Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United Prediction, H2H & Stats
Kenya: Super League
· Regular Season - 23 Head to head
Last 1 meetings
0 - 2
Nairobi City Stars
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Migori Youth |
38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | +28 | 81 |
| 2 |  3K |
38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | +36 | 77 |
| 3 |  Mombasa Elite |
38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | +19 | 76 |
| 4 |  Equity Bank |
38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | +28 | 74 |
| 5 |  MOFA |
38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | +21 | 64 |
| 6 |  Fortune Sacco |
38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | +20 | 63 |
| 7 |  Naivas |
38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | +17 | 61 |
| 8 |  Talanta |
38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | +12 | 57 |
| 9 |  Kibera Black Stars |
38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | -1 | 53 |
| 10 |  Soy United |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | +4 | 52 |
| 11 |  Nzoia Sugar |
38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | +1 | 50 |
| 12 |  Gucha Stars |
38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | -6 | 44 |
| 13 |  Luanda Villa |
38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | -21 | 43 |
| 14 |  Kabati Youth FC |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | -20 | 39 |
| 15 |  Kisumu All Stars |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | -24 | 39 |
| 16 | Nairobi City Stars |
38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | -12 | 39 |
| 17 |  Darajani Gogo |
38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | -21 | 38 |
| 18 |  MCF |
38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | -18 | 34 |
| 19 |  Vihiga United FC |
38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | -26 | 30 |
| 20 | Mwatate United |
38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | -37 | 25 |
Recent form
0 - 3
Darajani Gogo
L
5 - 1
Nairobi City Stars
L
1 - 2
Kabati Youth FC
L
1 - 1
Nairobi City Stars
D
0 - 0
MCF
D
2 - 1
Nairobi City Stars
L
0 - 1
Vihiga United FC
L
1 - 0
Nairobi City Stars
L
2 - 1
Nairobi City Stars
L
2 - 0
Gucha Stars
W
2 - 0
Mwatate United
L
0 - 2
Naivas
L
0 - 1
Mombasa Elite
L
2 - 0
Mwatate United
L
1 - 1
Kibera Black Stars
D
1 - 0
Mwatate United
L
3 - 2
Mwatate United
L
3 - 1
Vihiga United FC
W
Who wins? Three ways to read it
1 · X · 2Most likely scores
Expected goals: 1.3 Nairobi City Stars · 0.75 Mwatate United
Goal lines
Team comparison
Season numbers
Super League 2025Side by side
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United: preview and prediction
Nairobi City Stars host Mwatate United in the Kenya Super League (Regular Season - 23) on Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 14:00. Nairobi City Stars sit 16th in the table and Mwatate United 20th.
Nairobi City Stars are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-L-L-L). Mwatate United are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-L).
In the last 1 meetings, Nairobi City Stars won 1, Mwatate United won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.
Our goal model expects about 1.3 goals for Nairobi City Stars and 0.75 for Mwatate United. It gives Nairobi City Stars the edge (50% home win, 29% draw, 22% away win), 34% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.
Our pick was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.57.
Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United FAQs
What is the best prediction for Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United?
Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 (1.57 odds).
Who will win Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United?
Nairobi City Stars are favourites: our model gives Nairobi City Stars 50%, the draw 29% and Mwatate United 22%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams scoring has a 38% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.
How many goals are expected?
Our model expects 2.1 goals in total, with a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals.
When is Nairobi City Stars vs Mwatate United?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 14:00.