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Philippines vs Thailand Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: ASEAN Championship · Group Stage - 4
Philippines

Philippines

LLLDW
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 0
Thailand

Thailand

DWWLD
20' G. Muens
71' O. Kekkonen
84' W. Choolthong
90+1' T. Poeiphimai
90+6' A. R. Teves Aldeguer
Tuesday, 4 August 2026
New Clark City Athletics Stadium, Capas
Y. Ohashi

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
1Philippines wins
1Draws
6Thailand wins
3Goals per game
63%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
30 Dec 2024ASEAN Championship Thailand 3 - 1 Philippines
27 Dec 2024ASEAN Championship Philippines 2 - 1 Thailand
11 Oct 2024King's Cup Thailand 3 - 1 Philippines
26 Dec 2022AFF Championship Thailand 4 - 0 Philippines
14 Dec 2021AFF Championship Philippines 1 - 2 Thailand
21 Nov 2018AFF Championship Philippines 1 - 1 Thailand
25 Nov 2016AFF Championship Philippines 0 - 1 Thailand
10 Dec 2014AFF Championship Thailand 3 - 0 Philippines

Recent form

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
02 Oct 2026FIFA Asean Cup Thailand 1 - 2 Philippines W
29 Sep 2026FIFA Asean Cup Philippines 2 - 2 Pakistan D
26 Sep 2026FIFA Asean Cup Vietnam 1 - 0 Philippines L
08 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Malaysia 1 - 0 Philippines L
04 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Philippines 0 - 1 Thailand L
01 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Laos 1 - 4 Philippines W
28 Jul 2026ASEAN Championship Philippines 1 - 4 Myanmar L
09 Jun 2026Friendlies Philippines 5 - 1 Myanmar W
03 Jun 2026Friendlies Philippines 5 - 1 Guam W
31 Mar 2026Asian Cup - Qualification Tajikistan 1 - 1 Philippines D
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026FIFA Asean Cup Indonesia 2 - 2 Thailand D
02 Oct 2026FIFA Asean Cup Thailand 1 - 2 Philippines L
29 Sep 2026FIFA Asean Cup Thailand 2 - 0 Vietnam W
26 Sep 2026FIFA Asean Cup Pakistan 0 - 4 Thailand W
26 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Vietnam 2 - 2 Thailand D
22 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Thailand 0 - 2 Vietnam L
18 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Thailand 1 - 2 Singapore L
15 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Singapore 1 - 3 Thailand W
08 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Thailand 2 - 0 Myanmar W
04 Aug 2026ASEAN Championship Philippines 0 - 1 Thailand W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Philippines Draw Thailand
Value spotted: Thailand win at 1.30 (model 83% vs market 70%)

Most likely scores

0-3 7.2%
0-4 7.2%
1-3 7.2%
1-4 7.2%
0-5 5.7%
1-5 5.7%

Expected goals: 1 Philippines · 4 Thailand

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals68%
Both teams score59%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
33%
Form
67%
42%
Attack
58%
0%
Defence
100%
0%
Goal model
100%
20%
Head to head
80%
28%
Goals
72%
30%
Overall
69%

Season numbers

ASEAN Championship 2025

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
4
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
2
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
0
Philippines Thailand

Side by side

Philippines Thailand
2 Played 2
1 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
1 Lost 0
2.5 Goals scored per game 3.5
2.5 Goals conceded per game 0
1 / 4 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 5
0 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 2
1-4 Biggest win 2-0
1-4 Biggest defeat -
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

Philippines vs Thailand: preview and prediction

Philippines host Thailand in the World ASEAN Championship (Group Stage - 4) on Tuesday, 4th August 2026 at 14:00 at New Clark City Athletics Stadium, Capas.

Philippines are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-D-W). Thailand have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-W-L-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Philippines won 1, Thailand won 6 and 1 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 75%.

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Philippines and 4 for Thailand. It gives Thailand the edge (5% home win, 8% draw, 83% away win), 82% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-3.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 1.30.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Philippines vs Thailand FAQs

What is the best prediction for Philippines vs Thailand?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (1.30 odds).

Who will win Philippines vs Thailand?

Thailand are favourites: our model gives Philippines 5%, the draw 8% and Thailand 83%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 59% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 5 goals in total, with a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Philippines vs Thailand?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 4th August 2026 at 14:00 at New Clark City Athletics Stadium, Capas.

Who is the referee?

Y. Ohashi is in charge of this game.