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PAOK vs AEK Athens FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Greece: Cup · Greek Cup - 4
PAOK

PAOK

LWLWW
Full time
3:1
HT 1 - 0
AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC

LLWLL
8' S. Banza
48' L. Majer
50' L. Jovic
70' S. Shoretire
76' O. Zubkov
79' C. Ndiaye
85' G. Taylor
88' D. Giannoulis
89' A. Lisci
90+2' Zini
90+4' A. Brignoli
Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3PAOK wins
3Draws
3AEK Athens FC wins
2.1Goals per game
44%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
13 May 2026Super League 1 PAOK 1 - 1 AEK Athens FC
19 Apr 2026Super League 1 AEK Athens FC 3 - 0 PAOK
15 Feb 2026Super League 1 PAOK 0 - 0 AEK Athens FC
19 Oct 2025Super League 1 AEK Athens FC 0 - 2 PAOK
11 May 2025Super League 1 PAOK 1 - 0 AEK Athens FC
30 Mar 2025Super League 1 AEK Athens FC 2 - 3 PAOK
02 Feb 2025Super League 1 PAOK 1 - 2 AEK Athens FC
09 Jan 2025Cup PAOK 1 - 1 AEK Athens FC
18 Dec 2024Cup AEK Athens FC 1 - 0 PAOK

Top scorers

Cup
1 Manuel Arias JuanNiki Volos 0goals 0assists 2apps
2 Konstantinos BaltasNestos Chrisoupolis 0goals 0assists 1apps
3 Argyris ArgyriouAEK Athens FC 0goals 0assists 1apps
4 Damian SilvaLarisa 0goals 0assists 1apps
5 Nikos NitsosLarisa 0goals 0assists 1apps
6 RaiosNiki Volos 0goals 0assists 1apps
7 Achileas SalamourasNiki Volos 0goals 0assists 1apps
8 Michail BousisLarisa 0goals 0assists 1apps
9 Antoni FationMarko 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Super League 1 PAOK 2 - 1 Asteras Tripolis W
28 Oct 2026Cup PAOK 3 - 1 AEK Athens FC W
25 Oct 2026Super League 1 OFI 2 - 1 PAOK L
18 Oct 2026Super League 1 PAOK 2 - 1 Iraklis 1908 W
12 Oct 2026Super League 1 PAOK 1 - 3 Kalamata L
20 Sep 2026Super League 1 Panetolikos 1 - 3 PAOK W
16 Sep 2026Cup Atromitos 0 - 1 PAOK W
13 Sep 2026Super League 1 PAOK 2 - 0 Aris Thessalonikis W
06 Sep 2026Super League 1 Panathinaikos 3 - 1 PAOK L
02 Sep 2026Cup PAOK 0 - 0 OFI D
4 W 1 D 4 L in the last 9
01 Nov 2026Super League 1 Panathinaikos 2 - 0 AEK Athens FC L
28 Oct 2026Cup PAOK 3 - 1 AEK Athens FC L
24 Oct 2026Super League 1 AEK Athens FC 5 - 0 Panetolikos W
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Manchester City 5 - 1 AEK Athens FC L
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Shakhtar Donetsk 3 - 1 AEK Athens FC L
10 Oct 2026Super League 1 AEK Athens FC 3 - 0 OFI W
20 Sep 2026Super League 1 Volos NFC 1 - 2 AEK Athens FC W
17 Sep 2026Cup AEK Athens FC 8 - 1 Panserraikos W
13 Sep 2026Super League 1 Asteras Tripolis 1 - 1 AEK Athens FC D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
PAOK Draw AEK Athens FC
Value spotted: AEK Athens FC win at 2.94 (model 73% vs market 31%)

Most likely scores

0-1 16.4%
0-2 16.4%
0-3 10.9%
0-0 8.2%
1-1 8.2%
1-2 8.2%

Expected goals: 0.5 PAOK · 2 AEK Athens FC

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score34%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
40%
Form
60%
9%
Attack
91%
100%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
62%
Head to head
38%
50%
Goals
50%
40%
Overall
59%

Season numbers

Cup 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
5
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
PAOK AEK Athens FC

Side by side

PAOK AEK Athens FC
2 Played 2
1 Won 2
1 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
0.5 Goals scored per game 5
0 Goals conceded per game 0.5
0 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 8 / 2
2 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 2
0-1 Biggest win 8-1
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

PAOK vs AEK Athens FC: preview and prediction

PAOK host AEK Athens FC in the Greece Cup (Greek Cup - 4) on Wednesday, 28th October 2026 at 19:30 at Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki.

PAOK are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-W). AEK Athens FC are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-L).

In the last 9 meetings, PAOK won 3, AEK Athens FC won 3 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 0.5 goals for PAOK and 2 for AEK Athens FC. It gives AEK Athens FC the edge (8% home win, 19% draw, 73% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Draw at odds of 2.94.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

PAOK vs AEK Athens FC FAQs

What is the best prediction for PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?

Our top tip is Draw: Draw (2.94 odds).

Who will win PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?

AEK Athens FC are favourites: our model gives PAOK 8%, the draw 19% and AEK Athens FC 73%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 34% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 28th October 2026 at 19:30 at Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki.