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Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey Prediction, H2H & Stats

Kazakhstan: Premier League · Regular Season - 18
Ordabasy

Ordabasy

1st in table
WWWDL
Full time
3:1
HT 2 - 1
Yelimay Semey

Yelimay Semey

6th in table
LWWDL
7' B. Johnsen
12' F. Placca
19' B. Johnsen
28' A. Baygaliev
37' G. Kilama
40' A. Ashirbek
59' E. Berezkin
60' E. Astanov (Penalty)
64' D. Abagna
84' M. Omatay
90+4' B. Shayzada
Sunday, 19 July 2026
Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov
S. Karabaev

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5games
2Ordabasy wins
2Draws
1Yelimay Semey wins
2.8Goals per game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
14 Jun 2026Premier League Yelimay Semey 1 - 3 Ordabasy
28 Sep 2025Premier League Yelimay Semey 2 - 1 Ordabasy
15 Jun 2025Premier League Ordabasy 1 - 1 Yelimay Semey
10 Nov 2024Premier League Ordabasy 2 - 1 Yelimay Semey
28 Apr 2024Premier League Yelimay Semey 1 - 1 Ordabasy

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Ordabasy 302154 59:23 +36 68 LDWWW
2 Kairat Almaty 301983 60:23 +37 65 DDWWL
3 FC Astana 301596 48:31 +17 54 DDDWL
4 Okzhetpes 301668 49:38 +11 54 WWWLW
5 Aktobe 301479 47:39 +8 49 WDLWD
6 Yelimay Semey 301299 43:44 -1 45 LDWWL
7 FK Tobol Kostanay 3012513 42:42 0 41 LDWWL
8 Zhenys 309912 32:40 -8 36 WDLLL
9 Ulytau 309813 27:38 -11 35 LLLWD
10 Kyzyl-Zhar 309615 31:42 -11 33 WWLWD
11 Kaspiy 309615 32:44 -12 33 LLDWW
12 Irtysh 308814 31:44 -13 32 WWLLL
13 Atyrau 3061212 27:35 -8 30 WLDLW
14 Altay 3061014 31:42 -11 28 DDDLL
15 Zhetysu 306915 31:49 -18 27 DDWLL
16 Kaisar 3041313 25:41 -16 25 LDLLD

Top scorers

Premier League
1 Marc GualKairat Almaty 4goals 2assists 7apps
2 N. JamborAltay 3goals 0assists 20apps
3 Léo NatelOrdabasy 3goals 0assists 16apps
4 Gian MartinsZhenys 2goals 2assists 19apps
5 Adílio SantosZhenys 2goals 1assists 20apps
6 NaniAktobe 1goals 3assists 15apps
7 M. VukčevićFK Tobol Kostanay 1goals 1assists 8apps
8 B. KalaicaFC Astana 1goals 0assists 18apps
9 Lucas ÁfricoKairat Almaty 1goals 0assists 14apps
10 A. MerkelZhenys 0goals 0assists 17apps

Recent form

7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premier League Irtysh 2 - 0 Ordabasy L
24 Oct 2026Premier League Ordabasy 1 - 1 Zhenys D
17 Oct 2026Premier League Aktobe 1 - 3 Ordabasy W
11 Oct 2026Premier League Kaisar 1 - 4 Ordabasy W
17 Sep 2026Premier League Atyrau 0 - 3 Ordabasy W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Ordabasy 1 - 0 FC Astana W
05 Sep 2026Premier League Okzhetpes 2 - 1 Ordabasy L
29 Aug 2026Premier League Ordabasy 3 - 0 Kyzyl-Zhar W
19 Aug 2026Cup Altay 1 - 2 Ordabasy W
15 Aug 2026Premier League Ordabasy 3 - 1 Altay W
4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premier League Yelimay Semey 1 - 4 Okzhetpes L
25 Oct 2026Premier League Altay 2 - 2 Yelimay Semey D
18 Oct 2026Premier League Yelimay Semey 2 - 1 Ulytau W
14 Oct 2026Premier League Atyrau 1 - 2 Yelimay Semey W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Yelimay Semey 1 - 3 Aktobe L
17 Sep 2026Premier League FK Tobol Kostanay 0 - 2 Yelimay Semey W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Yelimay Semey 2 - 1 Zhetysu W
06 Sep 2026Premier League FC Astana 4 - 0 Yelimay Semey L
31 Aug 2026Premier League Yelimay Semey 0 - 2 Kairat Almaty L
16 Aug 2026Premier League Kaspiy 2 - 2 Yelimay Semey D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Ordabasy Draw Yelimay Semey
Value spotted: Yelimay Semey win at 4.96 (model 33% vs market 19%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.2%
1-0 9.7%
2-1 8.8%
0-1 8.4%
1-2 7.6%
2-0 7.1%

Expected goals: 1.45 Ordabasy · 1.25 Yelimay Semey

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
57%
Form
43%
53%
Attack
47%
64%
Defence
36%
55%
Goal model
45%
62%
Head to head
38%
57%
Goals
43%
58%
Overall
42%

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
4
3
16-30'
4
5
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
3
7
61-75'
5
8
76-90'
8
2
0-15'
3
2
16-30'
3
2
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
3
3
76-90'
4
Ordabasy Yelimay Semey

Side by side

Ordabasy Yelimay Semey
17 Played 16
12 Won 7
4 Drawn 5
1 Lost 4
1.8 Goals scored per game 1.5
0.7 Goals conceded per game 1.2
1.8 / 1.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1.8
8 Clean sheets 4
1 Failed to score 2
7 Longest winning run 3
2-0 Biggest win 2-0
3-2 Biggest defeat 1-3
2/2 Penalties scored 3/3

Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey: preview and prediction

Ordabasy host Yelimay Semey in the Kazakhstan Premier League (Regular Season - 18) on Sunday, 19th July 2026 at 17:00 at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov. Ordabasy sit 1st in the table and Yelimay Semey 6th.

Ordabasy are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-D-L). Yelimay Semey have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-L).

In the last 5 meetings, Ordabasy won 2, Yelimay Semey won 1 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 60%.

Our goal model expects about 1.45 goals for Ordabasy and 1.25 for Yelimay Semey. It gives Ordabasy the edge (42% home win, 26% draw, 33% away win), 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.15.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.15 odds).

Who will win Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey?

Ordabasy are favourites: our model gives Ordabasy 42%, the draw 26% and Yelimay Semey 33%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.7 goals in total, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Ordabasy vs Yelimay Semey?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 19th July 2026 at 17:00 at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.

Who is the referee?

S. Karabaev is in charge of this game.