MetroStars vs Sturt Lions Prediction, H2H & Stats

Australia: South Australia NPL · Regular Season - 14
MetroStars

MetroStars

3rd in table
WWWDL
Full time
1:0
HT 0 - 0
Sturt Lions

Sturt Lions

9th in table
DWDDL
53' M. Cittadini
Saturday, 13 June 2026
TK Shutter Reserve, Adelaide

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
6MetroStars wins
2Draws
0Sturt Lions wins
2.9Goals per game
38%Both scored
63%Over 2.5
14 Mar 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 0 - 1 MetroStars
29 Jul 2023South Australia NPL MetroStars 4 - 1 Sturt Lions
29 Apr 2023South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 0 - 5 MetroStars
06 Aug 2022South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 0 - 1 MetroStars
14 May 2022South Australia NPL MetroStars 3 - 1 Sturt Lions
02 Oct 2021South Australia NPL MetroStars 0 - 0 Sturt Lions
28 Aug 2021South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 2 - 2 MetroStars
12 Jun 2021South Australia NPL MetroStars 3 - 0 Sturt Lions

South Australia NPL table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Adelaide City 221462 44:16 +28 48 WWWWW
2 West Torrens Birkalla 221435 54:29 +25 45 LWDWW
3 MetroStars 221354 53:23 +30 44 LDWWW
4 Playford City Patriots 221057 42:31 +11 35 LLWWL
5 FK Beograd 221039 35:30 +5 33 LLLWL
6 Croydon Kings 22868 46:41 +5 30 LLDLD
7 Adelaide United II 22787 33:32 +1 29 LWDLW
8 Campbelltown City 22859 35:36 -1 29 WWLDW
9 Sturt Lions 228311 35:36 -1 27 LDDWD
10 West Adelaide 22679 40:44 -4 25 LLWWD
11 Adelaide Comets 225512 25:38 -13 20 WDLWL
12 Para Hills Knights 220220 16:102 -86 2 LLLLL

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
05 Sep 2026South Australia NPL West Torrens Birkalla 2 - 0 MetroStars L
29 Aug 2026South Australia NPL MetroStars 2 - 2 West Torrens Birkalla D
22 Aug 2026South Australia NPL MetroStars 2 - 0 Croydon Kings W
15 Aug 2026South Australia NPL MetroStars 2 - 0 Croydon Kings W
07 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide Comets 0 - 1 MetroStars W
01 Aug 2026South Australia NPL MetroStars 1 - 1 Adelaide United II D
25 Jul 2026South Australia NPL MetroStars 1 - 3 West Adelaide L
18 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Playford City Patriots 1 - 0 MetroStars L
04 Jul 2026South Australia NPL MetroStars 3 - 1 West Torrens Birkalla W
27 Jun 2026South Australia NPL Para Hills Knights 0 - 9 MetroStars W
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
15 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 1 - 3 Campbelltown City L
11 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 0 - 0 Adelaide Comets D
08 Aug 2026South Australia NPL Croydon Kings 1 - 1 Sturt Lions D
25 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide United II 2 - 3 Sturt Lions W
18 Jul 2026South Australia NPL West Adelaide 0 - 0 Sturt Lions D
04 Jul 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 1 - 0 Playford City Patriots W
26 Jun 2026South Australia NPL West Torrens Birkalla 4 - 1 Sturt Lions L
20 Jun 2026South Australia NPL Sturt Lions 6 - 0 Para Hills Knights W
13 Jun 2026South Australia NPL MetroStars 1 - 0 Sturt Lions L
05 Jun 2026South Australia NPL Adelaide City 4 - 1 Sturt Lions L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
MetroStars Draw Sturt Lions
Value spotted: Sturt Lions win at 7.23 (model 21% vs market 13%)

Most likely scores

2-1 9.4%
1-1 8.2%
2-0 7.2%
3-1 7.2%
1-0 6.3%
2-2 6.1%

Expected goals: 2.3 MetroStars · 1.3 Sturt Lions

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals48%
Both teams score65%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
81%
Form
19%
79%
Attack
21%
73%
Defence
27%
75%
Goal model
25%
100%
Head to head
0%
88%
Goals
13%
79%
Overall
21%

Season numbers

South Australia NPL 2026

When the goals come

6
0-15'
2
9
16-30'
1
8
31-45'
6
3
46-60'
4
4
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
6
2
0-15'
6
1
16-30'
3
2
31-45'
2
4
46-60'
7
1
61-75'
4
4
76-90'
3
MetroStars Sturt Lions

Side by side

MetroStars Sturt Lions
13 Played 13
8 Won 5
4 Drawn 0
1 Lost 8
2.7 Goals scored per game 1.7
1.1 Goals conceded per game 1.9
2.8 / 2.6 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 1.8
6 Clean sheets 2
2 Failed to score 3
1 Longest winning run 2
7-0 Biggest win 4-3
1-3 Biggest defeat 2-4
1/1 Penalties scored 0/1

MetroStars vs Sturt Lions: preview and prediction

MetroStars host Sturt Lions in the Australia South Australia NPL (Regular Season - 14) on Saturday, 13th June 2026 at 08:45 at TK Shutter Reserve, Adelaide. MetroStars sit 3rd in the table and Sturt Lions 9th.

MetroStars are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-D-L). Sturt Lions have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-D-D-L).

In the last 8 meetings, MetroStars won 6, Sturt Lions won 0 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% and over 2.5 goals in 63%.

Our goal model expects about 2.3 goals for MetroStars and 1.3 for Sturt Lions. It gives MetroStars the edge (60% home win, 19% draw, 21% away win), 69% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.31.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

MetroStars vs Sturt Lions FAQs

What is the best prediction for MetroStars vs Sturt Lions?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.31 odds).

Who will win MetroStars vs Sturt Lions?

MetroStars are favourites: our model gives MetroStars 60%, the draw 19% and Sturt Lions 21%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 65% chance in our model, and it happened in 38% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.6 goals in total, with a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is MetroStars vs Sturt Lions?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 13th June 2026 at 08:45 at TK Shutter Reserve, Adelaide.