Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town Prediction, H2H & Stats

Wales: FAW Championship · North - 7
Newtown AFC

Newtown AFC

2nd in table
WDWDW
Full time
1:0
HT 0 - 0
Denbigh Town

Denbigh Town

12th in table
LLWLW
54'
Saturday, 5 September 2026
Latham Park, Newtown

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
1Newtown AFC wins
0Draws
1Denbigh Town wins
3.5Goals per game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
24 Jan 2026FAW Championship Denbigh Town 1 - 0 Newtown AFC
27 Sep 2025FAW Championship Newtown AFC 4 - 2 Denbigh Town

FAW Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Brickfield Rangers 131012 28:11 +17 31 DWLWW
2 Newtown AFC 12831 22:5 +17 27 WDDWL
3 Mold Alexandra 12732 30:15 +15 24 WWLWD
4 Porthmadog 13733 20:14 +6 24 DLWWW
5 Bala Town 13634 26:24 +2 21 DDLDL
6 Caersws 12552 25:18 +7 20 DDDDW
7 Bangor City 1876 FC 12543 25:19 +6 19 DDLLW
8 Guilsfield 13463 20:18 +2 18 DDLWW
9 Buckley Town 13436 25:23 +2 15 LLWDW
10 Llanuwchllyn 13436 23:31 -8 15 LDWLL
11 Holyhead Hotspur 12426 17:20 -3 14 WWDWL
12 Denbigh Town 12417 24:26 -2 13 WWLLW
13 Rhyl 13265 21:24 -3 12 LDDLL
14 Ruthin Town 12336 12:22 -10 12 WDDWL
15 Gresford Athletic 11218 7:24 -17 7 LLWWD
16 Penrhyncoch 120111 6:37 -31 1 LLLLL

Recent form

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026FAW Championship Newtown AFC 2 - 0 Buckley Town W
24 Oct 2026FAW Championship Rhyl 2 - 2 Newtown AFC D
17 Oct 2026Welsh Cup Newtown AFC 7 - 0 Llanuwchllyn W
10 Oct 2026FAW Championship Newtown AFC 0 - 0 Bangor City 1876 FC D
03 Oct 2026FAW Championship Mold Alexandra 1 - 2 Newtown AFC W
26 Sep 2026FAW Championship Newtown AFC 0 - 1 Porthmadog L
12 Sep 2026FAW Championship Holyhead Hotspur 0 - 1 Newtown AFC W
05 Sep 2026FAW Championship Newtown AFC 1 - 0 Denbigh Town W
31 Aug 2026FAW Championship Bala Town 0 - 1 Newtown AFC W
28 Aug 2026FAW Championship Newtown AFC 4 - 0 Llanuwchllyn W
3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026FAW Championship Llanuwchllyn 3 - 4 Denbigh Town W
16 Oct 2026Welsh Cup Denbigh Town 0 - 2 Bangor City 1876 FC L
10 Oct 2026FAW Championship Guilsfield 0 - 2 Denbigh Town W
02 Oct 2026FAW Championship Denbigh Town 2 - 4 Holyhead Hotspur L
26 Sep 2026FAW Championship Brickfield Rangers 2 - 0 Denbigh Town L
11 Sep 2026FAW Championship Denbigh Town 5 - 2 Bala Town W
05 Sep 2026FAW Championship Newtown AFC 1 - 0 Denbigh Town L
31 Aug 2026FAW Championship Denbigh Town 1 - 3 Rhyl L
28 Aug 2026FAW Championship Penrhyncoch 2 - 2 Denbigh Town D
21 Aug 2026FAW Championship Denbigh Town 2 - 3 Porthmadog L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Newtown AFC Draw Denbigh Town

Most likely scores

2-1 8.8%
3-1 7.8%
2-0 6.8%
1-1 6.6%
3-0 6%
2-2 5.7%

Expected goals: 2.65 Newtown AFC · 1.3 Denbigh Town

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Over 3.5 goals55%
Both teams score67%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
93%
Form
7%
67%
Attack
33%
92%
Defence
8%
88%
Goal model
12%
50%
Head to head
50%
57%
Goals
43%
74%
Overall
25%

Season numbers

FAW Championship 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
3
2
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
3
0
76-90'
3
Newtown AFC Denbigh Town

Side by side

Newtown AFC Denbigh Town
5 Played 6
4 Won 1
1 Drawn 1
0 Lost 4
2.8 Goals scored per game 1.8
0.2 Goals conceded per game 2.3
3.3 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 2.3
4 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 1
5-0 Biggest win 2-4
- Biggest defeat 1-3
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town: preview and prediction

Newtown AFC host Denbigh Town in the Wales FAW Championship (North - 7) on Saturday, 5th September 2026 at 14:30 at Latham Park, Newtown. Newtown AFC sit 2nd in the table and Denbigh Town 12th.

Newtown AFC are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-W-D-W). Denbigh Town are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-W).

In the last 2 meetings, Newtown AFC won 1, Denbigh Town won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 3.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 2.65 goals for Newtown AFC and 1.3 for Denbigh Town. It gives Newtown AFC the edge (66% home win, 17% draw, 17% away win), 75% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.40. We also like BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town FAQs

What is the best prediction for Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.40 odds).

Who will win Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town?

Newtown AFC are favourites: our model gives Newtown AFC 66%, the draw 17% and Denbigh Town 17%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 67% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4 goals in total, with a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 5th September 2026 at 14:30 at Latham Park, Newtown.