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Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction, H2H & Stats

USA: USL Championship · Group Stage
Monterey Bay

Monterey Bay

12th in table
LWLLW
Full time
1:0
HT 0 - 0
El Paso Locomotive

El Paso Locomotive

3rd in table
DLWLL
46' K. Twumasi
90' I. Paul
Sunday, 21 June 2026
Cardinale Stadium
R. Vincze

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
2Monterey Bay wins
4Draws
2El Paso Locomotive wins
2Goals per game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
15 Mar 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 0 - 3 El Paso Locomotive
17 Aug 2025USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 2 - 2 Monterey Bay
22 Jun 2025USL Championship Monterey Bay 1 - 2 El Paso Locomotive
25 Aug 2024USL Championship Monterey Bay 0 - 0 El Paso Locomotive
14 Mar 2024USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 1 - 1 Monterey Bay
03 Sep 2023USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 1 - 2 Monterey Bay
09 Jul 2023USL Championship Monterey Bay 0 - 0 El Paso Locomotive
07 Aug 2022USL Championship Monterey Bay 1 - 0 El Paso Locomotive

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 New Mexico United 301578 45:34 +11 52 WLWWL
2 Sacramento Republic 3013125 42:28 +14 51 WWDDW
3 El Paso Locomotive 3015510 48:38 +10 50 LLWLD
4 Lexington 3014610 57:39 +18 48 DWDWW
5 Colorado Springs 301389 44:38 +6 47 WWDDD
6 San Antonio 3011127 32:30 +2 45 WWDLD
7 FC Tulsa 3011109 34:31 +3 43 LLDDW
8 Phoenix Rising 30101010 45:46 -1 40 DWWLL
9 Orange County SC 3010911 39:49 -10 39 LLLLW
10 Oakland Roots 3091110 39:40 -1 38 LWDDW
11 Las Vegas Lights 3010614 41:48 -7 36 LLLWL
12 Monterey Bay 306618 32:52 -20 24 WLLWL

Top scorers

USL Championship
1 J. LocadiaMiami FC 6goals 0assists 14apps
2 A. MéndezEl Paso Locomotive 2goals 1assists 4apps
3 Pedro SantosLoudoun United 0goals 0assists 5apps
4 J. SoñoraMiami FC 0goals 0assists 2apps
5 Mattheus OliveiraTampa Bay Rowdies 0goals 0assists 2apps

Recent form

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
25 Oct 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 2 - 1 Las Vegas Lights W
18 Oct 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 0 - 1 Colorado Springs L
11 Oct 2026USL Championship New Mexico United 3 - 1 Monterey Bay L
04 Oct 2026USL Championship Orange County SC 1 - 2 Monterey Bay W
27 Sep 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 2 - 3 Lexington L
19 Sep 2026USL Championship Charleston Battery 1 - 0 Monterey Bay L
06 Sep 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 1 - 1 Phoenix Rising D
30 Aug 2026USL Championship Monterey Bay 1 - 1 Sacramento Republic D
22 Aug 2026USL Championship Rhode Island 3 - 1 Monterey Bay L
16 Aug 2026USL Championship Oakland Roots 1 - 1 Monterey Bay D
5 W 1 D 3 L in the last 9
25 Oct 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 0 - 1 New Mexico United L
18 Oct 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 0 - 1 Sacramento Republic L
11 Oct 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 2 - 1 Orange County SC W
03 Oct 2026USL Championship Lexington 3 - 1 El Paso Locomotive L
26 Sep 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 1 - 1 FC Tulsa D
20 Sep 2026USL Championship Phoenix Rising 1 - 3 El Paso Locomotive W
12 Sep 2026USL Championship Louisville City 1 - 2 El Paso Locomotive W
30 Aug 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 4 - 1 Loudoun United W
27 Aug 2026USL Championship El Paso Locomotive 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Monterey Bay Draw El Paso Locomotive
Value spotted: El Paso Locomotive win at 2.28 (model 49% vs market 40%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11.5%
0-1 10%
1-2 9.5%
0-2 8.3%
1-0 7%
2-1 6.6%

Expected goals: 1.15 Monterey Bay · 1.65 El Paso Locomotive

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
75%
Form
25%
60%
Attack
40%
59%
Defence
41%
29%
Goal model
71%
25%
Head to head
75%
33%
Goals
67%
46%
Overall
53%

Season numbers

USL Championship 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
5
2
16-30'
4
0
31-45'
5
3
46-60'
7
2
61-75'
1
4
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
2
4
16-30'
3
2
31-45'
4
9
46-60'
3
5
61-75'
4
1
76-90'
5
Monterey Bay El Paso Locomotive

Side by side

Monterey Bay El Paso Locomotive
13 Played 12
3 Won 4
2 Drawn 4
8 Lost 4
1 Goals scored per game 1.9
1.7 Goals conceded per game 1.8
1.3 / 0.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1.7 / 2.2
2 Clean sheets 2
5 Failed to score 0
3 Longest winning run 4
4-1 Biggest win 3-2
0-3 Biggest defeat 1-4
1/1 Penalties scored 4/4

Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive: preview and prediction

Monterey Bay host El Paso Locomotive in the USA USL Championship (Group Stage) on Sunday, 21st June 2026 at 03:00 at Cardinale Stadium. Monterey Bay sit 12th in the table and El Paso Locomotive 3rd.

Monterey Bay are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-W). El Paso Locomotive are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-L-L).

In the last 8 meetings, Monterey Bay won 2, El Paso Locomotive won 2 and 4 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.65 for El Paso Locomotive. It gives El Paso Locomotive the edge (27% home win, 24% draw, 49% away win), 53% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.50.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive FAQs

What is the best prediction for Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.50 odds).

Who will win Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?

El Paso Locomotive are favourites: our model gives Monterey Bay 27%, the draw 24% and El Paso Locomotive 49%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 21st June 2026 at 03:00 at Cardinale Stadium.

Who is the referee?

R. Vincze is in charge of this game.