Oriental vs Racing Montevideo Prediction, H2H & Stats

Uruguay: Copa Uruguay · Group Stage - 2
Oriental

Oriental

DWWDL
Full time
1:2
HT 1 - 1
31' B. Motta
36' F. Suarez
90+5' E. Da Silva
Friday, 4 September 2026

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
1Oriental wins
0Draws
0Racing Montevideo wins
1Goals per game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
30 Oct 2023Copa Uruguay Oriental 1 - 0 Racing Montevideo

Top scorers

Copa Uruguay
1 Alvaro AraujoDeportivo Maldonado 1goals 0assists 1apps
2 Agustin LopezWanderers 1goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Segunda División CA River Plate 3 - 1 Oriental L
04 Oct 2026Segunda División Colón 0 - 0 Oriental D
26 Sep 2026Segunda División Oriental 3 - 2 Fenix W
20 Sep 2026Segunda División Rentistas 0 - 2 Oriental W
17 Sep 2026Copa Uruguay Central Espanol 1 - 1 Oriental D
12 Sep 2026Segunda División Oriental 1 - 3 Miramar L
06 Sep 2026Segunda División Tacuarembo 0 - 1 Oriental W
03 Sep 2026Copa Uruguay Oriental 1 - 2 Racing Montevideo L
30 Aug 2026Segunda División Oriental 2 - 0 Plaza Colonia W
26 Aug 2026Copa Uruguay Juventud 1 - 0 Oriental L
3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10
11 Oct 2026Primera División Juventud 2 - 0 Racing Montevideo L
04 Oct 2026Primera División Racing Montevideo 0 - 1 Penarol L
26 Sep 2026Primera División Progreso 2 - 1 Racing Montevideo L
20 Sep 2026Primera División Liverpool Montevideo 0 - 0 Racing Montevideo D
17 Sep 2026Copa Uruguay Juventud 3 - 0 Racing Montevideo L
12 Sep 2026Primera División Racing Montevideo 3 - 2 Boston River W
09 Sep 2026Copa Uruguay Racing Montevideo 2 - 4 Central Espanol L
06 Sep 2026Primera División Cerro 1 - 0 Racing Montevideo L
03 Sep 2026Copa Uruguay Oriental 1 - 2 Racing Montevideo W
31 Aug 2026Primera División Racing Montevideo 1 - 0 Albion FC W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Oriental Draw Racing Montevideo
Value spotted: Oriental win at 5.28 (model 44% vs market 17%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.5%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Oriental · 1.1 Racing Montevideo

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
100%
0%
Goal model
0%
100%
Head to head
0%
100%
Goals
0%
0%
Overall
0%

Season numbers

Copa Uruguay 2026

Oriental vs Racing Montevideo: preview and prediction

Oriental host Racing Montevideo in the Uruguay Copa Uruguay (Group Stage - 2) on Friday, 4th September 2026 at 00:00.

Oriental have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-W-D-L). Racing Montevideo are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-L-L-L).

In the last 1 meetings, Oriental won 1, Racing Montevideo won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 1 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Oriental and 1.1 for Racing Montevideo. It gives Oriental the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.61.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Oriental vs Racing Montevideo FAQs

What is the best prediction for Oriental vs Racing Montevideo?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 (1.61 odds).

Who will win Oriental vs Racing Montevideo?

Oriental are favourites: our model gives Oriental 44%, the draw 27% and Racing Montevideo 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Oriental vs Racing Montevideo?

Kick-off is on Friday, 4th September 2026 at 00:00.