Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction, H2H & Stats

USA: Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 32
Minnesota United FC

Minnesota United FC

12th in table
DDWDW
Full time
3:1
HT 0 - 1
Sporting Kansas City

Sporting Kansas City

15th in table
DLLLL
31' Taylor Calheira
45+4' Kelvin Yeboah
59' Mauricio González Carabalí
61' Anthony Markanich
71' Cherrion Valerius
72' Anthony Markanich
76' Mauricio González Carabalí
88' Kelvin Yeboah
Thursday, 29 October 2026
Allianz Field, Sao Paulo
Serhiy Boiko

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
5Minnesota United FC wins
1Draws
4Sporting Kansas City wins
3.2Goals per game
50%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
23 Jul 2026Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 2 - 1 Minnesota United FC
07 Feb 2026Friendlies Clubs Sporting Kansas City 0 - 3 Minnesota United FC
05 Oct 2025Major League Soccer Minnesota United FC 3 - 0 Sporting Kansas City
16 Mar 2025Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 3 - 3 Minnesota United FC
22 Sep 2024Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 0 - 2 Minnesota United FC
02 Jun 2024Major League Soccer Minnesota United FC 3 - 1 Sporting Kansas City
28 Apr 2024Major League Soccer Minnesota United FC 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City
22 Oct 2023Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 3 - 1 Minnesota United FC
17 Sep 2023Major League Soccer Minnesota United FC 0 - 1 Sporting Kansas City
14 May 2023Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 3 - 0 Minnesota United FC

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 321778 67:33 +34 58 WLWDD
2 FC Dallas 321598 58:49 +9 54 LWDWL
3 St. Louis City 321499 58:47 +11 51 LLLDW
4 Houston Dynamo 321499 42:39 +3 51 WDDDD
5 San Jose Earthquakes 3213109 54:47 +7 49 DLDDD
6 Los Angeles FC 3212119 50:35 +15 47 DDWDL
7 Colorado Rapids 3212713 44:43 +1 43 DWDDD
8 Seattle Sounders 32111011 41:40 +1 43 LDDLW
9 Real Salt Lake 3212614 50:49 +1 42 WWWDL
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 32101111 45:54 -9 41 DDWLW
11 Portland Timbers 3211714 57:60 -3 40 WWDLD
12 Minnesota United FC 3291112 50:56 -6 38 WDWDD
13 San Diego 3281113 56:62 -6 35 LDDDL
14 Austin 3281014 41:59 -18 34 LWLLL
15 Sporting Kansas City 326422 38:80 -42 22 LLLLD

Top scorers

Major League Soccer
1 L. MessiInter Miami 25goals 12assists 28apps
2 P. MusaFC Dallas 22goals 5assists 27apps
3 M. IloskiPhiladelphia Union 19goals 2assists 31apps
4 D. BouangaLos Angeles FC 18goals 5assists 30apps
5 S. SurridgeNashville SC 18goals 1assists 25apps
6 Rafael NavarroSt. Louis City 18goals 6assists 31apps
7 B. WhiteVancouver Whitecaps 17goals 2assists 29apps
8 K. YeboahMinnesota United FC 17goals 3assists 30apps
9 K. DenkeyFC Cincinnati 17goals 3assists 29apps
10 H. MukhtarNashville SC 16goals 7assists 31apps

Recent form

2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
29 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Minnesota United FC 3 - 1 Sporting Kansas City W
25 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Houston Dynamo 0 - 0 Minnesota United FC D
17 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Minnesota United FC 3 - 2 St. Louis City W
15 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Colorado Rapids 2 - 2 Minnesota United FC D
11 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Minnesota United FC 2 - 2 Houston Dynamo D
27 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Seattle Sounders 3 - 1 Minnesota United FC L
20 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Minnesota United FC 2 - 3 Los Angeles Galaxy L
13 Sep 2026Major League Soccer St. Louis City 4 - 2 Minnesota United FC L
10 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Minnesota United FC 1 - 2 FC Dallas L
06 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Portland Timbers 5 - 4 Minnesota United FC L
2 W 1 D 7 L in the last 10
29 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Minnesota United FC 3 - 1 Sporting Kansas City L
25 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 1 - 2 Austin L
18 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 1 - 3 Real Salt Lake L
15 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Nashville SC 4 - 0 Sporting Kansas City L
11 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 3 - 3 Portland Timbers D
02 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Seattle Sounders 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City L
27 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Houston Dynamo 0 - 2 Sporting Kansas City W
20 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 3 - 4 Philadelphia Union L
13 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas City 3 - 1 Los Angeles FC W
06 Sep 2026Major League Soccer FC Dallas 4 - 3 Sporting Kansas City L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Minnesota United FC Draw Sporting Kansas City

Most likely scores

2-1 9.9%
1-1 9.4%
2-0 9%
1-0 8.6%
3-1 6.9%
3-0 6.3%

Expected goals: 2.1 Minnesota United FC · 1.1 Sporting Kansas City

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams score58%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
86%
Form
14%
57%
Attack
43%
61%
Defence
39%
69%
Goal model
31%
71%
Head to head
29%
71%
Goals
29%
69%
Overall
30%

Season numbers

Major League Soccer 2026

When the goals come

4
0-15'
3
5
16-30'
9
8
31-45'
9
9
46-60'
5
13
61-75'
9
8
76-90'
4
12
0-15'
13
11
16-30'
9
7
31-45'
15
8
46-60'
8
6
61-75'
16
11
76-90'
14
Minnesota United FC Sporting Kansas City

Side by side

Minnesota United FC Sporting Kansas City
31 Played 31
8 Won 6
11 Drawn 4
12 Lost 21
1.5 Goals scored per game 1.2
1.8 Goals conceded per game 2.5
1.3 / 1.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1.4 / 0.9
6 Clean sheets 1
6 Failed to score 10
4 Longest winning run 2
2-0 Biggest win 3-1
2-3 Biggest defeat 1-4
3/4 Penalties scored 0/1

What comes next

Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles FC (A) 02 Nov
San Jose Earthquakes (H) 08 Nov
Sporting Kansas City
FC Dallas (H) 31 Oct
San Diego (A) 08 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Minnesota United FC
+ P. Stroud Muscle Injury
+ W. Trapp Concussion
? A. Smir Knee Injury
Sporting Kansas City
+ O. Blorian Chest Injury
+ Diego Borges Groin Injury
+ M. Mosquera Hamstring Injury
+ S. Reid Hamstring Injury
+ J. Reynolds Muscle Injury
? Z. Bassong Hamstring Injury
? L. Johnsen Hamstring Injury

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Minnesota United FC 1.42 70% implied Our tip
Draw 5.00 20% implied
Sporting Kansas City 6.50 15% implied
Minnesota United FC 1.14 88% implied Our tip
Sporting Kansas City 5.50 18% implied
Over 0.5 1.01 99% implied
Under 0.5 26.00 4% implied
Over 1.5 1.08 93% implied
Under 1.5 8.00 13% implied
Over 2.5 1.30 77% implied
Under 2.5 3.50 29% implied
Over 3.5 1.73 58% implied Our tip
Under 3.5 2.00 50% implied
Over 4.5 2.62 38% implied
Under 4.5 1.44 69% implied
Minnesota United FC/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Minnesota United FC/Sporting Kansas City 41.00 2% implied
Draw/Sporting Kansas City 15.00 7% implied
Draw/Draw 9.00 11% implied
Minnesota United FC/Minnesota United FC 2.05 49% implied
Draw/Minnesota United FC 4.50 22% implied
Sporting Kansas City/Minnesota United FC 15.00 7% implied
Sporting Kansas City/Draw 17.00 6% implied
Sporting Kansas City/Sporting Kansas City 10.00 10% implied
Yes 1.50 67% implied
No 2.50 40% implied
2:1 9.00 11% implied
2:0 10.00 10% implied
3:1 10.00 10% implied
1:1 10.00 10% implied
3:0 12.00 8% implied
1:0 13.00 8% implied
2:2 13.00 8% implied
4:1 15.00 7% implied
Minnesota United FC/Draw 1.11 90% implied
Minnesota United FC/Sporting Kansas City 1.17 85% implied
Draw/Sporting Kansas City 2.75 36% implied
Minnesota United FC 1.83 55% implied Our tip
Draw 2.88 35% implied
Sporting Kansas City 5.50 18% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: preview and prediction

Minnesota United FC host Sporting Kansas City in the USA Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 32) on Thursday, 29th October 2026 at 01:30 at Allianz Field, Sao Paulo. Minnesota United FC sit 12th in the table and Sporting Kansas City 15th.

Minnesota United FC are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-W-D-W). Sporting Kansas City are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-L).

In the last 10 meetings, Minnesota United FC won 5, Sporting Kansas City won 4 and 1 ended level. These games average 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 80%.

Our goal model expects about 2.1 goals for Minnesota United FC and 1.1 for Sporting Kansas City. It gives Minnesota United FC the edge (60% home win, 21% draw, 19% away win), 62% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.40. We also like Over 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City FAQs

What is the best prediction for Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.40 odds).

Who will win Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Minnesota United FC are favourites: our model gives Minnesota United FC 60%, the draw 21% and Sporting Kansas City 19%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 58% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.2 goals in total, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 29th October 2026 at 01:30 at Allianz Field, Sao Paulo.

Who is the referee?

Serhiy Boiko is in charge of this game.