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Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction, H2H & Stats

Latvia: Virsliga · Regular Season - 23
Ogre United

Ogre United

10th in table
WLLLD
Full time
0:4
HT 0 - 1
BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils

4th in table
DWWWW
12' R. Skrebels
17' A. Traore
45+4' K. Cudars
54' D. Kivinda
58' A. Traore
77' A. Traore
84' E. Pinaskins
Sunday, 19 July 2026
Ogre
V. Mordatenko

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
0Ogre United wins
0Draws
2BFC Daugavpils wins
3.5Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
21 May 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 3 - 1 Ogre United
07 Apr 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 1 Ogre United

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Rīgas FS 352852 87:24 +63 89 WWWWW
2 Riga 352582 95:33 +62 83 DWWWW
3 Auda 352177 61:38 +23 70 WWLWD
4 BFC Daugavpils 3514912 42:37 +5 51 WWWWD
5 FK Liepaja 3513913 49:49 0 48 DDWLD
6 Super Nova 3511618 35:53 -18 39 DLLLW
7 FS Jelgava 358819 37:61 -24 32 LLLLL
8 Grobiņa 3561118 27:64 -37 29 LLWLD
9 Tukums 3551020 44:67 -23 25 LDLLD
10 Ogre United 354724 34:85 -51 19 DLLLW

Top scorers

Virsliga
1 M. BadamosiRiga 4goals 0assists 32apps
2 E. DašķevičsAuda 4goals 0assists 29apps
3 PauloRiga 3goals 1assists 15apps
4 Ž. LipuščekRīgas FS 3goals 0assists 34apps
5 M. OšsSuper Nova 3goals 0assists 32apps
6 Filip HašekFS Jelgava 3goals 0assists 30apps
7 A. AppiahAuda 3goals 1assists 16apps
8 D. KiwindaBFC Daugavpils 2goals 2assists 21apps
9 D. LemajićRīgas FS 2goals 1assists 30apps
10 A. HaïdaraFK Liepaja 2goals 0assists 33apps

Recent form

1 W 2 D 7 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Virsliga Ogre United 0 - 0 Riga D
25 Oct 2026Virsliga Ogre United 1 - 4 Auda L
17 Oct 2026Virsliga Grobiņa 3 - 2 Ogre United L
11 Oct 2026Virsliga Ogre United 1 - 2 BFC Daugavpils L
20 Sep 2026Virsliga Ogre United 1 - 0 Super Nova W
16 Sep 2026Virsliga Auda 1 - 0 Ogre United L
11 Sep 2026Virsliga Ogre United 2 - 2 FK Liepaja D
05 Sep 2026Virsliga Tukums 2 - 1 Ogre United L
30 Aug 2026Virsliga Ogre United 0 - 3 Rīgas FS L
22 Aug 2026Virsliga Ogre United 2 - 3 FS Jelgava L
4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 0 Tukums W
25 Oct 2026Virsliga FS Jelgava 0 - 1 BFC Daugavpils W
19 Oct 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 1 Auda W
11 Oct 2026Virsliga Ogre United 1 - 2 BFC Daugavpils W
19 Sep 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils D
13 Sep 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 1 - 2 Rīgas FS L
07 Sep 2026Virsliga Riga 1 - 1 BFC Daugavpils D
02 Sep 2026Cup BFC Daugavpils 2 - 2 Auda D
29 Aug 2026Virsliga Grobiņa 1 - 0 BFC Daugavpils L
22 Aug 2026Virsliga Super Nova 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Ogre United Draw BFC Daugavpils
Value spotted: Ogre United win at 4.47 (model 40% vs market 20%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.4%
2-1 8.6%
1-2 8.1%
1-0 6.7%
2-2 6.7%
0-1 6.3%

Expected goals: 1.65 Ogre United · 1.55 BFC Daugavpils

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams score64%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
53%
Form
47%
58%
Attack
42%
24%
Defence
76%
45%
Goal model
55%
0%
Head to head
100%
29%
Goals
71%
41%
Overall
58%

Season numbers

Virsliga 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
5
4
46-60'
13
2
61-75'
3
4
76-90'
2
6
0-15'
0
10
16-30'
3
14
31-45'
3
9
46-60'
9
6
61-75'
4
15
76-90'
8
Ogre United BFC Daugavpils

Side by side

Ogre United BFC Daugavpils
22 Played 22
3 Won 7
4 Drawn 6
15 Lost 9
1 Goals scored per game 1.1
2.5 Goals conceded per game 1.3
1.2 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1.3
1 Clean sheets 5
7 Failed to score 6
1 Longest winning run 4
3-2 Biggest win 3-1
1-4 Biggest defeat 1-3
4/4 Penalties scored 2/3

Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils: preview and prediction

Ogre United host BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia Virsliga (Regular Season - 23) on Sunday, 19th July 2026 at 15:00 at Ogre. Ogre United sit 10th in the table and BFC Daugavpils 4th.

Ogre United are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-D). BFC Daugavpils are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-W-W-W).

In the last 2 meetings, Ogre United won 0, BFC Daugavpils won 2 and 0 ended level. These games average 3.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.65 goals for Ogre United and 1.55 for BFC Daugavpils. It gives Ogre United the edge (40% home win, 23% draw, 36% away win), 62% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Over 2.5 at odds of 1.54.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 (1.54 odds).

Who will win Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?

Ogre United are favourites: our model gives Ogre United 40%, the draw 23% and BFC Daugavpils 36%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 64% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.2 goals in total, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 19th July 2026 at 15:00 at Ogre.

Who is the referee?

V. Mordatenko is in charge of this game.