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Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Europa League · Semi-finals
Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

13th in table
LLLDL
Full time
1:0
HT 0 - 0
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

2nd in table
WWLDL
71' C. Wood (Penalty)
78' Youri Tielemans
Thursday, 30 April 2026
City Ground, Nottingham
Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
2Nottingham Forest wins
1Draws
4Aston Villa wins
3.1Goals per game
71%Both scored
57%Over 2.5
12 Apr 2026Premier League Nottingham Forest 1 - 1 Aston Villa
03 Jan 2026Premier League Aston Villa 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest
05 Apr 2025Premier League Aston Villa 2 - 1 Nottingham Forest
14 Dec 2024Premier League Nottingham Forest 2 - 1 Aston Villa
24 Feb 2024Premier League Aston Villa 4 - 2 Nottingham Forest
05 Nov 2023Premier League Nottingham Forest 2 - 0 Aston Villa
08 Apr 2023Premier League Aston Villa 2 - 0 Nottingham Forest

UEFA Europa League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Lyon 8701 18:5 +13 21 WWWWL
2 Aston Villa 8701 14:6 +8 21 WWWWW
3 FC Midtjylland 8611 18:8 +10 19 WDWLW
4 Real Betis 8521 13:7 +6 17 WLWWW
5 FC Porto 8521 13:7 +6 17 WDWWD
6 SC Braga 8521 11:5 +6 17 DWWDL
7 SC Freiburg 8521 10:4 +6 17 LWWDW
8 AS Roma 8512 13:6 +7 16 DWWWW
9 Genk 8512 11:7 +4 16 WWLWW
10 Bologna 8431 14:7 +7 15 WDWWD
11 VfB Stuttgart 8503 15:9 +6 15 WLWWW
12 Ferencvarosi TC 8431 12:11 +1 15 LDWDW
13 Nottingham Forest 8422 15:7 +8 14 WLWWD
14 Plzen 8350 8:3 +5 14 WDDDD
15 FK Crvena Zvezda 8422 7:6 +1 14 DWWWW
16 Celta Vigo 8413 15:11 +4 13 DWLLW
17 PAOK 8332 17:14 +3 12 LWDDW
18 Lille 8404 12:9 +3 12 WLLWL
19 Fenerbahçe 8332 10:7 +3 12 DLWDD
20 Panathinaikos 8332 11:9 +2 12 DDDWW
21 Celtic 8323 13:15 -2 11 WDLWL
22 Ludogorets 8314 12:15 -3 10 WLDWL
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8314 12:16 -4 10 LWLLL
24 Brann 8233 9:11 -2 9 LDLDD
25 BSC Young Boys 8305 10:16 -6 9 LLWLL
26 Sturm Graz 8215 5:11 -6 7 WLLLD
27 FCSB 8215 9:16 -7 7 DLWLL
28 GO Ahead Eagles 8215 6:14 -8 7 DLLLL
29 Feyenoord 8206 11:15 -4 6 LWLLL
30 FC Basel 1893 8206 9:13 -4 6 LLLLW
31 Red Bull Salzburg 8206 10:15 -5 6 LWLLW
32 Rangers 8116 5:14 -9 4 LWLDL
33 Nice 8107 7:15 -8 3 LWLLL
34 Utrecht 8017 5:15 -10 1 LLLLD
35 Malmo FF 8017 4:15 -11 1 LLLLL
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8017 2:22 -20 1 LLLLL

Top scorers

UEFA Europa League
1 M. MouandilmadjiSamsunspor 11goals 1assists 26apps
2 Igor JesusNottingham Forest 7goals 1assists 13apps
3 P. StanićLudogorets 7goals 1assists 11apps
4 AntonyReal Betis 6goals 3assists 10apps
5 K. AktürkoğluFenerbahçe 6goals 1assists 9apps
6 O. WatkinsAston Villa 5goals 2assists 15apps
7 J. McGinnAston Villa 5goals 2assists 12apps
8 W. SwedbergCelta Vigo 5goals 2assists 10apps
9 D. BeljoDinamo Zagreb 5goals 1assists 8apps
10 B. El KhannoussVfB Stuttgart 5goals 0assists 11apps

Recent form

1 W 3 D 6 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premier League Brentford 2 - 0 Nottingham Forest L
23 Oct 2026Premier League Ipswich 1 - 1 Nottingham Forest D
18 Oct 2026Premier League Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 Arsenal L
11 Oct 2026Premier League Crystal Palace 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest L
19 Sep 2026Premier League Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 Coventry L
12 Sep 2026Premier League Aston Villa 1 - 2 Nottingham Forest W
05 Sep 2026Premier League Nottingham Forest 0 - 0 Tottenham D
29 Aug 2026Premier League Liverpool 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest D
25 Aug 2026League Cup Nottingham Forest 0 - 2 Leeds L
22 Aug 2026Premier League Nottingham Forest 0 - 1 Leeds L
6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026UEFA Champions League Barcelona 3 - 0 Aston Villa L
31 Oct 2026Premier League Aston Villa 1 - 1 Fulham D
28 Oct 2026League Cup Bournemouth 3 - 0 Aston Villa L
24 Oct 2026Premier League Aston Villa 2 - 1 Manchester City W
21 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Aston Villa 3 - 1 Viking W
17 Oct 2026Premier League Newcastle 0 - 1 Aston Villa W
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Aston Villa 6 - 0 Fenerbahçe W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Aston Villa 2 - 2 Brentford D
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Sevilla 1 - 3 Aston Villa W
19 Sep 2026Premier League Tottenham 2 - 3 Aston Villa W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Nottingham Forest Draw Aston Villa

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
0-1 9.7%
1-0 9.7%
1-2 8.2%
2-1 8.2%
0-0 7.4%

Expected goals: 1.3 Nottingham Forest · 1.3 Aston Villa

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams score53%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
32%
Form
68%
32%
Attack
68%
38%
Defence
63%
41%
Goal model
59%
29%
Head to head
71%
39%
Goals
61%
35%
Overall
65%

Season numbers

UEFA Europa League 2025

When the goals come

1
0-15'
3
7
16-30'
4
3
31-45'
4
6
46-60'
4
1
61-75'
3
4
76-90'
6
3
0-15'
0
4
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
3
1
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
2
Nottingham Forest Aston Villa

Side by side

Nottingham Forest Aston Villa
14 Played 12
7 Won 11
3 Drawn 0
4 Lost 1
1.7 Goals scored per game 2
0.9 Goals conceded per game 0.6
1.9 / 1.6 Scored per game (home / away) 2.3 / 1.7
6 Clean sheets 7
3 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 2
4-0 Biggest win 4-0
2-3 Biggest defeat 2-1
4/4 Penalties scored 1/1

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa: preview and prediction

Nottingham Forest host Aston Villa in the World UEFA Europa League (Semi-finals) on Thursday, 30th April 2026 at 20:00 at City Ground, Nottingham. Nottingham Forest sit 13th in the table and Aston Villa 2nd.

Nottingham Forest are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-D-L). Aston Villa have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-D-L).

In the last 7 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 2, Aston Villa won 4 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% and over 2.5 goals in 57%.

Our goal model expects about 1.3 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.3 for Aston Villa. It gives Nottingham Forest the edge (37% home win, 26% draw, 37% away win), 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.47. We also like Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa FAQs

What is the best prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.47 odds).

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa?

It looks very close: our model gives Nottingham Forest 37%, the draw 26% and Aston Villa 37%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 53% chance in our model, and it happened in 71% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.6 goals in total, with a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 30th April 2026 at 20:00 at City Ground, Nottingham.

Who is the referee?

Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal is in charge of this game.