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Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia Prediction, H2H & Stats

Japan: J1 League · Regular Season - 6
Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

11th in table
WDDLL
Full time
1:3
HT 0 - 1
Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

3rd in table
WWDWD
43' Ryuji Izumi
45' R. Shirasaki
46' Takahiro Akimoto
55' H. Mochizuki (Own Goal)
75' A. Pisano (Own Goal)
85' Tomoki Takamine
90' Y. Matsuo
Sunday, 6 September 2026
Toyota Stadium, Toyota
Atsushi Uemura, Japan

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Nagoya Grampus wins
1Draws
6Machida Zelvia wins
3Goals per game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
06 Jun 2026J1 League Machida Zelvia 2 - 1 Nagoya Grampus
30 May 2026J1 League Nagoya Grampus 2 - 2 Machida Zelvia
30 Nov 2025J1 League Machida Zelvia 3 - 1 Nagoya Grampus
02 Mar 2025J1 League Nagoya Grampus 1 - 2 Machida Zelvia
06 Jul 2024J1 League Machida Zelvia 1 - 0 Nagoya Grampus
02 Mar 2024J1 League Nagoya Grampus 0 - 1 Machida Zelvia
16 Aug 2017J2 League Machida Zelvia 3 - 4 Nagoya Grampus
17 May 2017J2 League Nagoya Grampus 2 - 1 Machida Zelvia
09 Sep 2015Emperor Cup Nagoya Grampus 0 - 1 Machida Zelvia

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 FC Tokyo 13931 31:8 +23 30 WWDWW
2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13922 32:10 +22 29 WWLWW
3 Machida Zelvia 13841 30:10 +20 28 DDWWW
4 Kashiwa Reysol 13913 29:19 +10 28 WWDLW
5 Vissel Kobe 13823 21:12 +9 26 WDLWL
6 Kashima 13724 29:22 +7 23 WLDWW
7 Kawasaki Frontale 13643 27:22 +5 22 LWWWL
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 13562 20:14 +6 21 WDDDD
9 Urawa 13706 21:27 -6 21 LWWWL
10 Fagiano Okayama 13517 15:21 -6 16 LLWLL
11 Nagoya Grampus 13427 15:21 -6 14 LDDWW
12 Cerezo Osaka 13355 13:23 -10 14 LDDLD
13 Shimizu S-pulse 13427 10:22 -12 14 LLLDW
14 Kyoto Sanga 13346 17:23 -6 13 WDDLL
15 V-varen Nagasaki 13337 16:21 -5 12 LLWLD
16 Gamba Osaka 13265 14:21 -7 12 DDWDL
17 Tokyo Verdy 13256 11:22 -11 11 WWDLL
18 JEF United Chiba 13247 15:24 -9 10 WDLDD
19 Mito Hollyhock 13238 12:25 -13 9 LLLLL
20 Avispa Fukuoka 132110 13:24 -11 7 LLLLW

Top scorers

J1 League
1 Léo CearáKashima 12goals 0assists 11apps
2 A. SuzukiSanfrecce Hiroshima 9goals 4assists 13apps
3 MarcinhoKawasaki Frontale 8goals 3assists 13apps
4 M. NagakuraFC Tokyo 7goals 4assists 13apps
5 Rafael EliasKyoto Sanga 7goals 3assists 11apps
6 Y. SegawaKashiwa Reysol 7goals 2assists 12apps
7 A. ČavrićKashima 7goals 1assists 13apps
8 K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 7goals 1assists 13apps
9 Y. OsakoVissel Kobe 6goals 0assists 11apps
10 Matheus SávioUrawa 5goals 1assists 12apps

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026J1 League Vissel Kobe 3 - 1 Nagoya Grampus L
28 Oct 2026J-League Cup Nagoya Grampus 1 - 2 Urawa L
25 Oct 2026J1 League Nagoya Grampus 1 - 1 Yokohama F. Marinos D
21 Oct 2026J1 League Nagoya Grampus 1 - 1 Cerezo Osaka D
17 Oct 2026J1 League Kashiwa Reysol 1 - 3 Nagoya Grampus W
14 Oct 2026J-League Cup Nagoya Grampus 3 - 3 Fagiano Okayama D
11 Oct 2026J1 League Kawasaki Frontale 1 - 2 Nagoya Grampus W
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Kitakyushu 1 - 3 Nagoya Grampus W
19 Sep 2026J1 League FC Tokyo 1 - 0 Nagoya Grampus L
12 Sep 2026J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 2 - 0 Nagoya Grampus L
6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026J1 League Machida Zelvia 0 - 0 Gamba Osaka D
29 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Two Shanghai Shenhua 0 - 1 Machida Zelvia W
24 Oct 2026J1 League Vissel Kobe 0 - 0 Machida Zelvia D
21 Oct 2026J1 League Shimizu S-pulse 0 - 5 Machida Zelvia W
18 Oct 2026J1 League Machida Zelvia 3 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka W
15 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Two Tampines Rovers 0 - 1 Machida Zelvia W
10 Oct 2026J1 League Kyoto Sanga 0 - 1 Machida Zelvia W
03 Oct 2026J-League Cup Machida Zelvia 0 - 0 Kyoto Sanga D
23 Sep 2026Emperor Cup Machida Zelvia 2 - 1 Tochigi City W
20 Sep 2026J1 League Machida Zelvia 2 - 4 Kashiwa Reysol L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Nagoya Grampus Draw Machida Zelvia
Value spotted: Machida Zelvia win at 2.24 (model 59% vs market 43%)

Most likely scores

1-2 9.7%
1-1 9.1%
0-2 8.1%
0-1 7.5%
1-3 7%
2-2 5.8%

Expected goals: 1.2 Nagoya Grampus · 2.15 Machida Zelvia

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams score62%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
32%
Form
68%
29%
Attack
71%
33%
Defence
67%
23%
Goal model
77%
7%
Head to head
93%
33%
Goals
67%
26%
Overall
73%

Season numbers

J1 League 2027

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
3
0
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
4
4
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
0
Nagoya Grampus Machida Zelvia

Side by side

Nagoya Grampus Machida Zelvia
5 Played 5
2 Won 4
0 Drawn 1
3 Lost 0
1.2 Goals scored per game 3
1.6 Goals conceded per game 0.8
1.7 / 0.5 Scored per game (home / away) 2.5 / 3.3
0 Clean sheets 1
2 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 3
3-1 Biggest win 3-1
0-1 Biggest defeat -
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia: preview and prediction

Nagoya Grampus host Machida Zelvia in the Japan J1 League (Regular Season - 6) on Sunday, 6th September 2026 at 10:00 at Toyota Stadium, Toyota. Nagoya Grampus sit 11th in the table and Machida Zelvia 3rd.

Nagoya Grampus have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-D-L-L). Machida Zelvia are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-W-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 2, Machida Zelvia won 6 and 1 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.2 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 2.15 for Machida Zelvia. It gives Machida Zelvia the edge (21% home win, 20% draw, 59% away win), 65% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 2.24. We also like Over 2.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia FAQs

What is the best prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (2.24 odds).

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?

Machida Zelvia are favourites: our model gives Nagoya Grampus 21%, the draw 20% and Machida Zelvia 59%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 62% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.3 goals in total, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 6th September 2026 at 10:00 at Toyota Stadium, Toyota.

Who is the referee?

Atsushi Uemura, Japan is in charge of this game.