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Mirassol vs Gremio Prediction, H2H & Stats

Brazil: Serie A · Regular Season - 19
Mirassol

Mirassol

16th in table
LWDLW
Full time
2:1
HT 2 - 0
Gremio

Gremio

15th in table
DLWWW
16' Bruno Santos
38' Denilson
40' Edson Carioca
41' Walter Kannemann
65' Gustavo Martins
77' Carlos Vinicius
79' Leonel Pérez
Saturday, 18 July 2026
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol
B. Arleu

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
3Mirassol wins
0Draws
0Gremio wins
3.7Goals per game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
13 Sep 2025Serie A Gremio 0 - 1 Mirassol
16 Apr 2025Serie A Mirassol 4 - 1 Gremio
02 Mar 2022Copa Do Brasil Mirassol 3 - 2 Gremio

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Flamengo 332274 68:28 +40 73 WWWWD
2 Palmeiras 3320103 56:22 +34 70 DWWWW
3 Cruzeiro 3317610 52:46 +6 57 WWWLW
4 Fluminense 331599 52:42 +10 54 WLLLW
5 Atletico Paranaense 331599 50:40 +10 54 LDLWD
6 Bahia 3314118 48:42 +6 53 WDLWL
7 Atletico-MG 3314811 44:39 +5 50 LLWWD
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 44:39 +5 47 WWLDW
9 Santos 34121111 50:49 +1 47 LDDWL
10 Sao Paulo 3312714 39:39 0 43 LDWWL
11 Coritiba 3311913 40:50 -10 42 WLLDL
12 Botafogo 3310914 45:53 -8 39 LLWDL
13 Vasco DA Gama 3210814 40:49 -9 38 LWLDW
14 Vitoria 3310815 35:48 -13 38 LDDLW
15 Gremio 3391014 37:44 -7 37 WWLDD
16 Mirassol 3391014 37:47 -10 37 LDWLD
17 Corinthians 339915 36:42 -6 36 WLDLL
18 Internacional 3381114 37:42 -5 35 LWLDW
19 Remo 3361116 36:51 -15 29 WLDDD
20 Chapecoense-sc 324919 32:66 -34 21 LWLLL

Top scorers

Serie A
1 K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense 21goals 3assists 31apps
2 PedroFlamengo 18goals 6assists 33apps
3 Gabriel BarbosaSantos 15goals 3assists 25apps
4 Kaio JorgeCruzeiro 12goals 2assists 26apps
5 Samuel LinoFlamengo 11goals 9assists 32apps
6 Carlos ViníciusGremio 11goals 1assists 32apps
7 Luciano JubaBahia 11goals 1assists 29apps
8 Danilo SantosBotafogo 10goals 2assists 25apps
9 ReneVitoria 10goals 1assists 25apps
10 J. CalleriSao Paulo 10goals 2assists 27apps

Recent form

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Serie A Chapecoense-sc 1 - 2 Mirassol W
30 Oct 2026Serie A Corinthians 2 - 0 Mirassol L
24 Oct 2026Serie A Mirassol 1 - 1 Sao Paulo D
16 Oct 2026Serie A Mirassol 2 - 0 Internacional W
11 Oct 2026Serie A Bahia 1 - 0 Mirassol L
07 Oct 2026Serie A RB Bragantino 1 - 1 Mirassol D
27 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs Uberlandia 0 - 4 Mirassol W
19 Sep 2026Serie A Mirassol 2 - 0 Botafogo W
13 Sep 2026Serie A Mirassol 2 - 2 Vitoria D
06 Sep 2026Serie A Coritiba 1 - 2 Mirassol W
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Copa Do Brasil Gremio 2 - 0 Atletico-MG W
30 Oct 2026Serie A Gremio 2 - 0 Atletico Paranaense W
26 Oct 2026Serie A Coritiba 0 - 1 Gremio W
18 Oct 2026Serie A Gremio 2 - 4 Cruzeiro L
11 Oct 2026Serie A Gremio 1 - 1 Internacional D
07 Oct 2026Serie A Remo 1 - 1 Gremio D
20 Sep 2026Serie A Gremio 0 - 0 Palmeiras D
16 Sep 2026Serie A Botafogo 3 - 2 Gremio L
12 Sep 2026Serie A Gremio 1 - 2 Vasco DA Gama L
07 Sep 2026Serie A Vitoria 1 - 0 Gremio L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Mirassol Draw Gremio

Most likely scores

1-0 14.6%
1-1 13.1%
0-0 11.6%
0-1 10.5%
2-0 9.1%
2-1 8.2%

Expected goals: 1.25 Mirassol · 0.9 Gremio

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals63%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Over 3.5 goals17%
Both teams score42%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
58%
Form
42%
50%
Attack
50%
54%
Defence
46%
63%
Goal model
37%
100%
Head to head
0%
73%
Goals
27%
59%
Overall
40%

Season numbers

Serie A 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
2
4
16-30'
1
5
31-45'
4
2
46-60'
7
2
61-75'
4
4
76-90'
1
3
0-15'
1
5
16-30'
4
3
31-45'
5
1
46-60'
6
4
61-75'
7
9
76-90'
1
Mirassol Gremio

Side by side

Mirassol Gremio
17 Played 18
4 Won 5
4 Drawn 6
9 Lost 7
1.1 Goals scored per game 1.1
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.3
1.2 / 0.9 Scored per game (home / away) 1.7 / 0.6
1 Clean sheets 5
6 Failed to score 6
1 Longest winning run 1
2-1 Biggest win 5-3
1-2 Biggest defeat 1-3
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

Mirassol vs Gremio: preview and prediction

Mirassol host Gremio in the Brazil Serie A (Regular Season - 19) on Saturday, 18th July 2026 at 00:00 at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol. Mirassol sit 16th in the table and Gremio 15th.

Mirassol have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-D-L-W). Gremio are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-W-W-W).

In the last 3 meetings, Mirassol won 3, Gremio won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 3.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Mirassol and 0.9 for Gremio. It gives Mirassol the edge (44% home win, 29% draw, 27% away win), 36% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.25.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Mirassol vs Gremio FAQs

What is the best prediction for Mirassol vs Gremio?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.25 odds).

Who will win Mirassol vs Gremio?

Mirassol are favourites: our model gives Mirassol 44%, the draw 29% and Gremio 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 42% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.2 goals in total, with a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Mirassol vs Gremio?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 18th July 2026 at 00:00 at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol.

Who is the referee?

B. Arleu is in charge of this game.