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Novara vs Athletic Carpi Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italy: Serie C - Girone A · Girone A - 6
Novara

Novara

13th in table
WLDLW
Full time
2:2
HT 1 - 1
Athletic Carpi

Athletic Carpi

15th in table
LWWDL
1' C. Donadio
36' F. Casarini
51' F. Casarini (Penalty)
64' M. Miceli
74' M. Figoli
82' A. Valdesi
90' C. da Graca
Sunday, 20 September 2026
Stadio Silvio Piola, Novara
L. Di Mario

Serie C - Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Cittadella 121002 19:6 +13 30 WLWWL
2 Union Brescia 12741 23:9 +14 25 WWLWD
3 Trento 12660 17:6 +11 24 DWWWD
4 Arzignano Valchiampo 12633 17:12 +5 21 DWLWD
5 Ospitaletto 12543 18:11 +7 19 DLLWD
6 Treviso 12543 12:9 +3 19 LWWLD
7 Alcione 12462 21:18 +3 18 WLWDD
8 Lecco 12453 18:11 +7 17 WDWDD
9 Albinoleffe 12453 19:17 +2 17 WDDLW
10 Pergolettese 12453 12:12 0 17 LWWWD
11 Lumezzane 12345 13:17 -4 13 DLLDW
12 Desenzano Calvina 12345 10:14 -4 13 LLLWW
13 Novara 12345 11:16 -5 13 WLDLW
14 PRO Vercelli 12345 11:20 -9 13 DWLLW
15 Athletic Carpi 12336 16:26 -10 12 LWWLL
16 Giana Erminio 12255 13:17 -4 11 LWWDD
17 Juventus U23 12255 12:19 -7 11 DLWDL
18 Dolomiti Bellunesi 12246 8:18 -10 10 LLLLL
19 Renate 12156 14:16 -2 8 WDLDD
20 Folgore Caratese 12147 11:21 -10 7 LDLLL

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026Serie C - Girone A Novara 1 - 0 Desenzano Calvina W
25 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone A Arzignano Valchiampo 2 - 0 Novara L
18 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone A Albinoleffe 2 - 2 Novara D
10 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone A Novara 0 - 2 Cittadella L
04 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone A Dolomiti Bellunesi 1 - 2 Novara W
26 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Novara 0 - 2 Ospitaletto L
20 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Novara 2 - 2 Athletic Carpi D
17 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Lumezzane 0 - 0 Novara D
13 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Novara 0 - 1 Pergolettese L
07 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Renate 1 - 2 Novara W
2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Serie C - Girone A Athletic Carpi 0 - 5 Renate L
28 Oct 2026Coppa Italia Serie C Athletic Carpi 3 - 3 Ravenna D
24 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone A Alcione 1 - 2 Athletic Carpi W
17 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone A Athletic Carpi 3 - 1 Lumezzane W
10 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone A Pergolettese 2 - 1 Athletic Carpi L
03 Oct 2026Serie C - Girone A PRO Vercelli 2 - 0 Athletic Carpi L
27 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Athletic Carpi 0 - 3 Arzignano Valchiampo L
20 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Novara 2 - 2 Athletic Carpi D
17 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Athletic Carpi 2 - 2 Ospitaletto D
13 Sep 2026Serie C - Girone A Athletic Carpi 1 - 2 Cittadella L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Novara Draw Athletic Carpi
Value spotted: Athletic Carpi win at 3.70 (model 36% vs market 24%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.8%
0-1 10.3%
1-0 10.3%
0-0 8.2%
1-2 8%
2-1 8%

Expected goals: 1.25 Novara · 1.25 Athletic Carpi

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score51%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
33%
Attack
67%
67%
Defence
33%
46%
Goal model
54%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
49%
Overall
51%

Season numbers

Serie C - Girone A 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
6
0
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
3
0
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
1
Novara Athletic Carpi

Side by side

Novara Athletic Carpi
5 Played 5
1 Won 1
2 Drawn 2
2 Lost 2
0.8 Goals scored per game 1.6
1 Goals conceded per game 2
1 / 0.7 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 1
1 Clean sheets 1
3 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 1
1-2 Biggest win 0-1
0-1 Biggest defeat 1-2
0/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Novara vs Athletic Carpi: preview and prediction

Novara host Athletic Carpi in the Italy Serie C - Girone A (Girone A - 6) on Sunday, 20th September 2026 at 13:30 at Stadio Silvio Piola, Novara. Novara sit 13th in the table and Athletic Carpi 15th.

Novara have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-L-W). Athletic Carpi have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-L).

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Novara and 1.25 for Athletic Carpi. It gives Novara the edge (36% home win, 27% draw, 36% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.19.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Novara vs Athletic Carpi FAQs

What is the best prediction for Novara vs Athletic Carpi?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.19 odds).

Who will win Novara vs Athletic Carpi?

It looks very close: our model gives Novara 36%, the draw 27% and Athletic Carpi 36%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 51% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Novara vs Athletic Carpi?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 20th September 2026 at 13:30 at Stadio Silvio Piola, Novara.

Who is the referee?

L. Di Mario is in charge of this game.