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Oriental vs Cerrito Prediction, H2H & Stats

Uruguay: Segunda División · 2nd Phase - 1
Oriental

Oriental

1st in table
DLDLD
Full time
2:2
HT 1 - 2
Cerrito

Cerrito

8th in table
DWLDD
3' J. Isasmendi
11' B. Nunez
18' J. Isasmendi
81' N. Rodriguez
Sunday, 10 May 2026

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3Oriental wins
1Draws
4Cerrito wins
2.9Goals per game
75%Both scored
63%Over 2.5
12 Oct 2025Segunda División Cerrito 2 - 3 Oriental
21 Jul 2025Segunda División Oriental 1 - 1 Cerrito
03 Nov 2024Segunda División Cerrito 3 - 1 Oriental
13 Jul 2024Segunda División Oriental 2 - 1 Cerrito
29 Nov 2023Segunda División Cerrito 2 - 1 Oriental
23 Jul 2023Segunda División Oriental 2 - 0 Cerrito
01 Sep 2018Segunda División Oriental 0 - 1 Cerrito
07 Apr 2018Segunda División Cerrito 2 - 1 Oriental

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Oriental 6411 8:5 +3 13 LWWWD
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9:2 +7 12 WDDWW
3 Fenix 6321 13:7 +6 11 WLWWD
4 Sportivo Huracan 6240 9:6 +3 10 DWWDD
5 Colón 6231 8:5 +3 9 DWDLD
6 Uruguay Montevideo 6231 7:5 +2 9 DWLWD
7 Rentistas 6231 6:5 +1 9 DLWWD
8 Cerrito 6231 8:8 0 9 DDLWD
9 La Luz 6141 5:6 -1 7 DLWDD
10 Miramar 6123 3:7 -4 5 DDLWL
11 Paysandu 6114 4:7 -3 4 LDLLW
12 Atenas 6114 5:11 -6 4 LWLLL
13 CA River Plate 6114 6:13 -7 4 WLLLD
14 Tacuarembo 6033 5:9 -4 3 DLLLD

Top scorers

Segunda División
1 Tomas BenardoniCA River Plate 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Segunda División Oriental 1 - 1 Paysandu D
25 Oct 2026Segunda División Sportivo Huracan 3 - 2 Oriental L
18 Oct 2026Segunda División Oriental 1 - 1 Uruguay Montevideo D
10 Oct 2026Segunda División CA River Plate 3 - 1 Oriental L
04 Oct 2026Segunda División Colón 0 - 0 Oriental D
26 Sep 2026Segunda División Oriental 3 - 2 Fenix W
20 Sep 2026Segunda División Rentistas 0 - 2 Oriental W
17 Sep 2026Copa Uruguay Central Espanol 1 - 1 Oriental D
12 Sep 2026Segunda División Oriental 1 - 3 Miramar L
06 Sep 2026Segunda División Tacuarembo 0 - 1 Oriental W
3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Segunda División Fenix 1 - 1 Cerrito D
25 Oct 2026Segunda División Cerrito 2 - 2 Rentistas D
17 Oct 2026Segunda División Miramar 1 - 0 Cerrito L
10 Oct 2026Segunda División Cerrito 2 - 1 Tacuarembo W
07 Oct 2026Copa Uruguay Cerrito 2 - 2 Wanderers D
04 Oct 2026Segunda División Plaza Colonia 1 - 3 Cerrito W
27 Sep 2026Segunda División Cerrito 1 - 2 La Luz L
23 Sep 2026Copa Uruguay Wanderers 1 - 3 Cerrito W
20 Sep 2026Segunda División Cerrito 1 - 1 CA River Plate D
13 Sep 2026Segunda División Atenas 0 - 0 Cerrito D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Oriental Draw Cerrito
Value spotted: Oriental win at 2.05 (model 58% vs market 44%)

Most likely scores

1-0 17.5%
2-0 13.1%
0-0 11.6%
1-1 11.4%
2-1 8.5%
0-1 7.6%

Expected goals: 1.5 Oriental · 0.65 Cerrito

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals63%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Over 3.5 goals17%
Both teams score37%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
60%
Form
40%
50%
Attack
50%
58%
Defence
42%
84%
Goal model
16%
50%
Head to head
50%
47%
Goals
53%
58%
Overall
41%

Season numbers

Segunda División 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
2
4
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
3
2
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
2
Oriental Cerrito

Side by side

Oriental Cerrito
7 Played 6
4 Won 2
1 Drawn 3
2 Lost 1
1.1 Goals scored per game 1.3
0.9 Goals conceded per game 1.3
1 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 1.7 / 1
2 Clean sheets 1
3 Failed to score 1
3 Longest winning run 1
2-1 Biggest win 3-1
2-0 Biggest defeat 4-1
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Oriental vs Cerrito: preview and prediction

Oriental host Cerrito in the Uruguay Segunda División (2nd Phase - 1) on Sunday, 10th May 2026 at 18:00. Oriental sit 1st in the table and Cerrito 8th.

Oriental are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-D-L-D). Cerrito have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-L-D-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Oriental won 3, Cerrito won 4 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% and over 2.5 goals in 63%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Oriental and 0.65 for Cerrito. It gives Oriental the edge (58% home win, 26% draw, 16% away win), 36% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.22.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Oriental vs Cerrito FAQs

What is the best prediction for Oriental vs Cerrito?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.22 odds).

Who will win Oriental vs Cerrito?

Oriental are favourites: our model gives Oriental 58%, the draw 26% and Cerrito 16%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 37% chance in our model, and it happened in 75% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.2 goals in total, with a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Oriental vs Cerrito?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 10th May 2026 at 18:00.