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Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

1st in table
WWWWW
Full time
2:2
HT 1 - 1
Lorient

Lorient

9th in table
LWWDL
6' I. Mbaye
12' P. Pagis
47' Lucas Hernández
62' W. Zaire-Emery
78' A. Tosin
90' Darlin Yongwa
Saturday, 2 May 2026
Parc des Princes, Paris
B. Dechepy

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Paris Saint Germain wins
3Draws
2Lorient wins
3.2Goals per game
78%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
29 Oct 2025Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 1 Paris Saint Germain
24 Apr 2024Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain
12 Aug 2023Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 0 - 0 Lorient
30 Apr 2023Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 3 Lorient
06 Nov 2022Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain
03 Apr 2022Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 5 - 1 Lorient
22 Dec 2021Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 1 Paris Saint Germain
31 Jan 2021Ligue 1 Lorient 3 - 2 Paris Saint Germain
16 Dec 2020Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 0 Lorient

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 342446 74:29 +45 76 LWWDW
2 Lens 342248 66:35 +31 70 WLWDD
3 Lille 341879 52:37 +15 61 LWDWD
4 Lyon 3418610 53:40 +13 60 LLWWW
5 Marseille 3418511 63:45 +18 59 WWLDL
6 Rennes 341789 59:50 +9 59 LWLWW
7 Monaco 3416612 60:54 +6 54 LLWDD
8 Strasbourg 3415811 58:47 +11 53 WWDLW
9 Lorient 34111211 48:51 -3 45 LWDLW
10 Toulouse 3312813 47:46 +1 44 WWDLL
11 Paris FC 34111112 47:50 -3 44 WLWLW
12 Stade Brestois 29 3410915 43:55 -12 39 DLLLD
13 Angers 349916 29:48 -19 36 DDLLD
14 Le Havre 3471413 32:44 -12 35 WLDDD
15 Auxerre 3481016 34:44 -10 34 WWWLD
16 Nice 3471116 37:60 -23 32 WDDLD
17 Nantes 335820 29:52 -23 23 LWLLD
18 Metz 343823 32:76 -44 17 DLLDL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 E. LepaulRennes 21goals 5assists 34apps
2 M. GreenwoodMarseille 16goals 7assists 32apps
3 J. PanichelliStrasbourg 16goals 1assists 27apps
4 F. BalogunMonaco 13goals 4assists 30apps
5 O. ÉdouardLens 12goals 3assists 29apps
6 W. SaïdLens 12goals 2assists 29apps
7 L. SinayokoAuxerre 12goals 4assists 32apps
8 P. ŠulcLyon 11goals 3assists 27apps
9 B. BarcolaParis Saint Germain 11goals 1assists 29apps
10 F. ThauvinLens 11goals 6assists 33apps

Recent form

10 W 0 D 0 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026UEFA Champions League Villarreal 0 - 6 Paris Saint Germain W
30 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 5 Paris Saint Germain W
26 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 0 Lyon W
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Paris Saint Germain 4 - 2 Barcelona W
17 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Strasbourg 1 - 3 Paris Saint Germain W
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Manchester City 2 - 4 Paris Saint Germain W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 3 - 1 Le Mans W
20 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain W
13 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Stade Brestois 29 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain W
09 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Paris Saint Germain 6 - 1 Slovan Bratislava W
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 0 - 2 Stade Brestois 29 L
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Angers 0 - 0 Lorient D
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 0 Monaco W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 0 Paris FC W
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Le Mans 2 - 1 Lorient L
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 2 - 2 Toulouse D
05 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lens 0 - 1 Lorient W
29 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 2 Estac Troyes L
22 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Nice 0 - 0 Lorient D
15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs SV Elversberg 4 - 1 Lorient L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Paris Saint Germain Draw Lorient

Most likely scores

2-0 13.4%
1-0 13.1%
2-1 9.4%
3-0 9.2%
1-1 9.2%
3-1 6.4%

Expected goals: 2.05 Paris Saint Germain · 0.7 Lorient

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams score44%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
75%
Form
25%
74%
Attack
26%
70%
Defence
30%
86%
Goal model
14%
62%
Head to head
38%
57%
Goals
43%
70%
Overall
29%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2025

When the goals come

11
0-15'
4
6
16-30'
6
15
31-45'
9
10
46-60'
8
10
61-75'
7
16
76-90'
10
1
0-15'
4
6
16-30'
6
4
31-45'
4
5
46-60'
11
4
61-75'
5
5
76-90'
15
Paris Saint Germain Lorient

Side by side

Paris Saint Germain Lorient
30 Played 31
22 Won 10
3 Drawn 11
5 Lost 10
2.3 Goals scored per game 1.4
0.8 Goals conceded per game 1.5
2.5 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.9 / 0.7
16 Clean sheets 6
2 Failed to score 9
7 Longest winning run 3
5-0 Biggest win 4-0
1-3 Biggest defeat 1-7
5/5 Penalties scored 3/3

Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient: preview and prediction

Paris Saint Germain host Lorient in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 32) on Saturday, 2nd May 2026 at 16:00 at Parc des Princes, Paris. Paris Saint Germain sit 1st in the table and Lorient 9th.

Paris Saint Germain are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W). Lorient have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 4, Lorient won 2 and 3 ended level. These games average 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 78% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 2.05 goals for Paris Saint Germain and 0.7 for Lorient. It gives Paris Saint Germain the edge (69% home win, 19% draw, 12% away win), 52% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient FAQs

Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient?

Paris Saint Germain are favourites: our model gives Paris Saint Germain 69%, the draw 19% and Lorient 12%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 44% chance in our model, and it happened in 78% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Paris Saint Germain vs Lorient?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 2nd May 2026 at 16:00 at Parc des Princes, Paris.

Who is the referee?

B. Dechepy is in charge of this game.