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Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 3
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

1st in table
WWWWW
Full time
1:2
HT 1 - 0
Monaco

Monaco

7th in table
WLWDL
31' Marquinhos
58' Nazinho
68' Lucas Hernández
68' Jordan Teze
72' S. Idumbo
Friday, 4 September 2026
Parc des Princes, Paris
J. Brisard

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
5Paris Saint Germain wins
2Draws
2Monaco wins
3.7Goals per game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
06 Mar 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 3 Monaco
25 Feb 2026UEFA Champions League Paris Saint Germain 2 - 2 Monaco
17 Feb 2026UEFA Champions League Monaco 2 - 3 Paris Saint Germain
29 Nov 2025Ligue 1 Monaco 1 - 0 Paris Saint Germain
07 Feb 2025Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 4 - 1 Monaco
05 Jan 2025Trophée des Champions Paris Saint Germain 1 - 0 Monaco
18 Dec 2024Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 4 Paris Saint Germain
01 Mar 2024Ligue 1 Monaco 0 - 0 Paris Saint Germain
24 Nov 2023Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 5 - 2 Monaco

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 21:10 +11 20 WWWWW
2 Lille 9531 12:6 +6 18 WDDWL
3 Lyon 9522 15:7 +8 17 WLWLW
4 Paris FC 9522 16:10 +6 17 WLWLW
5 Rennes 9513 20:19 +1 16 LWLWL
6 Marseille 9504 20:13 +7 15 WWWWL
7 Monaco 9432 12:10 +2 15 LDLDW
8 Nice 9423 13:12 +1 14 WWLWW
9 Lens 9414 16:13 +3 13 LWWWL
10 Stade Brestois 29 9333 16:12 +4 12 WLDWL
11 Lorient 9333 7:8 -1 12 LDWWL
12 Toulouse 9243 12:13 -1 10 LDWDW
13 Strasbourg 9315 17:19 -2 10 WLLLL
14 Auxerre 9315 13:23 -10 10 LDWLW
15 Angers 9225 9:17 -8 8 LDLLW
16 Estac Troyes 9225 7:16 -9 8 WDLLL
17 Le Mans 9144 11:18 -7 7 LDLLW
18 Le Havre 9027 9:20 -11 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 L. SinayokoParis FC 8goals 5assists 9apps
2 E. LepaulRennes 7goals 0assists 7apps
3 C. ArcherAuxerre 6goals 0assists 7apps
4 A. GouiriMarseille 6goals 3assists 9apps
5 E. WahiNice 6goals 2assists 8apps
6 C. TengstedtToulouse 5goals 1assists 7apps
7 Gessime YassineStrasbourg 4goals 3assists 9apps
8 Ferran TorresParis Saint Germain 4goals 1assists 9apps
9 L. AjorqueStade Brestois 29 4goals 1assists 9apps
10 S. SzymańskiRennes 4goals 1assists 7apps

Recent form

10 W 0 D 0 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026UEFA Champions League Villarreal 0 - 6 Paris Saint Germain W
30 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 5 Paris Saint Germain W
26 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 0 Lyon W
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Paris Saint Germain 4 - 2 Barcelona W
17 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Strasbourg 1 - 3 Paris Saint Germain W
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Manchester City 2 - 4 Paris Saint Germain W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 3 - 1 Le Mans W
20 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain W
13 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Stade Brestois 29 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain W
09 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Paris Saint Germain 6 - 1 Slovan Bratislava W
5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Paris FC 3 - 1 Monaco L
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 1 - 1 Lille D
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Monaco 3 - 0 SC Freiburg W
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 0 Monaco L
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League CSKA Sofia 1 - 2 Monaco W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 2 Toulouse D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Monaco 2 - 0 Pisa W
18 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 1 Lens W
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Strasbourg 1 - 1 Monaco D
04 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 2 Monaco W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Paris Saint Germain Draw Monaco
Value spotted: Monaco win at 7.20 (model 29% vs market 14%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.1%
2-1 9.1%
1-2 6.8%
2-2 6.8%
3-1 6%
1-0 6%

Expected goals: 2 Paris Saint Germain · 1.5 Monaco

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams score67%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
25%
Form
75%
57%
Attack
43%
0%
Defence
100%
0%
Goal model
0%
50%
Head to head
50%
53%
Goals
47%
46%
Overall
53%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
Paris Saint Germain Monaco

Side by side

Paris Saint Germain Monaco
2 Played 2
0 Won 2
2 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
2 Goals scored per game 1.5
2 Goals conceded per game 0
0 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 1
0 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 2
- Biggest win 2-0
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco: preview and prediction

Paris Saint Germain host Monaco in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 3) on Friday, 4th September 2026 at 20:05 at Parc des Princes, Paris. Paris Saint Germain sit 1st in the table and Monaco 7th.

Paris Saint Germain are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W). Monaco have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-D-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 5, Monaco won 2 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Paris Saint Germain and 1.5 for Monaco. It gives Paris Saint Germain the edge (49% home win, 22% draw, 29% away win), 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 2.97.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco FAQs

What is the best prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (2.97 odds).

Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?

Paris Saint Germain are favourites: our model gives Paris Saint Germain 49%, the draw 22% and Monaco 29%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 67% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.5 goals in total, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?

Kick-off is on Friday, 4th September 2026 at 20:05 at Parc des Princes, Paris.

Who is the referee?

J. Brisard is in charge of this game.