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Perugia vs Spezia Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italy: Serie C - Girone B · Girone B - 5
Perugia

Perugia

10th in table
WLWLD
Full time
0:3
HT 0 - 2
Spezia

Spezia

1st in table
WWDWW
18' M. Durmush
22' A. Sabbatani
38' S. Capolupo
39' C. Limonelli
43' K. Bright
62' C. Langella
73' D. Stramaccioni
78' D. Riccardi
84' S. Mazzocchi
Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia
R. Tropiano

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
1Perugia wins
4Draws
3Spezia wins
2.9Goals per game
63%Both scored
63%Over 2.5
08 Feb 2020Serie B Perugia 0 - 3 Spezia
21 Sep 2019Serie B Spezia 2 - 2 Perugia
27 Apr 2019Serie B Spezia 1 - 1 Perugia
15 Dec 2018Serie B Perugia 1 - 1 Spezia
17 Mar 2018Serie B Perugia 3 - 0 Spezia
21 Oct 2017Serie B Spezia 4 - 2 Perugia
05 May 2017Serie B Perugia 0 - 0 Spezia
17 Dec 2016Serie B Spezia 2 - 1 Perugia

Serie C - Girone B table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Spezia 121020 21:6 +15 32 WDWWW
2 Ravenna 12822 22:7 +15 26 WWLWL
3 Grosseto 12651 25:15 +10 23 DWDWL
4 Reggiana 12624 16:11 +5 20 WLLWL
5 Pescara 12543 15:13 +2 19 DWWDW
6 Livorno 12543 17:16 +1 19 WLDDL
7 Torres 12543 13:12 +1 19 DWLWD
8 Campobasso FC 12534 18:20 -2 18 WWLLD
9 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 12453 15:13 +2 17 DLWDW
10 Perugia 12525 16:18 -2 17 DLWLW
11 Vado 12444 14:13 +1 16 DWDWW
12 Latina 12363 12:12 0 15 DDWWD
13 Atalanta II 12507 14:18 -4 15 LWLWL
14 Pineto 12354 10:13 -3 14 LWWDL
15 Forli 12264 16:18 -2 12 LDLDL
16 Sambenedettese 12246 16:20 -4 10 LWDDW
17 Pianese 12174 7:11 -4 10 DDDDW
18 Ostia Mare 12237 10:15 -5 9 LLLDD
19 Gubbio 12228 10:21 -11 8 DLLLL
20 Vis Pesaro 12129 11:26 -15 5 DLLLL

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone B Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1 - 1 Perugia D
23 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone B Perugia 1 - 2 Pescara L
18 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone B Campobasso FC 1 - 5 Perugia W
11 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone B Perugia 0 - 2 Vado L
03 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone B Gubbio 1 - 3 Perugia W
27 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone B Perugia 1 - 0 Reggiana W
20 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone B Grosseto 2 - 0 Perugia L
16 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone B Perugia 0 - 3 Spezia L
13 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone B Ravenna 3 - 0 Perugia L
06 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone B Perugia 2 - 1 Pineto W
9 W 1 D 0 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Serie C - Girone B Spezia 2 - 1 Atalanta II W
28 Oct 2026Coppa Italia Serie C Spezia 2 - 1 Livorno W
24 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone B Spezia 1 - 1 Latina D
18 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone B Ravenna 0 - 1 Spezia W
10 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone B Spezia 2 - 0 Gubbio W
04 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone B Reggiana 0 - 1 Spezia W
27 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone B Pescara 1 - 2 Spezia W
21 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone B Spezia 3 - 1 Vis Pesaro W
16 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone B Perugia 0 - 3 Spezia W
12 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone B Spezia 2 - 0 Livorno W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Perugia Draw Spezia
Value spotted: Perugia win at 3.08 (model 42% vs market 29%)

Most likely scores

1-0 13.2%
1-1 13.2%
0-0 10.5%
0-1 10.5%
2-0 8.2%
2-1 8.2%

Expected goals: 1.25 Perugia · 1 Spezia

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams score45%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
41%
Form
59%
45%
Attack
55%
25%
Defence
75%
54%
Goal model
46%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
44%
Overall
55%

Season numbers

Serie C - Girone B 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
0
Perugia Spezia

Side by side

Perugia Spezia
4 Played 4
2 Won 3
1 Drawn 1
1 Lost 0
1.3 Goals scored per game 1.5
1.5 Goals conceded per game 0.5
1.5 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 1.5
1 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 0
2-1 Biggest win 2-0
3-0 Biggest defeat -
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

Perugia vs Spezia: preview and prediction

Perugia host Spezia in the Italy Serie C - Girone B (Girone B - 5) on Wednesday, 16th September 2026 at 20:00 at Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia. Perugia sit 10th in the table and Spezia 1st.

Perugia have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-L-D). Spezia are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-W-W).

In the last 8 meetings, Perugia won 1, Spezia won 3 and 4 ended level. These games average 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 63%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Perugia and 1 for Spezia. It gives Perugia the edge (42% home win, 28% draw, 30% away win), 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 2.29.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Perugia vs Spezia FAQs

What is the best prediction for Perugia vs Spezia?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (2.29 odds).

Who will win Perugia vs Spezia?

Perugia are favourites: our model gives Perugia 42%, the draw 28% and Spezia 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 45% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Perugia vs Spezia?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 16th September 2026 at 20:00 at Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia.

Who is the referee?

R. Tropiano is in charge of this game.