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Monaco vs Marseille Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 2
Monaco

Monaco

7th in table
WLWDL
Full time
2:0
HT 1 - 0
Marseille

Marseille

6th in table
LWLWW
13' P. Brunner
42' Denis Zakaria
43' Lamine Camara
53' P. Brunner
88' Nazinho
90+2' Lukáš Hrádecký
Sunday, 30 August 2026
Stade Louis II, Monaco
W. Delajod

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Monaco wins
2Draws
3Marseille wins
3Goals per game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
05 Apr 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 1 Marseille
14 Dec 2025Ligue 1 Marseille 1 - 0 Monaco
12 Apr 2025Ligue 1 Monaco 3 - 0 Marseille
01 Dec 2024Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 1 Monaco
27 Jan 2024Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 2 Monaco
30 Sep 2023Ligue 1 Monaco 3 - 2 Marseille
28 Jan 2023Ligue 1 Marseille 1 - 1 Monaco
13 Nov 2022Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 3 Marseille
06 Mar 2022Ligue 1 Marseille 0 - 1 Monaco

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 21:10 +11 20 WWWWW
2 Lille 9531 12:6 +6 18 WDDWL
3 Lyon 9522 15:7 +8 17 WLWLW
4 Paris FC 9522 16:10 +6 17 WLWLW
5 Rennes 9513 20:19 +1 16 LWLWL
6 Marseille 9504 20:13 +7 15 WWWWL
7 Monaco 9432 12:10 +2 15 LDLDW
8 Nice 9423 13:12 +1 14 WWLWW
9 Lens 9414 16:13 +3 13 LWWWL
10 Stade Brestois 29 9333 16:12 +4 12 WLDWL
11 Lorient 9333 7:8 -1 12 LDWWL
12 Toulouse 9243 12:13 -1 10 LDWDW
13 Strasbourg 9315 17:19 -2 10 WLLLL
14 Auxerre 9315 13:23 -10 10 LDWLW
15 Angers 9225 9:17 -8 8 LDLLW
16 Estac Troyes 9225 7:16 -9 8 WDLLL
17 Le Mans 9144 11:18 -7 7 LDLLW
18 Le Havre 9027 9:20 -11 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 L. SinayokoParis FC 8goals 5assists 9apps
2 E. LepaulRennes 7goals 0assists 7apps
3 C. ArcherAuxerre 6goals 0assists 7apps
4 A. GouiriMarseille 6goals 3assists 9apps
5 E. WahiNice 6goals 2assists 8apps
6 C. TengstedtToulouse 5goals 1assists 7apps
7 Gessime YassineStrasbourg 4goals 3assists 9apps
8 Ferran TorresParis Saint Germain 4goals 1assists 9apps
9 L. AjorqueStade Brestois 29 4goals 1assists 9apps
10 S. SzymańskiRennes 4goals 1assists 7apps

Recent form

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Paris FC 3 - 1 Monaco L
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 1 - 1 Lille D
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Monaco 3 - 0 SC Freiburg W
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 0 Monaco L
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League CSKA Sofia 1 - 2 Monaco W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 2 Toulouse D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Monaco 2 - 0 Pisa W
18 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 1 Lens W
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Strasbourg 1 - 1 Monaco D
04 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 2 Monaco W
4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 0 Toulouse W
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 4 - 3 Le Havre W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Marseille L
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Angers 2 - 5 Marseille W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Marseille 0 - 1 Olympiakos Piraeus L
11 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 0 - 2 Marseille W
20 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain L
17 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Beşiktaş 4 - 1 Marseille L
11 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Rennes 1 - 0 Marseille L
06 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 3 Paris FC L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Monaco Draw Marseille
Value spotted: Marseille win at 2.83 (model 83% vs market 35%)

Most likely scores

0-3 7.2%
0-4 7.2%
1-3 7.2%
1-4 7.2%
0-5 5.7%
1-5 5.7%

Expected goals: 1 Monaco · 4 Marseille

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals68%
Both teams score59%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
20%
Attack
80%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
50%
Head to head
50%
57%
Goals
43%
44%
Overall
55%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Monaco Marseille

Side by side

Monaco Marseille
1 Played 1
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
1 Goals scored per game 4
0 Goals conceded per game 0
0 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 4 / 0
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 1
0-1 Biggest win 4-0
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Monaco vs Marseille: preview and prediction

Monaco host Marseille in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 2) on Sunday, 30th August 2026 at 19:45 at Stade Louis II, Monaco. Monaco sit 7th in the table and Marseille 6th.

Monaco have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-D-L). Marseille are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Monaco won 4, Marseille won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Monaco and 4 for Marseille. It gives Marseille the edge (5% home win, 8% draw, 83% away win), 82% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-3.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.49. We also like Home Win.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Monaco vs Marseille FAQs

What is the best prediction for Monaco vs Marseille?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.49 odds).

Who will win Monaco vs Marseille?

Marseille are favourites: our model gives Monaco 5%, the draw 8% and Marseille 83%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 59% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 5 goals in total, with a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Monaco vs Marseille?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 30th August 2026 at 19:45 at Stade Louis II, Monaco.

Who is the referee?

W. Delajod is in charge of this game.