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Necaxa vs Monterrey Prediction, H2H & Stats

Mexico: Liga MX · Apertura - 2
Necaxa

Necaxa

17th in table
LDLLD
Full time
2:1
HT 0 - 0
Monterrey

Monterrey

8th in table
WDWWL
5' Ricardo Monreal
20' Stefan Medina
27' Lorenzo Faravelli
32' Ricardo Chávez
36' Carlos Salcedo
56' J. Carranza
67' L. Ocampos (Penalty)
90' J. Valencia
Monday, 27 July 2026
Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
Ivan Antonio Lopez Sanchez, Mexico

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
0Necaxa wins
0Draws
9Monterrey wins
3Goals per game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
14 Jan 2026Liga MX Necaxa 0 - 2 Monterrey
24 Aug 2025Liga MX Monterrey 3 - 0 Necaxa
02 Feb 2025Liga MX Monterrey 1 - 0 Necaxa
18 Jul 2024Liga MX Necaxa 0 - 1 Monterrey
29 Apr 2024Liga MX Necaxa 2 - 5 Monterrey
01 Nov 2023Liga MX Monterrey 3 - 0 Necaxa
19 Feb 2023Liga MX Monterrey 2 - 1 Necaxa
13 Aug 2022Liga MX Necaxa 1 - 2 Monterrey
15 Jan 2022Liga MX Necaxa 0 - 4 Monterrey

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Club America 14842 34:19 +15 28 DLWWD
2 Cruz Azul 14824 32:23 +9 26 WWWDD
3 Guadalajara Chivas 14752 21:12 +9 26 WWDDL
4 Atlas 14734 25:26 -1 24 WLWDW
5 Toluca 14653 29:19 +10 23 DDDLD
6 Leon 14644 21:18 +3 22 DWLDW
7 Club Tijuana 14563 22:18 +4 21 DWDDD
8 Monterrey 13625 23:18 +5 20 LWWDL
9 Club Queretaro 13625 17:18 -1 20 LLLWW
10 Santos Laguna 14617 20:20 0 19 LWWWW
11 Atletico San Luis 14545 19:22 -3 19 WWDLW
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 14455 20:23 -3 17 DLWDL
13 CF Pachuca 14446 22:19 +3 16 WLLDL
14 Puebla 14446 16:21 -5 16 LLDDL
15 Tigres UANL 14365 15:19 -4 15 DLDWW
16 Atlante FC 14356 14:20 -6 14 LWLLW
17 Necaxa 14248 16:27 -11 10 DLLDL
18 FC Juarez 141211 9:33 -24 5 DLLDL

Top scorers

Liga MX
1 S. RondónCF Pachuca 13goals 1assists 14apps
2 J. BrunettaTigres UANL 8goals 4assists 13apps
3 JuninhoU.N.A.M. - Pumas 8goals 1assists 14apps
4 H. MartínClub America 8goals 3assists 12apps
5 F. ViñasToluca 7goals 0assists 11apps
6 J. CarranzaNecaxa 7goals 2assists 13apps
7 L. OcamposMonterrey 6goals 3assists 11apps
8 Ó. EstupiñánFC Juarez 6goals 0assists 14apps
9 D. RossiMonterrey 5goals 3assists 12apps
10 B. RodríguezClub America 5goals 3assists 10apps

Recent form

0 W 4 D 6 L in the last 10
24 Oct 2026Liga MX Necaxa 1 - 1 FC Juarez D
21 Oct 2026Liga MX Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 0 Necaxa L
17 Oct 2026Liga MX Necaxa 0 - 2 Atlas L
11 Oct 2026Liga MX CF Pachuca 3 - 3 Necaxa D
28 Sep 2026Liga MX Necaxa 2 - 4 Club America L
19 Sep 2026Liga MX Atletico San Luis 3 - 1 Necaxa L
12 Sep 2026Liga MX Necaxa 0 - 1 Puebla L
06 Sep 2026Liga MX Tigres UANL 1 - 1 Necaxa D
29 Aug 2026Liga MX Necaxa 1 - 3 Cruz Azul L
24 Aug 2026Liga MX U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 1 Necaxa D
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Liga MX Monterrey 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas L
22 Oct 2026Liga MX Puebla 1 - 4 Monterrey W
19 Oct 2026Liga MX Monterrey 2 - 1 CF Pachuca W
11 Oct 2026Liga MX Club America 1 - 1 Monterrey D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Monterrey 2 - 1 Toluca W
26 Sep 2026Liga MX Atlante FC 4 - 2 Monterrey L
20 Sep 2026Liga MX Monterrey 1 - 0 Cruz Azul W
13 Sep 2026Liga MX Monterrey 0 - 0 Tigres UANL D
07 Sep 2026Leagues Cup Toluca 2 - 0 Monterrey L
03 Sep 2026Leagues Cup Club America 2 - 2 Monterrey D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Necaxa Draw Monterrey
Value spotted: Necaxa win at 2.86 (model 40% vs market 33%)

Most likely scores

1-1 7.3%
1-2 7.3%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 7.3%
1-3 4.9%
2-3 4.9%

Expected goals: 2 Necaxa · 2 Monterrey

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals56%
Both teams score75%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
40%
Attack
60%
67%
Defence
33%
0%
Goal model
0%
0%
Head to head
100%
14%
Goals
86%
42%
Overall
57%

Season numbers

Liga MX 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
Necaxa Monterrey

Side by side

Necaxa Monterrey
1 Played 1
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
2 Goals scored per game 3
1 Goals conceded per game 2
2 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 3 / 0
0 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 1
2-1 Biggest win 3-2
- Biggest defeat -
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Necaxa vs Monterrey: preview and prediction

Necaxa host Monterrey in the Mexico Liga MX (Apertura - 2) on Monday, 27th July 2026 at 00:00 at Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes. Necaxa sit 17th in the table and Monterrey 8th.

Necaxa are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-L-L-D). Monterrey are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-W-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Necaxa won 0, Monterrey won 9 and 0 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Necaxa and 2 for Monterrey. It gives Necaxa the edge (40% home win, 21% draw, 40% away win), 76% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.38. We also like Under 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Necaxa vs Monterrey FAQs

What is the best prediction for Necaxa vs Monterrey?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.38 odds).

Who will win Necaxa vs Monterrey?

It looks very close: our model gives Necaxa 40%, the draw 21% and Monterrey 40%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 75% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4 goals in total, with a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Necaxa vs Monterrey?

Kick-off is on Monday, 27th July 2026 at 00:00 at Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes.

Who is the referee?

Ivan Antonio Lopez Sanchez, Mexico is in charge of this game.