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Newport County vs Plymouth Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: EFL Trophy · Group South - 5
Newport County

Newport County

DDLWL
Full time
2:2
HT 1 - 0
Plymouth

Plymouth

WLLWD
3' K. Evans
39' Caleb Watts
59' Y. Bamba (Penalty)
75' A. Pepple
90' T. Bakinson
Tuesday, 6 October 2026
Rodney Parade, Newport

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Newport County wins
1Draws
5Plymouth wins
2.4Goals per game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
31 Aug 2021EFL Trophy Newport County 2 - 0 Plymouth
10 Nov 2020EFL Trophy Plymouth 3 - 1 Newport County
01 Feb 2020League Two Plymouth 1 - 0 Newport County
17 Aug 2019League Two Newport County 1 - 0 Plymouth
13 Nov 2018EFL Trophy Newport County 2 - 0 Plymouth
17 Apr 2017League Two Plymouth 6 - 1 Newport County
21 Dec 2016FA Cup Newport County 0 - 1 Plymouth
03 Dec 2016FA Cup Plymouth 0 - 0 Newport County
22 Oct 2016League Two Newport County 1 - 3 Plymouth

Top scorers

EFL Trophy
1 M. MothersilleWycombe 5goals 0assists 4apps
2 C. MillsLeeds United U21 4goals 1assists 2apps
3 E. TezgelWycombe 4goals 0assists 4apps
4 W. SwanBradford 4goals 0assists 3apps
5 S. Duke-McKennaCrawley Town 4goals 0assists 1apps
6 N. PowellBradford 4goals 0assists 2apps
7 Wanya MarçalStevenage 3goals 1assists 3apps
8 M. AsamoahPort Vale 3goals 0assists 3apps
9 A. BristrićLeicester 3goals 0assists 3apps
10 Harry AshfieldPeterborough 3goals 0assists 2apps

Recent form

4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026EFL Trophy Newport County 1 - 2 Crystal Palace U21 L
30 Oct 2026League Two Newport County 4 - 1 Chesterfield W
24 Oct 2026League Two Cheltenham 1 - 0 Newport County L
20 Oct 2026League Two Rotherham 2 - 2 Newport County D
17 Oct 2026League Two Newport County 1 - 1 York D
10 Oct 2026League Two Newport County 1 - 0 Colchester W
06 Oct 2026EFL Trophy Newport County 2 - 2 Plymouth D
03 Oct 2026League Two Gillingham 0 - 0 Newport County D
26 Sep 2026League Two Newport County 2 - 1 Grimsby W
22 Sep 2026EFL Trophy Swindon Town 0 - 2 Newport County W
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026League One Plymouth 0 - 0 Reading D
24 Oct 2026League One Cambridge United 2 - 3 Plymouth W
20 Oct 2026League One Stevenage 3 - 0 Plymouth L
17 Oct 2026League One Plymouth 0 - 2 Huddersfield L
10 Oct 2026League One Plymouth 2 - 1 AFC Wimbledon W
06 Oct 2026EFL Trophy Newport County 2 - 2 Plymouth D
03 Oct 2026League One Leyton Orient 0 - 2 Plymouth W
26 Sep 2026League One Plymouth 0 - 1 Burton Albion L
22 Sep 2026EFL Trophy Plymouth 5 - 1 Crystal Palace U21 W
19 Sep 2026League One Blackpool 2 - 4 Plymouth W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Newport County Draw Plymouth
Value spotted: Plymouth win at 1.61 (model 76% vs market 59%)

Most likely scores

1-3 6.5%
1-4 6.5%
1-5 5.2%
1-2 4.9%
2-3 4.9%
2-4 4.9%

Expected goals: 1.5 Newport County · 4 Plymouth

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals86%
Over 3.5 goals75%
Both teams score72%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
29%
Attack
71%
100%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
60%
Head to head
40%
60%
Goals
40%
49%
Overall
50%

Season numbers

EFL Trophy 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Newport County Plymouth

Side by side

Newport County Plymouth
1 Played 1
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
2 Goals scored per game 5
0 Goals conceded per game 1
0 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 5 / 0
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 1
0-2 Biggest win 5-1
- Biggest defeat -
0/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Newport County vs Plymouth: preview and prediction

Newport County host Plymouth in the England EFL Trophy (Group South - 5) on Tuesday, 6th October 2026 at 19:00 at Rodney Parade, Newport.

Newport County have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-L-W-L). Plymouth have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-W-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Newport County won 3, Plymouth won 5 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Newport County and 4 for Plymouth. It gives Plymouth the edge (9% home win, 10% draw, 76% away win), 86% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-3.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 2.12. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Newport County vs Plymouth FAQs

What is the best prediction for Newport County vs Plymouth?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (2.12 odds).

Who will win Newport County vs Plymouth?

Plymouth are favourites: our model gives Newport County 9%, the draw 10% and Plymouth 76%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 72% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 5.5 goals in total, with a 86% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Newport County vs Plymouth?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 6th October 2026 at 19:00 at Rodney Parade, Newport.