Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol' Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ukraine: Persha Liga
· Regular Season - 9 Head to head
Last 1 meetings
1 - 0
Yarud Mariupol'
Persha Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viktoriya Mykolaivka |
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:10 | +7 | 25 |
| 2 |  SK Poltava |
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24:11 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 | Yarud Mariupol' |
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 | Oleksandria |
13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19:11 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 |  Ahrobiznes Volochysk |
12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:14 | +5 | 23 |
| 6 |  Kulykiv |
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 26:17 | +9 | 21 |
| 7 |  Nyva Ternopil |
13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 18 |
| 8 |  Lokomotiv Kyiv |
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:16 | +1 | 17 |
| 9 |  Inhulets |
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 |  Prykarpattia |
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Metal Kharkiv |
13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 |  UCSA |
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Kolos Kovalivka II |
13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:22 | -10 | 13 |
| 14 |  Chernihiv |
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 |  Probiy Horodenka |
13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12:32 | -20 | 9 |
| 16 |  Polissya II |
13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18:27 | -9 | 8 |
Recent form
2 - 0
Probiy Horodenka
W
1 - 1
Oleksandria
D
1 - 3
Lokomotiv Kyiv
L
0 - 2
Oleksandria
W
1 - 1
Yarud Mariupol'
D
1 - 0
Oleksandria
L
1 - 0
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
W
1 - 1
Oleksandria
D
0 - 0
Oleksandria
D
1 - 0
Chernihiv
W
0 - 2
Yarud Mariupol'
W
4 - 1
Inhulets
W
1 - 2
Yarud Mariupol'
W
0 - 0
Nyva Ternopil
D
1 - 1
Yarud Mariupol'
D
2 - 1
Polissya II
W
0 - 2
Yarud Mariupol'
W
0 - 2
Zorya Luhansk
L
1 - 1
Kulykiv
D
1 - 3
Yarud Mariupol'
W
Who wins? Three ways to read it
1 · X · 2Most likely scores
Expected goals: 1.25 Oleksandria · 1 Yarud Mariupol'
Goal lines
Team comparison
Season numbers
Persha Liga 2026When the goals come
Side by side
Oleksandria
Yarud Mariupol'
Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol': preview and prediction
Oleksandria host Yarud Mariupol' in the Ukraine Persha Liga (Regular Season - 9) on Sunday, 27th September 2026 at 12:00. Oleksandria sit 4th in the table and Yarud Mariupol' 3rd.
Oleksandria have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-L-D-W). Yarud Mariupol' are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-W-W-W).
In the last 1 meetings, Oleksandria won 1, Yarud Mariupol' won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 1 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.
Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Oleksandria and 1 for Yarud Mariupol'. It gives Oleksandria the edge (42% home win, 28% draw, 30% away win), 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.
Our pick was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.75. We also like BTTS No.
Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol' FAQs
What is the best prediction for Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol'?
Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 (1.75 odds).
Who will win Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol'?
Oleksandria are favourites: our model gives Oleksandria 42%, the draw 28% and Yarud Mariupol' 30%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams scoring has a 45% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.
How many goals are expected?
Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals.
When is Oleksandria vs Yarud Mariupol'?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 27th September 2026 at 12:00.