Paris FC W vs Real Madrid W Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Champions League Women · Round of 16
Paris FC W

Paris FC W

10th in table
DWWDD
Full time
2:3
HT 1 - 2
Real Madrid W

Real Madrid W

7th in table
LWWDW
10' K. Korosec
17' Linda Caicedo
30' Melween Ndongala
39' C. Weir
45' A. del Castillo
48' Clara Matéo
63' Filippa Angeldahl
77' Yasmim
83' L. Caicedo
89' M. Mendy
90+4' Naomie Feller
Wednesday, 11 February 2026
Stade Charlety, Paris
I. Martincic

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
2Paris FC W wins
1Draws
0Real Madrid W wins
2Goals per game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
11 Nov 2025UEFA Champions League Women Real Madrid W 1 - 1 Paris FC W
20 Dec 2023UEFA Champions League Women Real Madrid W 0 - 1 Paris FC W
14 Dec 2023UEFA Champions League Women Paris FC W 2 - 1 Real Madrid W

UEFA Champions League Women table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Barcelona W 6510 20:3 +17 16 WWDWW
2 Lyon W 6510 18:5 +13 16 WWDWW
3 Chelsea W 6420 20:3 +17 14 WWDWW
4 Bayern Munich W 6411 14:13 +1 13 WDWWW
5 Arsenal W 6402 11:6 +5 12 WWWLW
6 Manchester United W 6402 7:9 -2 12 WLLWW
7 Real Madrid W 6321 13:7 +6 11 DWLDW
8 Juventus W 6312 13:8 +5 10 LWDWL
9 VfL Wolfsburg W 6303 13:10 +3 9 LLWLW
10 Paris FC W 6222 6:9 -3 8 LWWDL
11 Atletico Madrid W 6213 13:9 +4 7 LDWLL
12 OH Leuven W 6132 5:10 -5 6 LDDLW
13 Vålerenga W 6114 4:9 -5 4 LLDWL
14 Roma W 6114 9:19 -10 4 WLDLL
15 Twente W 6033 4:10 -6 3 DLLDL
16 SL Benfica W 6024 4:11 -7 2 DLLDL
17 Paris Saint Germain W 6024 4:12 -8 2 DDLLL
18 St. Pölten W 6015 3:28 -25 1 LLDLL

Top scorers

UEFA Champions League Women
1 Ewa PajorBarcelona W 11goals 1assists 10apps
2 A. RussoArsenal W 9goals 2assists 11apps
3 P. HarderBayern Munich W 8goals 2assists 10apps
4 Alexia PutellasBarcelona W 8goals 6assists 11apps
5 M. DumornayLyon W 5goals 1assists 10apps
6 C. WeirReal Madrid W 5goals 1assists 9apps
7 L. FreigangEintracht Frankfurt W 5goals 1assists 8apps
8 L. BeerensteynVfL Wolfsburg W 5goals 0assists 9apps
9 R. ChibaEintracht Frankfurt W 5goals 0assists 8apps
10 É. ViensRoma W 5goals 0assists 6apps

Recent form

4 W 3 D 2 L in the last 9
01 Nov 2026Feminine Division 1 Paris FC W 1 - 1 Paris Saint Germain W D
29 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Women Paris FC W 1 - 1 Häcken W D
17 Oct 2026Feminine Division 1 Toulouse W 0 - 4 Paris FC W W
03 Oct 2026Feminine Division 1 Paris FC W 4 - 1 Lens W W
30 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Women Paris FC W 2 - 2 Arsenal W D
23 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Women Barcelona W 5 - 2 Paris FC W L
18 Sep 2026Feminine Division 1 Strasbourg W 0 - 2 Paris FC W W
12 Sep 2026Feminine Division 1 Lyon W 7 - 1 Paris FC W L
06 Sep 2026Feminine Division 1 Paris FC W 2 - 0 Nantes W W
6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Primera División Femenina Sevilla W 1 - 3 Real Madrid W W
28 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Women Bayern Munich W 2 - 2 Real Madrid W D
24 Oct 2026Primera División Femenina Real Madrid W 3 - 2 Granad. Tenerife W W
17 Oct 2026Primera División Femenina Real Madrid W 3 - 1 Espanyol W W
04 Oct 2026Primera División Femenina Barcelona W 7 - 0 Real Madrid W L
01 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Women Manchester City W 1 - 1 Real Madrid W D
26 Sep 2026Primera División Femenina Real Sociedad W 3 - 5 Real Madrid W W
22 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Women Real Madrid W 1 - 1 Paris Saint Germain W D
19 Sep 2026Primera División Femenina Real Madrid W 3 - 1 Valencia W W
11 Sep 2026Primera División Femenina Deportivo de La Coruña W 0 - 2 Real Madrid W W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Paris FC W Draw Real Madrid W
Value spotted: Paris FC W win at 5.08 (model 34% vs market 18%)

Most likely scores

1-1 13%
0-1 11.3%
1-0 10.4%
0-0 9.1%
1-2 8.2%
2-1 7.5%

Expected goals: 1.15 Paris FC W · 1.25 Real Madrid W

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams score49%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
47%
Form
53%
36%
Attack
64%
42%
Defence
58%
43%
Goal model
57%
88%
Head to head
13%
67%
Goals
33%
53%
Overall
46%

Season numbers

UEFA Champions League Women 2025

When the goals come

1
0-15'
3
1
16-30'
3
2
31-45'
5
0
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
3
3
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0
Paris FC W Real Madrid W

Side by side

Paris FC W Real Madrid W
8 Played 8
3 Won 5
3 Drawn 2
2 Lost 1
1 Goals scored per game 2.3
1.1 Goals conceded per game 1
1 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 3 / 1.5
4 Clean sheets 2
3 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 4
2-0 Biggest win 6-2
0-2 Biggest defeat 2-1
2/2 Penalties scored 0/0

Paris FC W vs Real Madrid W: preview and prediction

Paris FC W host Real Madrid W in the World UEFA Champions League Women (Round of 16) on Wednesday, 11th February 2026 at 21:00 at Stade Charlety, Paris. Paris FC W sit 10th in the table and Real Madrid W 7th.

Paris FC W are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-W-D-D). Real Madrid W are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-W).

In the last 3 meetings, Paris FC W won 2, Real Madrid W won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for Paris FC W and 1.25 for Real Madrid W. It gives Real Madrid W the edge (34% home win, 28% draw, 39% away win), 43% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Paris FC W vs Real Madrid W FAQs

What is the best prediction for Paris FC W vs Real Madrid W?

Our top tip is Banker: Home Win.

Who will win Paris FC W vs Real Madrid W?

Real Madrid W are favourites: our model gives Paris FC W 34%, the draw 28% and Real Madrid W 39%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 49% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.4 goals in total, with a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Paris FC W vs Real Madrid W?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 11th February 2026 at 21:00 at Stade Charlety, Paris.

Who is the referee?

I. Martincic is in charge of this game.