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Notts County vs Oxford United Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: League One · Regular Season - 10
Notts County

Notts County

17th in table
WLWDW
Full time
1:2
HT 0 - 1
Oxford United

Oxford United

4th in table
DWDWD
7' Rod McDonald
18' M. Harris
23' Oliver Cooper
44' Louie Sibley
47' Max Sanders
58' Jacob Bedeau
70' Rory Finneran
77' Lucas Ness
82' Peter Kioso
87' Michał Helik
88' C. Brannagan
90' R. Finneran
Saturday, 10 October 2026
Meadow Lane, Nottingham
Carl Brook

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
0Notts County wins
0Draws
2Oxford United wins
5Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
02 Jan 2016League Two Notts County 2 - 4 Oxford United
18 Aug 2015League Two Oxford United 3 - 1 Notts County

League One table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Huddersfield 14851 28:12 +16 29 DWWWW
2 Stockport County 14824 26:14 +12 26 WLDWW
3 Luton 14734 27:21 +6 24 DWWWW
4 Oxford United 12651 20:11 +9 23 DWDWD
5 Plymouth 14725 21:19 +2 23 DWLLW
6 Reading 13643 25:13 +12 22 DWWLW
7 Bradford 13643 10:8 +2 22 LDDWD
8 Cambridge United 14563 21:21 0 21 LDLDW
9 Sheffield Wednesday 13553 22:14 +8 20 DDLLW
10 Leicester 13544 22:19 +3 19 DWLWW
11 Mansfield Town 13544 20:18 +2 19 DLWWD
12 Milton Keynes Dons 13463 22:20 +2 18 WWWLW
13 Wycombe 13463 21:23 -2 18 WDDWL
14 Leyton Orient 13526 19:14 +5 17 WLLWD
15 Burton Albion 14455 18:21 -3 17 LWDDL
16 Stevenage 12444 17:13 +4 16 DLWLW
17 Notts County 12354 13:14 -1 14 WDWLL
18 AFC Wimbledon 13346 9:21 -12 13 LDLLL
19 Blackpool 12336 17:21 -4 12 DLWLL
20 Doncaster 13337 14:22 -8 12 LLWLL
21 Wigan 14329 11:22 -11 11 DWLLL
22 Peterborough 13247 11:23 -12 10 LDLDW
23 Barnsley 12237 12:22 -10 9 DLLLL
24 Bromley 13238 13:33 -20 9 LLDLL

Top scorers

League One
1 A. CollinsMilton Keynes Dons 13goals 3assists 13apps
2 K. WoottonStockport County 9goals 1assists 14apps
3 J. TaylorHuddersfield 9goals 2assists 12apps
4 J. MarriottReading 8goals 0assists 8apps
5 D. Sanches FernandesHuddersfield 7goals 5assists 13apps
6 N. WellsLuton 7goals 2assists 13apps
7 M. SmithMansfield Town 6goals 2assists 11apps
8 J. StockleyAFC Wimbledon 6goals 1assists 13apps
9 M. HarrisOxford United 6goals 1assists 12apps
10 E. RiisLeicester 6goals 1assists 9apps

Recent form

4 W 1 D 3 L in the last 8
31 Oct 2026League One Mansfield Town 0 - 2 Notts County W
24 Oct 2026League One Notts County 1 - 1 Stockport County D
20 Oct 2026League One Notts County 2 - 0 Sheffield Wednesday W
17 Oct 2026League One Wycombe 2 - 0 Notts County L
13 Oct 2026EFL Trophy Notts County 5 - 1 Nottingham Forest U21 W
10 Oct 2026League One Notts County 1 - 2 Oxford United L
22 Sep 2026EFL Trophy Notts County 2 - 1 Grimsby W
19 Sep 2026League One Reading 2 - 0 Notts County L
5 W 5 D 0 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026League One Barnsley 1 - 1 Oxford United D
27 Oct 2026League One Oxford United 1 - 0 Stockport County W
24 Oct 2026League One Oxford United 0 - 0 Bradford D
20 Oct 2026League One Oxford United 2 - 1 Wigan W
15 Oct 2026League One Mansfield Town 1 - 1 Oxford United D
10 Oct 2026League One Notts County 1 - 2 Oxford United W
06 Oct 2026EFL Trophy Exeter City 2 - 2 Oxford United D
19 Sep 2026League One Oxford United 1 - 1 Cambridge United D
12 Sep 2026League One Oxford United 3 - 0 Burton Albion W
05 Sep 2026League One Leicester 0 - 4 Oxford United W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Notts County Draw Oxford United
Value spotted: Oxford United win at 2.62 (model 49% vs market 36%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11.5%
0-1 10%
1-2 9.5%
0-2 8.3%
1-0 7%
2-1 6.6%

Expected goals: 1.15 Notts County · 1.65 Oxford United

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
33%
Form
67%
27%
Attack
73%
45%
Defence
55%
34%
Goal model
66%
0%
Head to head
100%
30%
Goals
70%
33%
Overall
66%

Season numbers

League One 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
6
1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
2
Notts County Oxford United

Side by side

Notts County Oxford United
7 Played 6
1 Won 3
4 Drawn 2
2 Lost 1
1 Goals scored per game 2.2
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.2
1 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 2.3
0 Clean sheets 2
2 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 2
2-1 Biggest win 3-0
0-1 Biggest defeat 3-1
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

Notts County vs Oxford United: preview and prediction

Notts County host Oxford United in the England League One (Regular Season - 10) on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 12:30 at Meadow Lane, Nottingham. Notts County sit 17th in the table and Oxford United 4th.

Notts County are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-D-W). Oxford United are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-D-W-D).

In the last 2 meetings, Notts County won 0, Oxford United won 2 and 0 ended level. These games average 5 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for Notts County and 1.65 for Oxford United. It gives Oxford United the edge (27% home win, 24% draw, 49% away win), 53% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.81.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Notts County vs Oxford United FAQs

What is the best prediction for Notts County vs Oxford United?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 (1.81 odds).

Who will win Notts County vs Oxford United?

Oxford United are favourites: our model gives Notts County 27%, the draw 24% and Oxford United 49%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Notts County vs Oxford United?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 10th October 2026 at 12:30 at Meadow Lane, Nottingham.

Who is the referee?

Carl Brook is in charge of this game.