NEC vs Mbarara City Prediction, H2H & Stats

Uganda: Premier League · Regular Season - 25
NEC

NEC

6th in table
WLWWW
Full time
0:0
HT 0 - 0
Mbarara City

Mbarara City

12th in table
LWLWL
Friday, 24 April 2026
MTN Omondi Stadium

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5games
5NEC wins
0Draws
0Mbarara City wins
1.6Goals per game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
01 Nov 2025Premier League Mbarara City 0 - 1 NEC
30 Apr 2025Premier League Mbarara City 1 - 2 NEC
04 Jan 2025Premier League NEC 1 - 0 Mbarara City
09 Feb 2024Premier League NEC 2 - 0 Mbarara City
15 Sep 2023Premier League Mbarara City 0 - 1 NEC

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Vipers 3019101 55:17 +38 67 WWDDD
2 KCCA 301956 46:22 +24 62 WDWWD
3 SC Villa 301875 47:17 +30 61 WWWDL
4 Kitara 301686 43:22 +21 56 DDLLW
5 Entebbe UPPC 301497 30:20 +10 51 WDDWW
6 NEC 3013125 31:22 +9 51 LLWWW
7 Police 301389 42:35 +7 47 DDDLW
8 Maroons 3091110 26:27 -1 38 WLDLD
9 BUL 3091011 30:33 -3 37 LDDDL
10 Express 3091011 28:31 -3 37 LDWWL
11 URA 305169 27:30 -3 31 WDDDD
12 Mbarara City 306915 26:46 -20 27 LWLWW
13 Lugazi 3051015 19:36 -17 25 LDDLW
14 UPDF 305718 24:41 -17 22 LDLLL
15 Calvary 304917 14:39 -25 21 WDDWL
16 Buhimba Saints 304323 16:66 -50 15 LLLLL

Top scorers

Premier League
1 M. KizzaNEC 2goals 0assists 2apps

Recent form

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Premier League NEC 1 - 0 UPDF W
31 Oct 2026Premier League Blacks Power 0 - 1 NEC W
27 Oct 2026Premier League NEC 5 - 1 Ntugasaze W
21 Oct 2026Premier League BUL 2 - 1 NEC L
14 Oct 2026Premier League Kigezi HomeBoyz 0 - 2 NEC W
08 Oct 2026Premier League NEC 0 - 0 Express D
15 Sep 2026Premier League NEC 4 - 1 URA W
11 Sep 2026Premier League Mbarara City 0 - 0 NEC D
01 Sep 2026Premier League NEC 3 - 1 Lugazi W
29 Aug 2026Premier League KCCA 0 - 2 NEC W
2 W 2 D 5 L in the last 9
31 Oct 2026Premier League Mbarara City 1 - 3 KCCA L
28 Oct 2026Premier League Mbarara City 1 - 0 Vipers W
22 Oct 2026Premier League SC Villa 2 - 0 Mbarara City L
11 Oct 2026Premier League Mbarara City 2 - 1 Blacks Power W
07 Oct 2026Premier League Ntugasaze 1 - 0 Mbarara City L
16 Sep 2026Premier League Mbarara City 0 - 0 Entebbe UPPC D
11 Sep 2026Premier League Mbarara City 0 - 0 NEC D
29 Aug 2026Premier League Police 1 - 0 Mbarara City L
23 May 2026Premier League KCCA 4 - 1 Mbarara City L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
NEC Draw Mbarara City
Value spotted: Mbarara City win at 11.60 (model 16% vs market 8%)

Most likely scores

1-0 14.7%
2-0 12.5%
1-1 11%
2-1 9.4%
0-0 8.6%
3-0 7.1%

Expected goals: 1.7 NEC · 0.75 Mbarara City

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams score43%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
85%
Form
15%
43%
Attack
57%
100%
Defence
0%
75%
Goal model
25%
100%
Head to head
0%
88%
Goals
13%
72%
Overall
27%

Season numbers

Premier League 2025

When the goals come

3
0-15'
1
4
16-30'
4
2
31-45'
4
4
46-60'
3
7
61-75'
5
5
76-90'
2
2
0-15'
5
0
16-30'
6
1
31-45'
7
6
46-60'
9
2
61-75'
4
5
76-90'
7
NEC Mbarara City

Side by side

NEC Mbarara City
24 Played 24
10 Won 3
11 Drawn 8
3 Lost 13
1 Goals scored per game 0.8
0.7 Goals conceded per game 1.6
1.3 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 0.8 / 0.8
13 Clean sheets 4
5 Failed to score 8
3 Longest winning run 1
3-1 Biggest win 1-0
2-1 Biggest defeat 1-2
2/2 Penalties scored 2/2

NEC vs Mbarara City: preview and prediction

NEC host Mbarara City in the Uganda Premier League (Regular Season - 25) on Friday, 24th April 2026 at 18:00 at MTN Omondi Stadium. NEC sit 6th in the table and Mbarara City 12th.

NEC are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-W). Mbarara City are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-L).

In the last 5 meetings, NEC won 5, Mbarara City won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 1.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% and over 2.5 goals in 20%.

Our goal model expects about 1.7 goals for NEC and 0.75 for Mbarara City. It gives NEC the edge (60% home win, 24% draw, 16% away win), 44% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.27. We also like Under 2.5, BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

NEC vs Mbarara City FAQs

What is the best prediction for NEC vs Mbarara City?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.27 odds).

Who will win NEC vs Mbarara City?

NEC are favourites: our model gives NEC 60%, the draw 24% and Mbarara City 16%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 43% chance in our model, and it happened in 20% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is NEC vs Mbarara City?

Kick-off is on Friday, 24th April 2026 at 18:00 at MTN Omondi Stadium.