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Paide vs Vaprus Prediction, H2H & Stats

Estonia: Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 18
Paide

Paide

2nd in table
LWWWL
Full time
3:1
HT 2 - 1
Vaprus

Vaprus

8th in table
DDLLD
15' A. Badamosi
24' M. Limberg
43' D. Luts
47' Victor Hugo
60' S. Luts
62' S. Kapper
67' K. Aloe
89' Victor Hugo
Saturday, 4 July 2026
Paide linnastaadion, Paide
R. Maalinn

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
6Paide wins
0Draws
2Vaprus wins
2.1Goals per game
25%Both scored
38%Over 2.5
06 May 2026Cup Paide 2 - 0 Vaprus
07 Mar 2026Meistriliiga Vaprus 3 - 2 Paide
02 Nov 2025Meistriliiga Paide 3 - 0 Vaprus
30 Aug 2025Meistriliiga Vaprus 1 - 0 Paide
18 Jun 2025Meistriliiga Vaprus 1 - 2 Paide
09 Apr 2025Meistriliiga Paide 1 - 0 Vaprus
23 Oct 2024Meistriliiga Vaprus 0 - 1 Paide
18 Aug 2024Meistriliiga Paide 1 - 0 Vaprus

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 FC Levadia Tallinn 342761 91:24 +67 87 WWWWW
2 Paide 3418610 53:41 +12 60 LWWWL
3 Flora Tallinn 3419114 64:49 +15 58 LLWLL
4 Kalju Nomme 3417611 58:34 +24 57 WWLDL
5 Tammeka 3416216 48:54 -6 50 LWLLW
6 Laagri 3415217 49:50 -1 47 LWWWW
7 Nõmme United 3412121 55:76 -21 37 WWWLL
8 Vaprus 3410717 46:68 -22 37 DLLDD
9 Kuressaare 3410618 35:53 -18 36 DLLWW
10 Trans Narva 345524 26:76 -50 20 LLLLD

Top scorers

Meistriliiga
1 Daniel CabralPaide 5goals 0assists 16apps

Recent form

6 W 0 D 4 L in the last 10
28 Oct 2026Meistriliiga Paide 0 - 2 Kalju Nomme L
24 Oct 2026Meistriliiga Kuressaare 0 - 1 Paide W
18 Oct 2026Meistriliiga Paide 2 - 1 Trans Narva W
14 Oct 2026Meistriliiga Paide 2 - 1 Tammeka W
11 Oct 2026Meistriliiga FC Levadia Tallinn 1 - 0 Paide L
19 Sep 2026Meistriliiga Nõmme United 1 - 3 Paide W
16 Sep 2026Meistriliiga Paide 2 - 0 Vaprus W
13 Sep 2026Meistriliiga Paide 1 - 2 Laagri L
09 Sep 2026Meistriliiga Tammeka 0 - 2 Paide W
06 Sep 2026Meistriliiga Paide 0 - 2 FC Levadia Tallinn L
2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
28 Oct 2026Meistriliiga Vaprus 1 - 1 Kuressaare D
23 Oct 2026Meistriliiga Nõmme United 4 - 2 Vaprus L
18 Oct 2026Meistriliiga Laagri 2 - 0 Vaprus L
13 Oct 2026Meistriliiga Vaprus 2 - 2 Kalju Nomme D
10 Oct 2026Meistriliiga Vaprus 2 - 2 Trans Narva D
20 Sep 2026Meistriliiga Flora Tallinn 3 - 2 Vaprus L
16 Sep 2026Meistriliiga Paide 2 - 0 Vaprus L
12 Sep 2026Meistriliiga FC Levadia Tallinn 4 - 0 Vaprus L
09 Sep 2026Meistriliiga Vaprus 3 - 2 Laagri W
05 Sep 2026Meistriliiga Vaprus 1 - 0 Nõmme United W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Paide Draw Vaprus
Value spotted: Vaprus win at 5.79 (model 25% vs market 16%)

Most likely scores

1-0 12.3%
1-1 12.3%
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.2%
0-0 8.2%
0-1 8.2%

Expected goals: 1.5 Paide · 1 Vaprus

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score49%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
56%
Form
44%
50%
Attack
50%
69%
Defence
31%
63%
Goal model
37%
60%
Head to head
40%
64%
Goals
36%
60%
Overall
39%

Season numbers

Meistriliiga 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
5
3
16-30'
3
5
31-45'
4
4
46-60'
5
4
61-75'
1
6
76-90'
4
2
0-15'
4
5
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
4
0
46-60'
7
6
61-75'
9
9
76-90'
4
Paide Vaprus

Side by side

Paide Vaprus
18 Played 17
8 Won 7
5 Drawn 2
5 Lost 8
1.5 Goals scored per game 1.2
1.2 Goals conceded per game 1.8
1.1 / 1.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1.4 / 1
4 Clean sheets 5
2 Failed to score 4
4 Longest winning run 2
3-1 Biggest win 3-1
1-3 Biggest defeat 1-6
6/6 Penalties scored 8/8

Paide vs Vaprus: preview and prediction

Paide host Vaprus in the Estonia Meistriliiga (Regular Season - 18) on Saturday, 4th July 2026 at 17:00 at Paide linnastaadion, Paide. Paide sit 2nd in the table and Vaprus 8th.

Paide are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-W-L). Vaprus are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-L-L-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Paide won 6, Vaprus won 2 and 0 ended level. These games average 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% and over 2.5 goals in 38%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Paide and 1 for Vaprus. It gives Paide the edge (49% home win, 26% draw, 25% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Under 3.5 at odds of 1.48.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Paide vs Vaprus FAQs

What is the best prediction for Paide vs Vaprus?

Our top tip is Over/Under 3.5: Under 3.5 (1.48 odds).

Who will win Paide vs Vaprus?

Paide are favourites: our model gives Paide 49%, the draw 26% and Vaprus 25%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 49% chance in our model, and it happened in 25% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Paide vs Vaprus?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 4th July 2026 at 17:00 at Paide linnastaadion, Paide.

Who is the referee?

R. Maalinn is in charge of this game.