Moreirense vs Maritimo Prediction, H2H & Stats

Portugal: Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 6
Moreirense

Moreirense

10th in table
WDLLW
Full time
3:1
HT 2 - 0
Maritimo

Maritimo

14th in table
DLWLL
8' Rodrigo Andrade
11' Kiko Bondoso
18' M. Mendonca
29' L. Vonic
59' Maxime Dominguez
79' R. Correia
86' A. Duville-Parsemain (Penalty)
90+3' Israel Ayuma
Monday, 14 September 2026
Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
Fabio Melo, Portugal

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Moreirense wins
2Draws
3Maritimo wins
2.1Goals per game
44%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
06 Mar 2022Primeira Liga Moreirense 0 - 1 Maritimo
01 Oct 2021Primeira Liga Maritimo 0 - 0 Moreirense
07 Mar 2021Primeira Liga Maritimo 0 - 2 Moreirense
25 Oct 2020Primeira Liga Moreirense 2 - 1 Maritimo
08 Mar 2020Primeira Liga Moreirense 2 - 0 Maritimo
28 Sep 2019Primeira Liga Maritimo 2 - 1 Moreirense
09 Mar 2019Primeira Liga Maritimo 3 - 2 Moreirense
28 Oct 2018Primeira Liga Moreirense 1 - 0 Maritimo
15 Apr 2018Primeira Liga Maritimo 1 - 1 Moreirense

Primeira Liga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 FC Porto 9900 21:4 +17 27 WWWWW
2 Benfica 9711 26:8 +18 22 WWLWW
3 Sporting CP 9531 21:11 +10 18 LWDDW
4 Santa Clara 9531 13:6 +7 18 LWDWW
5 Arouca 9522 12:7 +5 17 WWDLD
6 Academico Viseu 9522 13:11 +2 17 WWWWW
7 GIL Vicente 9423 8:7 +1 14 LWWDL
8 Alverca 9324 13:13 0 11 LWWWL
9 SC Braga 9324 9:11 -2 11 LLLDW
10 Moreirense 9324 11:16 -5 11 WLDWL
11 Famalicao 9243 14:11 +3 10 WLWDD
12 Estrela 9243 14:17 -3 10 LLLDW
13 Vitória SC 9225 10:10 0 8 WLDLD
14 Maritimo 9225 9:19 -10 8 LLDLL
15 Nacional 9216 10:18 -8 7 WLLLL
16 Casa Pia 9216 5:17 -12 7 WLWLD
17 Rio Ave 9216 8:21 -13 7 LWLDL
18 Estoril 9027 5:15 -10 2 LLLLD

Top scorers

Primeira Liga
1 V. PavlidisBenfica 9goals 3assists 9apps
2 L. SuárezSporting CP 8goals 1assists 9apps
3 G. PrestianniBenfica 6goals 4assists 9apps
4 BarberoArouca 5goals 0assists 9apps
5 Gonçalo PaciênciaSanta Clara 5goals 1assists 8apps
6 G. KoutsiasFamalicao 5goals 0assists 9apps
7 Pau VictorSC Braga 4goals 1assists 9apps
8 A. MarcusEstrela 4goals 1assists 9apps
9 L. AntonettiEstrela 4goals 1assists 9apps
10 Borja SainzFC Porto 4goals 0assists 9apps

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026Primeira Liga Estoril 1 - 3 Moreirense W
17 Oct 2026Taça de Portugal AVS 1 - 0 Moreirense L
09 Oct 2026Primeira Liga Moreirense 0 - 1 GIL Vicente L
20 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Vitória SC 1 - 1 Moreirense D
14 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Moreirense 3 - 1 Maritimo W
09 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Moreirense 0 - 4 Benfica L
04 Sep 2026Primeira Liga FC Porto 2 - 1 Moreirense L
30 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Casa Pia 0 - 1 Moreirense W
16 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Arouca 4 - 0 Moreirense L
09 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Moreirense 2 - 2 SC Braga D
2 W 2 D 6 L in the last 10
27 Oct 2026Taça da Liga Sporting CP 2 - 1 Maritimo L
23 Oct 2026Primeira Liga Vitória SC 5 - 0 Maritimo L
18 Oct 2026Taça de Portugal Alcochetense 1 - 2 Maritimo W
10 Oct 2026Primeira Liga Maritimo 1 - 2 FC Porto L
19 Sep 2026Primeira Liga GIL Vicente 1 - 1 Maritimo D
14 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Moreirense 3 - 1 Maritimo L
05 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Maritimo 0 - 3 Benfica L
29 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Arouca 2 - 1 Maritimo L
22 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Maritimo 2 - 2 Academico Viseu D
16 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Famalicao 1 - 2 Maritimo W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Moreirense Draw Maritimo
Value spotted: Maritimo win at 3.09 (model 60% vs market 31%)

Most likely scores

1-2 9.6%
1-1 8.5%
0-2 7.6%
1-3 7.2%
0-1 6.8%
2-2 6%

Expected goals: 1.25 Moreirense · 2.25 Maritimo

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams score64%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
36%
Form
64%
40%
Attack
60%
40%
Defence
60%
26%
Goal model
74%
71%
Head to head
29%
75%
Goals
25%
48%
Overall
52%

Season numbers

Primeira Liga 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1
Moreirense Maritimo

Side by side

Moreirense Maritimo
5 Played 5
1 Won 2
1 Drawn 1
3 Lost 2
0.8 Goals scored per game 1.2
2.4 Goals conceded per game 1.6
1 / 0.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1.5
1 Clean sheets 1
2 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 2
0-1 Biggest win 1-0
0-4 Biggest defeat 0-3
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Moreirense vs Maritimo: preview and prediction

Moreirense host Maritimo in the Portugal Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 6) on Monday, 14th September 2026 at 20:15 at Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos. Moreirense sit 10th in the table and Maritimo 14th.

Moreirense have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-L-L-W). Maritimo are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-L-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Moreirense won 4, Maritimo won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Moreirense and 2.25 for Maritimo. It gives Maritimo the edge (20% home win, 20% draw, 60% away win), 68% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Our pick was Over 1.5 at odds of 1.36.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Moreirense vs Maritimo FAQs

What is the best prediction for Moreirense vs Maritimo?

Our top tip is Over/Under 1.5: Over 1.5 (1.36 odds).

Who will win Moreirense vs Maritimo?

Maritimo are favourites: our model gives Moreirense 20%, the draw 20% and Maritimo 60%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 64% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.5 goals in total, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Moreirense vs Maritimo?

Kick-off is on Monday, 14th September 2026 at 20:15 at Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos.

Who is the referee?

Fabio Melo, Portugal is in charge of this game.