws
3Monterey Bay wins
3.3Goals per game
63%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
18 May 2025USL Championship Phoenix Rising 2 - 0 Monterey Bay
30 Mar 2025USL Championship Monterey Bay 3 - 1 Phoenix Rising
05 Oct 2024USL Championship Phoenix Rising 1 - 2 Monterey Bay
17 Mar 2024USL Championship Monterey Bay 1 - 0 Phoenix Rising
30 Jul 2023USL Championship Monterey Bay 0 - 2 Phoenix Rising
16 Apr 2023USL Championship Phoenix Rising 1 - 1 Monterey Bay
22 Sep 2022USL Championship Monterey Bay 3 - 3 Phoenix Rising
13 Mar 2022USL Championship Phoenix Rising 4 - 2 Monterey Bay

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 New Mexico United 301578 45:34 +11 52 WLWWL
2 Sacramento Republic 3013125 42:28 +14 51 WWDDW
3 El Paso Locomotive 3015510 48:38 +10 50 LLWLD
4 Lexington 3014610 57:39 +18 48 DWDWW
5 Colorado Springs 301389 44:38 +6 47 WWDDD
6 San Antonio 3011127 32:30 +2 45 WWDLD
7 FC Tulsa 3011109 34:31 +3 43 LLDDW
8 Phoenix Rising 30101010 45:46 -1 40 DWWLL
9 Orange County SC 3010911 39:49 -10 39 LLLLW
10 Oakland Roots 3091110 39:40 -1 38 LWDDW
11 Las Vegas Lights 3010614 41:48 -7 36 LLLWL
12 Monterey Bay 306618 32:52 -20 24 WLLWL

Top scorers

USL Championship
1 J. LocadiaMiami FC 6goals 0assists 14apps
2 A. MéndezEl Paso Locomotive 2goals 1assists 4apps
3 Pedro SantosLoudoun United 0goals 0assists 5apps
4 J. SoñoraMiami FC 0goals 0assists 2apps
5 Mattheus OliveiraTampa Bay Rowdies 0goals 0assists 2apps

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 3 - 3 Lexington D
18 Oct 2026USL Championship Orange County SC 1 - 3 Phoenix Rising W
11 Oct 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 3 - 2 Las Vegas Lights W
04 Oct 2026USL Championship New Mexico United 2 - 1 Phoenix Rising L
27 Sep 2026USL Championship Oakland Roots 3 - 0 Phoenix Rising L
20 Sep 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 1 - 3 El Paso Locomotive L
13 Sep 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 2 - 1 FC Tulsa W
06 Sep 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 1 - 1 Phoenix Rising D
30 Aug 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 2 - 1 Indy Eleven W
23 Aug 2026USL Championship Sacramento Republic 2 - 2 Phoenix Rising D
2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 2 - 1 Las Vegas Lights W
18 Oct 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 0 - 1 Colorado Springs L
11 Oct 2026USL Championship New Mexico United 3 - 1 Monterey Bay L
04 Oct 2026USL Championship Orange County SC 1 - 2 Monterey Bay W
27 Sep 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 2 - 3 Lexington L
19 Sep 2026USL Championship Charleston Battery 1 - 0 Monterey Bay L
06 Sep 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 1 - 1 Phoenix Rising D
30 Aug 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 1 - 1 Sacramento Republic D
22 Aug 2026USL Championship Rhode Island 3 - 1 Monterey Bay L
16 Aug 2026USL Championship Oakland Roots 1 - 1 Monterey Bay D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Phoenix Rising Draw Monterey Bay

Most likely scores

1-0 10.7%
1-1 10.7%
2-0 9.9%
2-1 9.9%
3-0 6.1%
3-1 6.1%

Expected goals: 1.85 Phoenix Rising · 1 Monterey Bay

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams score53%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
29%
Form
71%
50%
Attack
50%
29%
Defence
71%
77%
Goal model
23%
40%
Head to head
60%
50%
Goals
50%
45%
Overall
54%

Season numbers

USL Championship 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
2
3
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
3
6
61-75'
2
6
76-90'
5
3
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
4
5
31-45'
2
7
46-60'
9
2
61-75'
5
3
76-90'
1
Phoenix Rising Monterey Bay

Side by side

Phoenix Rising Monterey Bay
15 Played 15
4 Won 4
5 Drawn 3
6 Lost 8
1.3 Goals scored per game 0.9
1.5 Goals conceded per game 1.5
1.7 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 0.6
4 Clean sheets 4
3 Failed to score 6
3 Longest winning run 3
3-0 Biggest win 4-1
0-2 Biggest defeat 0-3
6/6 Penalties scored 1/1

Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay: preview and prediction

Phoenix Rising host Monterey Bay in the USA USL Championship (Group Stage) on Sunday, 19th July 2026 at 03:30 at Wild Horse Pass Stadium. Phoenix Rising sit 8th in the table and Monterey Bay 12th.

Phoenix Rising have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-W-D). Monterey Bay are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-W).

In the last 8 meetings, Phoenix Rising won 3, Monterey Bay won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.85 goals for Phoenix Rising and 1 for Monterey Bay. It gives Phoenix Rising the edge (57% home win, 23% draw, 20% away win), 54% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 4.12.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay FAQs

What is the best prediction for Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (4.12 odds).

Who will win Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay?

Phoenix Rising are favourites: our model gives Phoenix Rising 57%, the draw 23% and Monterey Bay 20%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 53% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.9 goals in total, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 19th July 2026 at 03:30 at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.

Who is the referee?

E. Koroleva is in charge of this game.