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Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns Prediction, H2H & Stats

South-Africa: 8 Cup · Final
Orlando Pirates

Orlando Pirates

WWWWW
Full time
0:2
HT 0 - 1
Mamelodi Sundowns

Mamelodi Sundowns

DDWWW
12' T. Mokoena
24' S. Selepe
38' T. Matthews
41' A. Modiba
45+1' K. Sebelebele
45+3' K. Ndamane
49' T. Moremi
84' N. Sibisi
90' T. Cele
90' I. Rayners (Penalty)
Saturday, 10 October 2026
Moses Mabhida Stadium, Durban
A. Tom

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Orlando Pirates wins
5Draws
2Mamelodi Sundowns wins
2.4Goals per game
89%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
18 Feb 2026Premier Soccer League Orlando Pirates 1 - 2 Mamelodi Sundowns
01 Nov 2025Premier Soccer League Mamelodi Sundowns 1 - 1 Orlando Pirates
23 Aug 20258 Cup Mamelodi Sundowns 1 - 1 Orlando Pirates
16 Aug 20258 Cup Orlando Pirates 1 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns
16 Mar 2025Premier Soccer League Orlando Pirates 2 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns
08 Feb 2025Premier Soccer League Mamelodi Sundowns 4 - 1 Orlando Pirates
01 Jun 2024Cup Mamelodi Sundowns 1 - 2 Orlando Pirates
17 Feb 2024Premier Soccer League Mamelodi Sundowns 1 - 1 Orlando Pirates
07 Oct 20238 Cup Orlando Pirates 0 - 0 Mamelodi Sundowns

Recent form

8 W 1 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premier Soccer League Orlando Pirates 2 - 1 Kaizer Chiefs W
27 Oct 2026League Cup Orlando Pirates 3 - 0 Milford FC W
23 Oct 2026CAF Champions League Orlando Pirates 4 - 0 African Stars W
17 Oct 2026CAF Champions League African Stars 0 - 1 Orlando Pirates W
13 Oct 2026Premier Soccer League Orlando Pirates 3 - 0 TS Galaxy W
10 Oct 20268 Cup Orlando Pirates 0 - 2 Mamelodi Sundowns L
20 Sep 2026Premier Soccer League Marumo Gallants 0 - 2 Orlando Pirates W
17 Sep 2026Premier Soccer League Orlando Pirates 2 - 0 Durban City W
12 Sep 2026CAF Champions League Orlando Pirates 3 - 1 La Cure Waves W
06 Sep 2026CAF Champions League La Cure Waves 0 - 0 Orlando Pirates D
7 W 3 D 0 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026League Cup Mamelodi Sundowns 1 - 0 Golden Arrows W
31 Oct 2026Premier Soccer League Mamelodi Sundowns 4 - 1 Durban City W
27 Oct 2026League Cup Mamelodi Sundowns 1 - 0 Marumo Gallants W
23 Oct 2026CAF Champions League Mamelodi Sundowns 1 - 1 Wiliete D
18 Oct 2026CAF Champions League Wiliete 0 - 0 Mamelodi Sundowns D
13 Oct 2026Premier Soccer League Richards Bay 1 - 4 Mamelodi Sundowns W
10 Oct 20268 Cup Orlando Pirates 0 - 2 Mamelodi Sundowns W
19 Sep 2026FIFA Intercontinental Cup Mamelodi Sundowns 2 - 1 Al-Ahli Jeddah W
12 Sep 2026Premier Soccer League Chippa United 1 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns D
09 Sep 2026Premier Soccer League Mamelodi Sundowns 3 - 0 Siwelele W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Orlando Pirates Draw Mamelodi Sundowns
Value spotted: Orlando Pirates win at 2.85 (model 49% vs market 32%)

Most likely scores

2-1 8.1%
1-1 7.2%
2-2 7.1%
1-2 6.3%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 5.3%

Expected goals: 2.25 Orlando Pirates · 1.75 Mamelodi Sundowns

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals56%
Both teams score74%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
60%
Form
40%
50%
Attack
50%
83%
Defence
17%
77%
Goal model
23%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
61%
Overall
38%

Season numbers

8 Cup 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
4
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
Orlando Pirates Mamelodi Sundowns

Side by side

Orlando Pirates Mamelodi Sundowns
3 Played 3
3 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 1
2 Goals scored per game 2
0.3 Goals conceded per game 1.7
2.5 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 3
2 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 1
3 Longest winning run 1
3-0 Biggest win 3-2
- Biggest defeat 0-1
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns: preview and prediction

Orlando Pirates host Mamelodi Sundowns in the South-Africa 8 Cup (Final) on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 17:00 at Moses Mabhida Stadium, Durban.

Orlando Pirates are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W). Mamelodi Sundowns are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-W-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Orlando Pirates won 2, Mamelodi Sundowns won 2 and 5 ended level. These games average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 89% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 2.25 goals for Orlando Pirates and 1.75 for Mamelodi Sundowns. It gives Orlando Pirates the edge (49% home win, 20% draw, 30% away win), 76% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Draw at odds of 2.85.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns FAQs

What is the best prediction for Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Our top tip is Draw: Draw (2.85 odds).

Who will win Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Orlando Pirates are favourites: our model gives Orlando Pirates 49%, the draw 20% and Mamelodi Sundowns 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 74% chance in our model, and it happened in 89% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4 goals in total, with a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 17:00 at Moses Mabhida Stadium, Durban.

Who is the referee?

A. Tom is in charge of this game.