Morton vs Raith Rovers Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: Championship · Regular Season - 9
Morton

Morton

10th in table
LLLLW
Full time
1:2
HT 0 - 1
Raith Rovers

Raith Rovers

2nd in table
WDLWW
16' J. Rowe
26' P. Croker
53' M. Garrity
55' K. Turner
67' G. Oakley
Saturday, 3 October 2026
Cappielow Park, Greenock
S. Murdoch

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Morton wins
5Draws
2Raith Rovers wins
2.6Goals per game
56%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
11 Apr 2026Championship Raith Rovers 3 - 2 Morton
14 Feb 2026Championship Morton 0 - 0 Raith Rovers
01 Nov 2025Championship Raith Rovers 1 - 1 Morton
06 Sep 2025Championship Morton 0 - 1 Raith Rovers
26 Apr 2025Championship Raith Rovers 1 - 1 Morton
25 Mar 2025Championship Morton 3 - 3 Raith Rovers
16 Nov 2024Championship Raith Rovers 2 - 3 Morton
05 Oct 2024Championship Morton 2 - 0 Raith Rovers
27 Apr 2024Championship Morton 0 - 0 Raith Rovers

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Stenhousemuir 9711 12:4 +8 22 LWWWW
2 Raith Rovers 10622 15:6 +9 20 WWLDW
3 Partick 9531 10:3 +7 18 WWDLW
4 Livingston 10415 14:11 +3 13 LLWDW
5 Dunfermline 8341 7:5 +2 13 DWWDW
6 Inverness CT 10343 12:11 +1 13 LWWDW
7 Ayr Utd 10334 10:11 -1 12 DWLWL
8 Arbroath 10325 7:15 -8 11 LLWLL
9 Queen's Park 10217 6:16 -10 7 WLLLL
10 Morton 10118 7:18 -11 4 WLLLL

Recent form

1 W 1 D 8 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Championship Arbroath 1 - 2 Morton W
03 Oct 2026Championship Morton 1 - 2 Raith Rovers L
25 Sep 2026Championship Inverness CT 2 - 0 Morton L
19 Sep 2026Championship Morton 0 - 1 Dunfermline L
11 Sep 2026Championship Morton 1 - 4 Livingston L
05 Sep 2026Championship Queen's Park 2 - 1 Morton L
29 Aug 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Morton D
22 Aug 2026Championship Morton 1 - 2 Arbroath L
08 Aug 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Morton L
01 Aug 2026Championship Morton 0 - 1 Partick L
6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Championship Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Queen's Park W
03 Oct 2026Championship Morton 1 - 2 Raith Rovers W
25 Sep 2026Championship Raith Rovers 0 - 2 Livingston L
19 Sep 2026Championship Partick 0 - 0 Raith Rovers D
12 Sep 2026Championship Raith Rovers 4 - 0 Arbroath W
05 Sep 2026Championship Inverness CT 0 - 2 Raith Rovers W
28 Aug 2026Championship Dunfermline 1 - 0 Raith Rovers L
22 Aug 2026Championship Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Ayr Utd W
08 Aug 2026Championship Queen's Park 1 - 2 Raith Rovers W
01 Aug 2026Championship Raith Rovers 1 - 1 Stenhousemuir D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Morton Draw Raith Rovers

Most likely scores

0-1 20.3%
0-2 15.2%
0-0 13.5%
1-1 10.2%
0-3 7.6%
1-2 7.6%

Expected goals: 0.5 Morton · 1.5 Raith Rovers

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals59%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams score31%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
13%
Form
88%
33%
Attack
67%
23%
Defence
77%
9%
Goal model
91%
25%
Head to head
75%
40%
Goals
60%
23%
Overall
76%

Season numbers

Championship 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
5
1
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
0
5
76-90'
2
Morton Raith Rovers

Side by side

Morton Raith Rovers
8 Played 8
0 Won 4
1 Drawn 2
7 Lost 2
0.5 Goals scored per game 1.4
1.9 Goals conceded per game 0.6
0.5 / 0.5 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 1
0 Clean sheets 4
4 Failed to score 3
0 Longest winning run 2
- Biggest win 4-0
1-4 Biggest defeat 0-2
0/0 Penalties scored 2/2

Morton vs Raith Rovers: preview and prediction

Morton host Raith Rovers in the Scotland Championship (Regular Season - 9) on Saturday, 3rd October 2026 at 15:00 at Cappielow Park, Greenock. Morton sit 10th in the table and Raith Rovers 2nd.

Morton are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-W). Raith Rovers are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Morton won 2, Raith Rovers won 2 and 5 ended level. These games average 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 0.5 goals for Morton and 1.5 for Raith Rovers. It gives Raith Rovers the edge (12% home win, 26% draw, 62% away win), 32% for over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 1.61. We also like Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Morton vs Raith Rovers FAQs

What is the best prediction for Morton vs Raith Rovers?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (1.61 odds).

Who will win Morton vs Raith Rovers?

Raith Rovers are favourites: our model gives Morton 12%, the draw 26% and Raith Rovers 62%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 31% chance in our model, and it happened in 56% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2 goals in total, with a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Morton vs Raith Rovers?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 3rd October 2026 at 15:00 at Cappielow Park, Greenock.

Who is the referee?

S. Murdoch is in charge of this game.