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Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty Prediction, H2H & Stats

Kazakhstan: Premier League · Regular Season - 12
Ordabasy

Ordabasy

1st in table
WWWDL
Full time
2:1
HT 1 - 1
Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty

2nd in table
DWLDD
13' Jorginho
26' Guy-Marcelin Kilama
41' Dan Glazer
49' Mihai Căpățînă
64' Elkhan Astanov
64' Elkhan Astanov
76' Guy-Marcelin Kilama
Thursday, 28 May 2026
Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov
B. Sariev

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3Ordabasy wins
1Draws
4Kairat Almaty wins
2.5Goals per game
50%Both scored
63%Over 2.5
29 Jun 2025Premier League Ordabasy 0 - 1 Kairat Almaty
14 May 2025Cup Ordabasy 1 - 0 Kairat Almaty
08 Mar 2025Premier League Kairat Almaty 4 - 0 Ordabasy
02 Nov 2024Premier League Kairat Almaty 2 - 1 Ordabasy
31 Mar 2024Premier League Ordabasy 1 - 2 Kairat Almaty
20 Aug 2023Premier League Ordabasy 1 - 0 Kairat Almaty
23 Apr 2023Premier League Kairat Almaty 2 - 2 Ordabasy
15 Sep 2022Premier League Kairat Almaty 1 - 2 Ordabasy

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Ordabasy 302154 59:23 +36 68 LDWWW
2 Kairat Almaty 301983 60:23 +37 65 DDWWL
3 FC Astana 301596 48:31 +17 54 DDDWL
4 Okzhetpes 301668 49:38 +11 54 WWWLW
5 Aktobe 301479 47:39 +8 49 WDLWD
6 Yelimay Semey 301299 43:44 -1 45 LDWWL
7 FK Tobol Kostanay 3012513 42:42 0 41 LDWWL
8 Zhenys 309912 32:40 -8 36 WDLLL
9 Ulytau 309813 27:38 -11 35 LLLWD
10 Kyzyl-Zhar 309615 31:42 -11 33 WWLWD
11 Kaspiy 309615 32:44 -12 33 LLDWW
12 Irtysh 308814 31:44 -13 32 WWLLL
13 Atyrau 3061212 27:35 -8 30 WLDLW
14 Altay 3061014 31:42 -11 28 DDDLL
15 Zhetysu 306915 31:49 -18 27 DDWLL
16 Kaisar 3041313 25:41 -16 25 LDLLD

Top scorers

Premier League
1 Marc GualKairat Almaty 4goals 2assists 7apps
2 N. JamborAltay 3goals 0assists 20apps
3 Léo NatelOrdabasy 3goals 0assists 16apps
4 Gian MartinsZhenys 2goals 2assists 19apps
5 Adílio SantosZhenys 2goals 1assists 20apps
6 NaniAktobe 1goals 3assists 15apps
7 M. VukčevićFK Tobol Kostanay 1goals 1assists 8apps
8 B. KalaicaFC Astana 1goals 0assists 18apps
9 Lucas ÁfricoKairat Almaty 1goals 0assists 14apps
10 A. MerkelZhenys 0goals 0assists 17apps

Recent form

7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premier League Irtysh 2 - 0 Ordabasy L
24 Oct 2026Premier League Ordabasy 1 - 1 Zhenys D
17 Oct 2026Premier League Aktobe 1 - 3 Ordabasy W
11 Oct 2026Premier League Kaisar 1 - 4 Ordabasy W
17 Sep 2026Premier League Atyrau 0 - 3 Ordabasy W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Ordabasy 1 - 0 FC Astana W
05 Sep 2026Premier League Okzhetpes 2 - 1 Ordabasy L
29 Aug 2026Premier League Ordabasy 3 - 0 Kyzyl-Zhar W
19 Aug 2026Cup Altay 1 - 2 Ordabasy W
15 Aug 2026Premier League Ordabasy 3 - 1 Altay W
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premier League Kairat Almaty 1 - 1 Altay D
25 Oct 2026Premier League Aktobe 2 - 2 Kairat Almaty D
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Kairat Almaty 1 - 5 Panathinaikos L
18 Oct 2026Premier League Kairat Almaty 5 - 0 Irtysh W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Riga 1 - 1 Kairat Almaty D
10 Oct 2026Premier League Kairat Almaty 1 - 0 Zhetysu W
17 Sep 2026Premier League FC Astana 1 - 0 Kairat Almaty L
13 Sep 2026Premier League Kairat Almaty 1 - 4 FK Tobol Kostanay L
09 Sep 2026Premier League Kairat Almaty 3 - 0 Zhenys W
05 Sep 2026Premier League Kaspiy 0 - 3 Kairat Almaty W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Ordabasy Draw Kairat Almaty

Most likely scores

1-0 14%
1-1 13.3%
0-0 11.6%
0-1 11.1%
2-0 8.4%
2-1 8%

Expected goals: 1.2 Ordabasy · 0.95 Kairat Almaty

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals63%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Over 3.5 goals17%
Both teams score43%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
54%
Form
46%
60%
Attack
40%
60%
Defence
40%
44%
Goal model
56%
20%
Head to head
80%
25%
Goals
75%
43%
Overall
56%

Season numbers

Premier League 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
3
4
61-75'
4
6
76-90'
4
1
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
2
Ordabasy Kairat Almaty

Side by side

Ordabasy Kairat Almaty
11 Played 12
7 Won 7
4 Drawn 5
0 Lost 0
1.7 Goals scored per game 1.4
0.6 Goals conceded per game 0.5
1.8 / 1.6 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 1.1
5 Clean sheets 7
1 Failed to score 2
3 Longest winning run 2
2-0 Biggest win 4-0
- Biggest defeat -
2/2 Penalties scored 0/1

Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty: preview and prediction

Ordabasy host Kairat Almaty in the Kazakhstan Premier League (Regular Season - 12) on Thursday, 28th May 2026 at 16:00 at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov. Ordabasy sit 1st in the table and Kairat Almaty 2nd.

Ordabasy are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-D-L). Kairat Almaty have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-L-D-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Ordabasy won 3, Kairat Almaty won 4 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 63%.

Our goal model expects about 1.2 goals for Ordabasy and 0.95 for Kairat Almaty. It gives Ordabasy the edge (42% home win, 29% draw, 29% away win), 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.34. We also like BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.34 odds).

Who will win Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty?

Ordabasy are favourites: our model gives Ordabasy 42%, the draw 29% and Kairat Almaty 29%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 43% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.2 goals in total, with a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Ordabasy vs Kairat Almaty?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 28th May 2026 at 16:00 at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.

Who is the referee?

B. Sariev is in charge of this game.