Nocerina vs USD Palmese Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italy: Serie D - Girone H · Group H - 5
Nocerina

Nocerina

11th in table
DLLLL
Full time
3:0
HT 1 - 0
USD Palmese

USD Palmese

12th in table
WLWDL
39' F. Cardella
85' A. Romano
90' E. Santaniello
Sunday, 27 September 2026

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5games
3Nocerina wins
0Draws
2USD Palmese wins
3.6Goals per game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
08 Feb 2026Serie D - Girone G Nocerina 1 - 2 USD Palmese
05 Oct 2025Serie D - Girone G USD Palmese 0 - 1 Nocerina
31 Aug 2025Coppa Italia Serie D Nocerina 3 - 2 USD Palmese
30 Mar 2025Serie D - Girone H Nocerina 3 - 1 USD Palmese
17 Nov 2024Serie D - Girone H USD Palmese 3 - 2 Nocerina

Serie D - Girone H table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Virtus Francavilla 10802 19:11 +8 24 WWLWL
2 Martina Franca 10712 20:9 +11 22 WDWWW
3 Brindisi 10703 15:8 +7 21 WWWWW
4 Turris 10541 16:9 +7 19 LDWWD
5 Gravina 10451 18:12 +6 17 WDDDW
6 Manfredonia 10523 15:11 +4 17 WLWLW
7 Fidelis Andria 10514 14:13 +1 16 WWWWW
8 Bisceglie 10505 15:14 +1 15 LLLWL
9 Gladiator 10433 17:17 0 15 WWDDD
10 Real Normanna 10343 15:16 -1 13 DDDLL
11 Nocerina 10415 14:15 -1 13 LLLLW
12 USD Palmese 10325 16:19 -3 11 LDWLW
13 Ischia 10235 13:16 -3 9 WDLWD
14 Ebolitana 10235 8:16 -8 9 LDLLD
15 Real Forio 2014 10226 13:17 -4 8 DLLLL
16 Francavilla 10226 7:12 -5 8 LWDDL
17 Melfi 10226 5:14 -9 8 LDWLL
18 Nardò 10136 8:19 -11 4 LLLDL

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Serie D - Girone H Gravina 2 - 1 Nocerina L
25 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone H Nocerina 1 - 2 Gladiator L
18 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone H Martina Franca 2 - 0 Nocerina L
11 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone H Nocerina 0 - 1 Brindisi L
07 Oct 2026Coppa Italia Serie D Nocerina 1 - 1 Turris D
04 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone H Melfi 0 - 1 Nocerina W
27 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone H Nocerina 3 - 0 USD Palmese W
20 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone H Bisceglie 3 - 1 Nocerina L
16 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone H Nocerina 3 - 2 Ischia W
12 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone H Manfredonia 2 - 2 Nocerina D
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Serie D - Girone H USD Palmese 1 - 2 Ischia L
24 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone H Melfi 2 - 2 USD Palmese D
18 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone H USD Palmese 2 - 0 Ebolitana W
11 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone H Bisceglie 3 - 2 USD Palmese L
04 Oct 2026Serie D - Girone H USD Palmese 4 - 2 Nardò W
01 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Juve Stabia 4 - 1 USD Palmese L
27 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone H Nocerina 3 - 0 USD Palmese L
20 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone H USD Palmese 3 - 4 Real Normanna L
16 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone H Francavilla 0 - 1 USD Palmese W
13 Sep 2026Serie D - Girone H USD Palmese 0 - 0 Turris D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Nocerina Draw USD Palmese
Value spotted: USD Palmese win at 5.24 (model 24% vs market 18%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.7%
2-1 9.7%
1-0 7.8%
2-0 7.8%
3-1 6.5%
1-2 6.1%

Expected goals: 2 Nocerina · 1.25 USD Palmese

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams score62%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
64%
Form
36%
62%
Attack
38%
47%
Defence
53%
64%
Goal model
36%
60%
Head to head
40%
56%
Goals
44%
58%
Overall
41%

Season numbers

Serie D - Girone H 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
2
2
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
4
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
3
Nocerina USD Palmese

Side by side

Nocerina USD Palmese
4 Played 4
2 Won 1
1 Drawn 1
1 Lost 2
2 Goals scored per game 1.3
2 Goals conceded per game 1.8
2.5 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 1
0 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 1
3-2 Biggest win 0-1
3-1 Biggest defeat 3-4
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Nocerina vs USD Palmese: preview and prediction

Nocerina host USD Palmese in the Italy Serie D - Girone H (Group H - 5) on Sunday, 27th September 2026 at 14:00. Nocerina sit 11th in the table and USD Palmese 12th.

Nocerina are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-L). USD Palmese have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-D-L).

In the last 5 meetings, Nocerina won 3, USD Palmese won 2 and 0 ended level. These games average 3.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% and over 2.5 goals in 80%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Nocerina and 1.25 for USD Palmese. It gives Nocerina the edge (55% home win, 22% draw, 24% away win), 63% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was BTTS Yes at odds of 2.05.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Nocerina vs USD Palmese FAQs

What is the best prediction for Nocerina vs USD Palmese?

Our top tip is Both Teams to Score: BTTS Yes (2.05 odds).

Who will win Nocerina vs USD Palmese?

Nocerina are favourites: our model gives Nocerina 55%, the draw 22% and USD Palmese 24%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 62% chance in our model, and it happened in 80% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Nocerina vs USD Palmese?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 27th September 2026 at 14:00.