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MP vs KäPa Prediction, H2H & Stats

Finland: Ykkösliiga · Group Stage
MP

MP

7th in table
DWDDL
Full time
2:1
HT 2 - 1
KäPa

KäPa

9th in table
WDLDD
3' M. Kuningas
22' A. Tervaniemi
29' S. Puputti
32' R. Huhtamaki
45' S. Obioha
69' U. Huhtamaki
73' A. Chishima
86' M. Kuningas
Wednesday, 29 July 2026
Mikkelin Urheilupuisto, Mikkeli
V. Smirnov

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
1MP wins
1Draws
6KäPa wins
4.4Goals per game
63%Both scored
63%Over 2.5
19 Apr 2026Ykkösliiga MP 0 - 1 KäPa
14 Sep 2024Ykkösliiga KäPa 3 - 2 MP
11 Jul 2024Ykkösliiga MP 2 - 6 KäPa
12 May 2024Ykkösliiga KäPa 4 - 0 MP
28 Jun 2023Ykkönen MP 6 - 2 KäPa
16 Apr 2023Ykkönen KäPa 2 - 0 MP
26 Aug 2016Kakkonen - Lohko A KäPa 3 - 2 MP
12 Jun 2016Kakkonen - Lohko A MP 1 - 1 KäPa

Ykkösliiga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Kooteepee 271854 48:26 +22 59 DLDWW
2 PK-35 271575 44:23 +21 52 WLDLW
3 Haka 271458 51:31 +20 47 LWLWD
4 JIPPO 271386 38:22 +16 47 WWDLW
5 JäPS 2712213 25:41 -16 38 WLLWL
6 EIF 279513 32:46 -14 32 WLDLD
7 MP 278613 29:38 -9 30 LDDWD
8 Klubi-04 276912 37:37 0 27 DWWLL
9 KäPa 276714 33:49 -16 25 LDWWL
10 SJK Akatemia 273816 23:47 -24 17 LWDLD

Top scorers

Ykkösliiga
1 Ussumane DjalóSJK Akatemia 1goals 0assists 4apps

Recent form

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Ykkösliiga MP 1 - 2 JäPS L
09 Oct 2026Ykkösliiga KäPa 1 - 1 MP D
25 Sep 2026Ykkösliiga Kooteepee 1 - 1 MP D
19 Sep 2026Ykkösliiga MP 1 - 0 JIPPO W
12 Sep 2026Ykkösliiga MP 1 - 1 SJK Akatemia D
06 Sep 2026Ykkösliiga Haka 0 - 2 MP W
29 Aug 2026Ykkösliiga MP 0 - 3 PK-35 L
22 Aug 2026Ykkösliiga Klubi-04 4 - 3 MP L
16 Aug 2026Ykkösliiga MP 0 - 2 EIF L
07 Aug 2026Ykkösliiga JäPS 1 - 0 MP L
2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Ykkösliiga KäPa 1 - 1 Rops D
22 Oct 2026Ykkösliiga Rops 1 - 1 KäPa D
17 Oct 2026Ykkösliiga EIF 3 - 2 KäPa L
09 Oct 2026Ykkösliiga KäPa 1 - 1 MP D
25 Sep 2026Ykkösliiga KäPa 3 - 2 Haka W
19 Sep 2026Ykkösliiga SJK Akatemia 2 - 3 KäPa W
11 Sep 2026Ykkösliiga KäPa 1 - 4 PK-35 L
07 Sep 2026Ykkösliiga Klubi-04 2 - 2 KäPa D
28 Aug 2026Ykkösliiga JäPS 0 - 0 KäPa D
20 Aug 2026Ykkösliiga KäPa 1 - 3 JIPPO L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
MP Draw KäPa

Most likely scores

1-1 11.5%
1-0 9.5%
2-1 9.4%
2-0 7.9%
0-1 6.9%
1-2 6.9%

Expected goals: 1.65 MP · 1.2 KäPa

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams score56%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
56%
Form
44%
53%
Attack
47%
52%
Defence
48%
61%
Goal model
39%
20%
Head to head
80%
38%
Goals
62%
46%
Overall
53%

Season numbers

Ykkösliiga 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
4
3
16-30'
3
4
31-45'
4
0
46-60'
4
1
61-75'
3
8
76-90'
1
4
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
6
0
31-45'
3
6
46-60'
3
4
61-75'
2
7
76-90'
10
MP KäPa

Side by side

MP KäPa
16 Played 16
5 Won 4
3 Drawn 4
8 Lost 8
1.1 Goals scored per game 1.1
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.7
1.4 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1
4 Clean sheets 2
4 Failed to score 5
2 Longest winning run 1
2-1 Biggest win 3-1
1-3 Biggest defeat 0-2
2/3 Penalties scored 0/0

MP vs KäPa: preview and prediction

MP host KäPa in the Finland Ykkösliiga (Group Stage) on Wednesday, 29th July 2026 at 16:30 at Mikkelin Urheilupuisto, Mikkeli. MP sit 7th in the table and KäPa 9th.

MP have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-D-D-L). KäPa have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-D-D).

In the last 8 meetings, MP won 1, KäPa won 6 and 1 ended level. These games average 4.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% and over 2.5 goals in 63%.

Our goal model expects about 1.65 goals for MP and 1.2 for KäPa. It gives MP the edge (48% home win, 24% draw, 28% away win), 54% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.67. We also like Over 2.5, BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

MP vs KäPa FAQs

What is the best prediction for MP vs KäPa?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.67 odds).

Who will win MP vs KäPa?

MP are favourites: our model gives MP 48%, the draw 24% and KäPa 28%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 56% chance in our model, and it happened in 63% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is MP vs KäPa?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 29th July 2026 at 16:30 at Mikkelin Urheilupuisto, Mikkeli.

Who is the referee?

V. Smirnov is in charge of this game.