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PAOK vs AEK Athens FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Greece: Super League 1 · Championship Group - 5
PAOK

PAOK

3rd in table
LWLWW
Full time
1:1
HT 0 - 0
AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC

1st in table
LLWLL
10' Aboubakary Koita
48' Rahman Baba
73' L. Jovic
77' Alessandro Bianco
84' Andrija Živković
88' A. Mythou
Wednesday, 13 May 2026
Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
S. Jablonski

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3PAOK wins
2Draws
3AEK Athens FC wins
2.1Goals per game
38%Both scored
38%Over 2.5
19 Apr 2026Super League 1 AEK Athens FC 3 - 0 PAOK
15 Feb 2026Super League 1 PAOK 0 - 0 AEK Athens FC
19 Oct 2025Super League 1 AEK Athens FC 0 - 2 PAOK
11 May 2025Super League 1 PAOK 1 - 0 AEK Athens FC
30 Mar 2025Super League 1 AEK Athens FC 2 - 3 PAOK
02 Feb 2025Super League 1 PAOK 1 - 2 AEK Athens FC
09 Jan 2025Cup PAOK 1 - 1 AEK Athens FC
18 Dec 2024Cup AEK Athens FC 1 - 0 PAOK

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 AEK Athens FC 261862 49:17 +32 60 DDWDW
2 Olympiakos Piraeus 261772 45:11 +34 58 DWDLW
3 PAOK 261763 52:17 +35 57 DDDWL
4 Panathinaikos 261475 44:26 +18 49 DLLDL
5 Levadiakos 261268 51:37 +14 42 LWWWL
6 OFI 2610214 34:45 -11 32 WLLLW
7 Volos NFC 269413 26:38 -12 31 LLLLL
8 Aris Thessalonikis 266128 20:27 -7 30 WWWWW
9 Atromitos 267811 26:30 -4 29 WLWLL
10 Kifisia 266911 32:42 -10 27 WDLWW
11 Panetolikos 267514 24:38 -14 26 LDDWL
12 Larisa 2641111 22:39 -17 23 LWDDD
13 Panserraikos 264517 16:55 -39 17 LDLLD
14 Asteras Tripolis 263815 22:41 -19 17 WDWDW

Top scorers

Super League 1
1 A. El KaabiOlympiakos Piraeus 18goals 2assists 27apps
2 L. JovićAEK Athens FC 17goals 0assists 28apps
3 F. PedrozoLevadiakos 13goals 0assists 29apps
4 J. BartoloAsteras Tripolis 12goals 2assists 32apps
5 A. OžboltLevadiakos 11goals 4assists 23apps
6 M. BakuAtromitos 10goals 5assists 34apps
7 E. SalcedoOFI 10goals 2assists 26apps
8 M. TaremiOlympiakos Piraeus 10goals 2assists 23apps
9 Jorge PomboKifisia 10goals 3assists 34apps
10 T. FountasOFI 9goals 1assists 24apps

Recent form

6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Super League 1 PAOK 2 - 1 Asteras Tripolis W
28 Oct 2026Cup PAOK 3 - 1 AEK Athens FC W
25 Oct 2026Super League 1 OFI 2 - 1 PAOK L
18 Oct 2026Super League 1 PAOK 2 - 1 Iraklis 1908 W
12 Oct 2026Super League 1 PAOK 1 - 3 Kalamata L
20 Sep 2026Super League 1 Panetolikos 1 - 3 PAOK W
16 Sep 2026Cup Atromitos 0 - 1 PAOK W
13 Sep 2026Super League 1 PAOK 2 - 0 Aris Thessalonikis W
06 Sep 2026Super League 1 Panathinaikos 3 - 1 PAOK L
02 Sep 2026Cup PAOK 0 - 0 OFI D
4 W 1 D 4 L in the last 9
01 Nov 2026Super League 1 Panathinaikos 2 - 0 AEK Athens FC L
28 Oct 2026Cup PAOK 3 - 1 AEK Athens FC L
24 Oct 2026Super League 1 AEK Athens FC 5 - 0 Panetolikos W
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Manchester City 5 - 1 AEK Athens FC L
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Shakhtar Donetsk 3 - 1 AEK Athens FC L
10 Oct 2026Super League 1 AEK Athens FC 3 - 0 OFI W
20 Sep 2026Super League 1 Volos NFC 1 - 2 AEK Athens FC W
17 Sep 2026Cup AEK Athens FC 8 - 1 Panserraikos W
13 Sep 2026Super League 1 Asteras Tripolis 1 - 1 AEK Athens FC D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
PAOK Draw AEK Athens FC
Value spotted: AEK Athens FC win at 4.94 (model 27% vs market 19%)

Most likely scores

1-0 12.7%
1-1 12.7%
0-0 9.1%
0-1 9.1%
2-0 8.9%
2-1 8.9%

Expected goals: 1.4 PAOK · 1 AEK Athens FC

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams score48%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
28%
Form
72%
36%
Attack
64%
13%
Defence
88%
75%
Goal model
25%
71%
Head to head
29%
55%
Goals
45%
46%
Overall
53%

Season numbers

Super League 1 2025

When the goals come

8
0-15'
6
9
16-30'
6
10
31-45'
6
10
46-60'
9
9
61-75'
13
9
76-90'
13
4
0-15'
4
4
16-30'
2
4
31-45'
4
2
46-60'
1
6
61-75'
7
3
76-90'
2
PAOK AEK Athens FC

Side by side

PAOK AEK Athens FC
30 Played 30
18 Won 21
8 Drawn 7
4 Lost 2
1.9 Goals scored per game 1.8
0.7 Goals conceded per game 0.6
2 / 1.7 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 1.7
16 Clean sheets 18
7 Failed to score 4
4 Longest winning run 7
4-1 Biggest win 4-0
3-0 Biggest defeat 0-2
6/6 Penalties scored 7/7

PAOK vs AEK Athens FC: preview and prediction

PAOK host AEK Athens FC in the Greece Super League 1 (Championship Group - 5) on Wednesday, 13th May 2026 at 17:30 at Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki. PAOK sit 3rd in the table and AEK Athens FC 1st.

PAOK are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-W). AEK Athens FC are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-L).

In the last 8 meetings, PAOK won 3, AEK Athens FC won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% and over 2.5 goals in 38%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for PAOK and 1 for AEK Athens FC. It gives PAOK the edge (46% home win, 27% draw, 27% away win), 43% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 2.15.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

PAOK vs AEK Athens FC FAQs

What is the best prediction for PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (2.15 odds).

Who will win PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?

PAOK are favourites: our model gives PAOK 46%, the draw 27% and AEK Athens FC 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 48% chance in our model, and it happened in 38% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.4 goals in total, with a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 13th May 2026 at 17:30 at Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki.

Who is the referee?

S. Jablonski is in charge of this game.