MVV vs Jong Utrecht Prediction, H2H & Stats

Netherlands: Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 24
MVV

MVV

19th in table
LLDLL
Full time
2:2
HT 0 - 1
Jong Utrecht

Jong Utrecht

12th in table
LLLLW
4' T. den Boggende
44' Lenn-Minh Tran
47' R. El Arguioui (Penalty)
70' S. Braken (Penalty)
81' Sil van der Wegen
90+2' Sil van der Wegen
90+2' Sil van der Wegen
90' I. Breugelmans
Friday, 23 January 2026
De Geusselt, Maastricht
J. Kuipers

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3MVV wins
1Draws
4Jong Utrecht wins
3.9Goals per game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
17 Oct 2025Eerste Divisie Jong Utrecht 3 - 1 MVV
18 Apr 2025Eerste Divisie MVV 5 - 0 Jong Utrecht
04 Nov 2024Eerste Divisie Jong Utrecht 4 - 3 MVV
19 Jan 2024Eerste Divisie MVV 3 - 0 Jong Utrecht
30 Oct 2023Eerste Divisie Jong Utrecht 1 - 1 MVV
17 Mar 2023Eerste Divisie MVV 1 - 0 Jong Utrecht
14 Nov 2022Eerste Divisie Jong Utrecht 3 - 0 MVV
08 Apr 2022Eerste Divisie MVV 2 - 4 Jong Utrecht

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 ADO Den Haag 382927 90:37 +53 89 WWLWW
2 Cambuur 382396 75:48 +27 78 WLDDL
3 Willem II 3820810 59:42 +17 68 WLWWD
4 De Graafschap 3818911 74:58 +16 63 DLLWD
5 Almere City FC 3818416 78:63 +15 58 LLDWW
6 Waalwijk 38161012 71:59 +12 58 DLWDW
7 Jong PSV U21 3817516 66:64 +2 56 LLWWL
8 Roda 38141311 59:54 +5 55 LDLDW
9 Den Bosch 3814915 65:69 -4 51 LLLDL
10 Dordrecht 38121115 48:56 -8 47 LLWDL
11 FC Eindhoven 3814519 51:69 -18 47 WLLLD
12 Jong Utrecht 38121016 58:62 -4 46 WDWLL
13 VVV Venlo 3813619 50:58 -8 45 WLDLW
14 Emmen 3812917 58:72 -14 45 WDLWD
15 Vitesse 38151112 64:55 +9 44 LDWWD
16 FC OSS 38111116 54:64 -10 44 WWWWL
17 Jong AZ 3812422 61:76 -15 40 WLLLW
18 Helmond Sport 3810919 42:62 -20 39 LWDDL
19 MVV 3891118 41:73 -32 38 LDDLL
20 Jong Ajax 389821 50:73 -23 35 LWLLL

Top scorers

Eerste Divisie
1 R. PostemaEmmen 24goals 7assists 35apps
2 R. NiemeijerDe Graafschap 19goals 4assists 37apps
3 D. HaenWillem II 18goals 4assists 38apps
4 Julian Dean RijkhoffAlmere City FC 16goals 2assists 41apps
5 K. MonzialoDen Bosch 16goals 12assists 37apps
6 A. van den HurkRoda 16goals 2assists 37apps
7 D. ZandbergenVVV Venlo 15goals 3assists 34apps
8 J. UnekenWaalwijk 14goals 6assists 38apps
9 R. DuivenJong PSV U21 14goals 1assists 22apps
10 T. van der LeijWaalwijk 13goals 0assists 35apps

Recent form

1 W 2 D 7 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Eerste Divisie MVV 1 - 2 VVV Venlo L
28 Oct 2026KNVB Beker MVV 0 - 3 Excelsior L
23 Oct 2026Eerste Divisie Den Bosch 2 - 2 MVV D
18 Oct 2026Eerste Divisie MVV 1 - 5 Heracles L
09 Oct 2026Eerste Divisie NAC Breda 1 - 0 MVV L
03 Oct 2026Eerste Divisie FC OSS 4 - 1 MVV L
26 Sep 2026Eerste Divisie MVV 2 - 0 Helmond Sport W
18 Sep 2026Eerste Divisie Waalwijk 6 - 1 MVV L
11 Sep 2026Eerste Divisie MVV 0 - 4 Almere City FC L
06 Sep 2026Eerste Divisie MVV 1 - 1 Roda D
3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026Eerste Divisie Jong Utrecht 3 - 2 Dordrecht W
23 Oct 2026Eerste Divisie FC Volendam 6 - 2 Jong Utrecht L
19 Oct 2026Eerste Divisie Jong Utrecht 1 - 2 Roda L
09 Oct 2026Eerste Divisie De Graafschap 2 - 1 Jong Utrecht L
18 Sep 2026Eerste Divisie Jong Utrecht 1 - 3 VVV Venlo L
14 Sep 2026Eerste Divisie Jong Utrecht 6 - 1 Jong Ajax W
11 Sep 2026Eerste Divisie NAC Breda 2 - 3 Jong Utrecht W
07 Sep 2026Eerste Divisie Jong Utrecht 0 - 0 FC Eindhoven D
31 Aug 2026Eerste Divisie Jong AZ 2 - 1 Jong Utrecht L
28 Aug 2026Eerste Divisie FC OSS 2 - 1 Jong Utrecht L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
MVV Draw Jong Utrecht
Value spotted: MVV win at 2.77 (model 40% vs market 34%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.8%
2-1 8.6%
1-2 8.1%
1-0 7.2%
0-1 6.8%
2-2 6.5%

Expected goals: 1.6 MVV · 1.5 Jong Utrecht

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams score62%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
53%
Form
47%
36%
Attack
64%
58%
Defence
42%
49%
Goal model
51%
50%
Head to head
50%
62%
Goals
38%
51%
Overall
48%

Season numbers

Eerste Divisie 2025

When the goals come

6
0-15'
5
3
16-30'
3
2
31-45'
6
4
46-60'
9
4
61-75'
9
7
76-90'
5
6
0-15'
8
6
16-30'
9
7
31-45'
1
9
46-60'
7
4
61-75'
9
10
76-90'
7
MVV Jong Utrecht

Side by side

MVV Jong Utrecht
22 Played 22
7 Won 8
4 Drawn 5
11 Lost 9
1.2 Goals scored per game 1.7
1.9 Goals conceded per game 1.8
1.5 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 2.1 / 1.3
4 Clean sheets 4
9 Failed to score 5
2 Longest winning run 2
3-1 Biggest win 5-3
2-4 Biggest defeat 2-4
1/1 Penalties scored 2/2

MVV vs Jong Utrecht: preview and prediction

MVV host Jong Utrecht in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie (Regular Season - 24) on Friday, 23rd January 2026 at 20:00 at De Geusselt, Maastricht. MVV sit 19th in the table and Jong Utrecht 12th.

MVV are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-D-L-L). Jong Utrecht are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-W).

In the last 8 meetings, MVV won 3, Jong Utrecht won 4 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 75%.

Our goal model expects about 1.6 goals for MVV and 1.5 for Jong Utrecht. It gives MVV the edge (40% home win, 24% draw, 36% away win), 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.61.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

MVV vs Jong Utrecht FAQs

What is the best prediction for MVV vs Jong Utrecht?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.61 odds).

Who will win MVV vs Jong Utrecht?

MVV are favourites: our model gives MVV 40%, the draw 24% and Jong Utrecht 36%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 62% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is MVV vs Jong Utrecht?

Kick-off is on Friday, 23rd January 2026 at 20:00 at De Geusselt, Maastricht.

Who is the referee?

J. Kuipers is in charge of this game.