Monarcas vs CA La Paz Prediction, H2H & Stats

Mexico: Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura - 1
Monarcas

Monarcas

3rd in table
DDLWL
Full time
4:2
HT 0 - 2
CA La Paz

CA La Paz

1st in table
LWDWW
15' J. Van Rankin
38' A. Robles
39' C. Robles
40' A. Robles
45' M. Barragan
49' A. Andrade
50' C. Robles
50' C. Robles
56' A. Flores
58' R. Lopez Aburto
68' R. del Campo (Penalty)
73' H. Torres
88' A. Flores
90+1' G. Alcala
Sunday, 26 July 2026
Estadio Morelos, Morelia
A. Lopez

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
5Monarcas wins
2Draws
1CA La Paz wins
3.3Goals per game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
01 Mar 2026Liga de Expansión MX Monarcas 1 - 0 CA La Paz
20 Sep 2025Liga de Expansión MX CA La Paz 3 - 0 Monarcas
15 Mar 2025Liga de Expansión MX Monarcas 4 - 1 CA La Paz
28 Sep 2024Liga de Expansión MX CA La Paz 0 - 1 Monarcas
10 Jan 2024Liga de Expansión MX CA La Paz 1 - 1 Monarcas
11 Sep 2023Liga de Expansión MX Monarcas 2 - 0 CA La Paz
20 Jan 2023Liga de Expansión MX CA La Paz 3 - 3 Monarcas
18 Sep 2022Liga de Expansión MX Monarcas 4 - 2 CA La Paz

Liga de Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 CA La Paz 15933 36:18 +18 30 WWDWL
2 Leones Negros UDG 15933 34:20 +14 30 WWLDW
3 Monarcas 15825 26:19 +7 26 LWLDD
4 Piratas 15744 27:15 +12 25 DWWLW
5 Cancún 15744 28:18 +10 25 WWDDW
6 Venados FC 15744 31:25 +6 25 DWDDW
7 Durango 15735 21:15 +6 24 WLWDW
8 Tlaxcala 15645 29:27 +2 22 WWDWD
9 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 15717 15:25 -10 22 WWWWL
10 Mineros de Zacatecas 15537 26:26 0 18 LLLDL
11 Tapatío 15537 25:28 -3 18 DLLWL
12 Correcaminos Uat 15456 21:24 -3 17 DLLLD
13 Dorados 15447 23:32 -9 16 LLWLL
14 CDS Tampico Madero 15438 15:25 -10 15 LLWDL
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 15357 17:24 -7 14 LLWWD
16 Tepatitlán 152112 11:44 -33 7 LLLLD

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Liga de Expansión MX Durango 3 - 1 Monarcas L
25 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Tapatío 1 - 2 Monarcas W
18 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Monarcas 1 - 2 CDS Tampico Madero L
10 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Tepatitlán 1 - 1 Monarcas D
04 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Monarcas 1 - 1 Tlaxcala D
26 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Venados FC 2 - 1 Monarcas L
20 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Monarcas 2 - 0 Leones Negros UDG W
13 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Mineros de Zacatecas 0 - 1 Monarcas W
06 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Monarcas 4 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca W
29 Aug 2026Liga de Expansión MX Dorados 0 - 1 Monarcas W
7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX CA La Paz 3 - 0 Dorados W
25 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX CDS Tampico Madero 1 - 3 CA La Paz W
17 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX CA La Paz 2 - 2 Tlaxcala D
09 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX Tapatío 2 - 4 CA La Paz W
03 Oct 2026Liga de Expansión MX CA La Paz 1 - 2 Venados FC L
25 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1 - 3 CA La Paz W
19 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX CA La Paz 3 - 1 Correcaminos Uat W
13 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX Leones Negros UDG 2 - 2 CA La Paz D
05 Sep 2026Liga de Expansión MX CA La Paz 3 - 0 Mineros de Zacatecas W
28 Aug 2026Liga de Expansión MX Cancún 1 - 2 CA La Paz W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Monarcas Draw CA La Paz
Value spotted: CA La Paz win at 4.12 (model 30% vs market 22%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.5%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Monarcas · 1.1 CA La Paz

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
71%
Head to head
29%
58%
Goals
42%
64%
Overall
35%

Monarcas vs CA La Paz: preview and prediction

Monarcas host CA La Paz in the Mexico Liga de Expansión MX (Apertura - 1) on Sunday, 26th July 2026 at 02:00 at Estadio Morelos, Morelia. Monarcas sit 3rd in the table and CA La Paz 1st.

Monarcas have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-L-W-L). CA La Paz are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-D-W-W).

In the last 8 meetings, Monarcas won 5, CA La Paz won 1 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Monarcas and 1.1 for CA La Paz. It gives Monarcas the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.16.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Monarcas vs CA La Paz FAQs

What is the best prediction for Monarcas vs CA La Paz?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.16 odds).

Who will win Monarcas vs CA La Paz?

Monarcas are favourites: our model gives Monarcas 44%, the draw 27% and CA La Paz 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Monarcas vs CA La Paz?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 26th July 2026 at 02:00 at Estadio Morelos, Morelia.

Who is the referee?

A. Lopez is in charge of this game.