Necaxa vs Puebla Prediction, H2H & Stats

Mexico: Liga MX · Apertura - 8
Necaxa

Necaxa

17th in table
LDLLD
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 0
Puebla

Puebla

14th in table
LDDLL
45+1' Raúl Martínez
45+1' Fernando Monarrez
45+1' Juan Pablo Vargas
49' Carlos Baltazar
90+7' Luis Jimenez
90' M. Tomas
Saturday, 12 September 2026
Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
Joaquin Alberto Vizcarra Armenta, Mexico

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
5Necaxa wins
3Draws
1Puebla wins
2.2Goals per game
56%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
14 Mar 2026Liga MX Puebla 0 - 0 Necaxa
20 Sep 2025Liga MX Necaxa 1 - 0 Puebla
19 Apr 2025Liga MX Puebla 0 - 1 Necaxa
13 Jul 2024Liga MX Necaxa 4 - 1 Puebla
20 Jan 2024Liga MX Puebla 1 - 2 Necaxa
08 Oct 2023Liga MX Necaxa 1 - 2 Puebla
15 Apr 2023Liga MX Necaxa 1 - 1 Puebla
17 Aug 2022Liga MX Puebla 2 - 2 Necaxa
23 Apr 2022Liga MX Puebla 0 - 1 Necaxa

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Club America 14842 34:19 +15 28 DLWWD
2 Cruz Azul 14824 32:23 +9 26 WWWDD
3 Guadalajara Chivas 14752 21:12 +9 26 WWDDL
4 Atlas 14734 25:26 -1 24 WLWDW
5 Toluca 14653 29:19 +10 23 DDDLD
6 Leon 14644 21:18 +3 22 DWLDW
7 Club Tijuana 14563 22:18 +4 21 DWDDD
8 Monterrey 13625 23:18 +5 20 LWWDL
9 Club Queretaro 13625 17:18 -1 20 LLLWW
10 Santos Laguna 14617 20:20 0 19 LWWWW
11 Atletico San Luis 14545 19:22 -3 19 WWDLW
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 14455 20:23 -3 17 DLWDL
13 CF Pachuca 14446 22:19 +3 16 WLLDL
14 Puebla 14446 16:21 -5 16 LLDDL
15 Tigres UANL 14365 15:19 -4 15 DLDWW
16 Atlante FC 14356 14:20 -6 14 LWLLW
17 Necaxa 14248 16:27 -11 10 DLLDL
18 FC Juarez 141211 9:33 -24 5 DLLDL

Top scorers

Liga MX
1 S. RondónCF Pachuca 13goals 1assists 14apps
2 J. BrunettaTigres UANL 8goals 4assists 13apps
3 JuninhoU.N.A.M. - Pumas 8goals 1assists 14apps
4 H. MartínClub America 8goals 3assists 12apps
5 F. ViñasToluca 7goals 0assists 11apps
6 J. CarranzaNecaxa 7goals 2assists 13apps
7 M. BorjaClub America 6goals 0assists 7apps
8 L. OcamposMonterrey 6goals 3assists 11apps
9 Ó. EstupiñánFC Juarez 6goals 0assists 14apps
10 D. RossiMonterrey 5goals 3assists 12apps

Recent form

0 W 4 D 6 L in the last 10
24 Oct 2026Liga MX Necaxa 1 - 1 FC Juarez D
21 Oct 2026Liga MX Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 0 Necaxa L
17 Oct 2026Liga MX Necaxa 0 - 2 Atlas L
11 Oct 2026Liga MX CF Pachuca 3 - 3 Necaxa D
28 Sep 2026Liga MX Necaxa 2 - 4 Club America L
19 Sep 2026Liga MX Atletico San Luis 3 - 1 Necaxa L
12 Sep 2026Liga MX Necaxa 0 - 1 Puebla L
06 Sep 2026Liga MX Tigres UANL 1 - 1 Necaxa D
29 Aug 2026Liga MX Necaxa 1 - 3 Cruz Azul L
24 Aug 2026Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 1 Necaxa D
2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Liga MX Atlas 4 - 3 Puebla L
22 Oct 2026Liga MX Puebla 1 - 4 Monterrey L
17 Oct 2026Liga MX Club Tijuana 0 - 0 Puebla D
10 Oct 2026Liga MX Puebla 1 - 1 Leon D
27 Sep 2026Liga MX Tigres UANL 1 - 0 Puebla L
19 Sep 2026Liga MX Puebla 1 - 1 Atlante FC D
16 Sep 2026Liga MX Puebla 0 - 1 Toluca L
12 Sep 2026Liga MX Necaxa 0 - 1 Puebla W
30 Aug 2026Liga MX Club America 2 - 0 Puebla L
23 Aug 2026Liga MX Puebla 3 - 2 Santos Laguna W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Necaxa Draw Puebla
Value spotted: Puebla win at 3.46 (model 39% vs market 27%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11%
1-2 8.5%
2-1 8.3%
0-1 7.3%
1-0 7.1%
2-2 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.5 Necaxa · 1.55 Puebla

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams score61%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
22%
Form
78%
38%
Attack
62%
47%
Defence
53%
49%
Goal model
51%
93%
Head to head
7%
80%
Goals
20%
54%
Overall
45%

Season numbers

Liga MX 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
3
0
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
5
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
2
Necaxa Puebla

Side by side

Necaxa Puebla
7 Played 6
2 Won 3
2 Drawn 1
3 Lost 2
1.3 Goals scored per game 1.5
1.7 Goals conceded per game 1.5
1.5 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 1.3
0 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 2
2-1 Biggest win 3-2
1-3 Biggest defeat 2-0
1/2 Penalties scored 1/1

Necaxa vs Puebla: preview and prediction

Necaxa host Puebla in the Mexico Liga MX (Apertura - 8) on Saturday, 12th September 2026 at 02:00 at Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes. Necaxa sit 17th in the table and Puebla 14th.

Necaxa are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-L-L-D). Puebla are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-D-L-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Necaxa won 5, Puebla won 1 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Necaxa and 1.55 for Puebla. It gives Puebla the edge (37% home win, 24% draw, 39% away win), 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.27. We also like BTTS Yes, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Necaxa vs Puebla FAQs

What is the best prediction for Necaxa vs Puebla?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.27 odds).

Who will win Necaxa vs Puebla?

Puebla are favourites: our model gives Necaxa 37%, the draw 24% and Puebla 39%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 61% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Necaxa vs Puebla?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 12th September 2026 at 02:00 at Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes.

Who is the referee?

Joaquin Alberto Vizcarra Armenta, Mexico is in charge of this game.