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Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ecuador: Liga Pro · Regular Season - 15
Orense SC

Orense SC

13th in table
WLLDD
Full time
1:2
HT 1 - 1
Universidad Catolica

Universidad Catolica

2nd in table
WWLLD
21' Eddy Mejía
31' Bryan Viñán
40' Eddy Mejía
42' Mauro Díaz
53' Renny Jaramillo
75' Óscar Quiñónez
76' Byron Palacios (Penalty)
85' Byron Palacios
90' Jhon Chancellor
Saturday, 23 May 2026
Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala
Anthony Diaz, Ecuador

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
1Orense SC wins
4Draws
3Universidad Catolica wins
2.8Goals per game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
29 Nov 2025Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 0 - 0 Orense SC
25 Oct 2025Liga Pro Orense SC 2 - 1 Universidad Catolica
09 Aug 2025Liga Pro Orense SC 1 - 1 Universidad Catolica
20 Apr 2025Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 2 - 0 Orense SC
14 Sep 2024Liga Pro Orense SC 2 - 2 Universidad Catolica
31 Mar 2024Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 5 - 1 Orense SC
16 Sep 2023Liga Pro Orense SC 1 - 2 Universidad Catolica
18 Apr 2023Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 1 - 1 Orense SC

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Independiente del Valle 302424 73:33 +40 74 WWLDW
2 Universidad Catolica 301497 51:27 +24 51 WWDDW
3 Macara 301569 41:33 +8 51 WLWWL
4 Aucas 301488 33:28 +5 50 DDDWW
5 LDU de Quito 3013710 31:24 +7 46 DWDLW
6 Barcelona SC 3011118 32:25 +7 44 DDWLW
7 Libertad 3011811 33:34 -1 41 LWDLW
8 Leones del Norte 3010911 31:32 -1 39 LDWLL
9 Guayaquil City FC 3010911 33:36 -3 39 WLLWW
10 Emelec 3010911 25:34 -9 39 LWDWL
11 Mushuc Runa SC 3091110 35:38 -3 38 LDDWD
12 Deportivo Cuenca 3010614 25:37 -12 36 DLWLD
13 Orense SC 309615 36:47 -11 33 LWLLL
14 Tecnico Universitario 3010218 28:42 -14 32 WLLWL
15 Delfin SC 307716 19:31 -12 28 DLWLL
16 Manta FC 305619 17:42 -25 21 DLLWL

Top scorers

Liga Pro
1 E. MeroGuayaquil City FC 13goals 4assists 33apps
2 F. PosseMacara 13goals 5assists 32apps
3 R. CarrilloEmelec 13goals 3assists 32apps
4 Vilinton Germán Branda MerlínLibertad 12goals 2assists 32apps
5 A. CampanaMacara 11goals 3assists 17apps
6 A. HerreraOrense SC 11goals 2assists 33apps
7 J. FajardoUniversidad Catolica 11goals 3assists 31apps
8 F. AyuntaDelfin SC 11goals 1assists 32apps
9 Juan Luis Anangonó LeónLeones del Norte 10goals 0assists 33apps
10 D. ReascoIndependiente del Valle 9goals 4assists 28apps

Recent form

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
19 Oct 2026Liga Pro Mushuc Runa SC 1 - 1 Orense SC D
11 Oct 2026Liga Pro Orense SC 0 - 0 Deportivo Cuenca D
21 Sep 2026Liga Pro Manta FC 2 - 1 Orense SC L
15 Sep 2026Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 2 - 1 Orense SC L
08 Sep 2026Liga Pro Orense SC 4 - 3 Guayaquil City FC W
03 Sep 2026Liga Pro Leones del Norte 1 - 0 Orense SC L
30 Aug 2026Liga Pro Orense SC 1 - 2 Macara L
23 Aug 2026Liga Pro Barcelona SC 3 - 0 Orense SC L
16 Aug 2026Liga Pro Orense SC 2 - 0 Deportivo Cuenca W
09 Aug 2026Liga Pro Delfin SC 1 - 1 Orense SC D
4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Liga Pro Barcelona SC 1 - 1 Universidad Catolica D
11 Oct 2026Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 0 - 1 Macara L
20 Sep 2026Liga Pro LDU de Quito 2 - 1 Universidad Catolica L
15 Sep 2026Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 2 - 1 Orense SC W
10 Sep 2026Copa Ecuador Astillero FC (Ecu) 0 - 1 Universidad Catolica W
06 Sep 2026Liga Pro Delfin SC 0 - 1 Universidad Catolica W
03 Sep 2026Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 1 - 1 Aucas D
29 Aug 2026Liga Pro Independiente del Valle 2 - 2 Universidad Catolica D
22 Aug 2026Liga Pro Universidad Catolica 5 - 1 Manta FC W
18 Aug 2026Liga Pro Macara 1 - 1 Universidad Catolica D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Orense SC Draw Universidad Catolica

Most likely scores

1-0 14.9%
0-0 13.5%
1-1 13.4%
0-1 12.2%
2-0 8.2%
2-1 7.4%

Expected goals: 1.1 Orense SC · 0.9 Universidad Catolica

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals59%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams score40%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
76%
Form
24%
50%
Attack
50%
73%
Defence
27%
51%
Goal model
49%
50%
Head to head
50%
45%
Goals
55%
57%
Overall
42%

Season numbers

Liga Pro 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
1
5
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
7
2
61-75'
5
4
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
3
4
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
5
5
76-90'
0
Orense SC Universidad Catolica

Side by side

Orense SC Universidad Catolica
14 Played 14
6 Won 6
4 Drawn 5
4 Lost 3
1.4 Goals scored per game 1.7
1.2 Goals conceded per game 0.9
1.4 / 1.4 Scored per game (home / away) 2.4 / 0.8
3 Clean sheets 6
2 Failed to score 2
1 Longest winning run 3
2-0 Biggest win 4-0
1-2 Biggest defeat 2-3
2/3 Penalties scored 2/4

Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica: preview and prediction

Orense SC host Universidad Catolica in the Ecuador Liga Pro (Regular Season - 15) on Saturday, 23rd May 2026 at 22:30 at Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala. Orense SC sit 13th in the table and Universidad Catolica 2nd.

Orense SC have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-D-D). Universidad Catolica have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-L-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Orense SC won 1, Universidad Catolica won 3 and 4 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.1 goals for Orense SC and 0.9 for Universidad Catolica. It gives Orense SC the edge (40% home win, 31% draw, 29% away win), 32% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.43. We also like Home Win, Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica FAQs

What is the best prediction for Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.43 odds).

Who will win Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica?

Orense SC are favourites: our model gives Orense SC 40%, the draw 31% and Universidad Catolica 29%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 40% chance in our model, and it happened in 75% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2 goals in total, with a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 23rd May 2026 at 22:30 at Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala.

Who is the referee?

Anthony Diaz, Ecuador is in charge of this game.