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Mercedes vs El Porvenir Prediction, H2H & Stats

Argentina: Primera C · Regular Season - 20
Mercedes

Mercedes

5th in table
WDWWL
Full time
2:0
HT 0 - 0
El Porvenir

El Porvenir

WLLDW
60' J. Cruz Vera Borda
81' F. C. Ruiz
Saturday, 18 July 2026

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
2Mercedes wins
3Draws
3El Porvenir wins
1.8Goals per game
38%Both scored
38%Over 2.5
21 Mar 2026Primera C El Porvenir 1 - 1 Mercedes
27 Jun 2025Primera C Mercedes 0 - 0 El Porvenir
18 Mar 2025Primera C El Porvenir 2 - 1 Mercedes
11 Sep 2024Primera C Mercedes 1 - 0 El Porvenir
10 Apr 2024Primera C El Porvenir 4 - 0 Mercedes
06 Nov 2023Primera D El Porvenir 0 - 0 Mercedes
23 Jul 2023Primera D Mercedes 1 - 0 El Porvenir
29 Apr 2023Primera D El Porvenir 2 - 1 Mercedes

Primera C table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Berazategui 3213127 40:24 +16 51 WLWDW
2 Sacachispas 3214810 33:26 +7 50 WDLLL
3 Estrella Del Sur 3212128 33:30 +3 48 WDWDD
4 Centro Español 3212119 43:30 +13 47 LWWLD
5 Mercedes 3212119 31:24 +7 47 WDWWD
6 Victoriano Arenas 3211147 26:19 +7 47 WWDWL
7 Lugano 3211138 35:29 +6 46 LLDDD
8 Juventud Unida 3212911 39:33 +6 45 LWDWL
9 Puerto Nuevo 32101111 30:36 -6 41 WLLLL
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 329914 25:34 -9 36 LLLDW
11 JJ Urquiza 3271411 21:26 -5 35 WWLDD
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 3271114 23:41 -18 32 LDDWL
13 Leandro N. Alem 328717 30:58 -28 31 LLWLD
14 Argentino Rosario 3241513 30:42 -12 27 LWLDL

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
26 Oct 2026Primera C Leones de Rosario 1 - 0 Mercedes L
17 Oct 2026Primera C Mercedes 2 - 1 Leones de Rosario W
12 Oct 2026Primera C Mercedes 1 - 0 Lugano W
05 Oct 2026Primera C Deportivo Paraguayo 1 - 1 Mercedes D
25 Sep 2026Primera C Mercedes 1 - 0 Puerto Nuevo W
20 Sep 2026Primera C Leandro N. Alem 0 - 1 Mercedes W
10 Sep 2026Primera C Mercedes 1 - 1 Deportivo Español D
04 Sep 2026Primera C Mercedes 0 - 3 Defensores de Cambaceres L
30 Aug 2026Primera C Juventud Unida 4 - 1 Mercedes L
22 Aug 2026Primera C Mercedes 2 - 0 Sacachispas W
4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
12 Oct 2026Primera C Atletico Atlas 1 - 2 El Porvenir W
05 Oct 2026Primera C El Porvenir 1 - 1 Canuelas D
29 Sep 2026Primera C Deportivo Muñiz 3 - 2 El Porvenir L
21 Sep 2026Primera C El Porvenir 0 - 2 Deportivo Español L
12 Sep 2026Primera C Juventud Unida 0 - 1 El Porvenir W
05 Sep 2026Primera C Central Cordoba 2 - 0 El Porvenir L
29 Aug 2026Primera C El Porvenir 4 - 2 Claypole W
23 Aug 2026Primera C El Porvenir 0 - 0 Central Ballester D
16 Aug 2026Primera C JJ Urquiza 0 - 1 El Porvenir W
08 Aug 2026Primera C El Porvenir 0 - 3 Yupanqui L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Mercedes Draw El Porvenir
Value spotted: Mercedes win at 2.63 (model 41% vs market 34%)

Most likely scores

0-0 20.2%
1-0 19.2%
0-1 13.1%
1-1 12.5%
2-0 9.1%
2-1 5.9%

Expected goals: 0.95 Mercedes · 0.65 El Porvenir

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals48%
Over 2.5 goals22%
Over 3.5 goals8%
Both teams score29%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
67%
Form
33%
90%
Attack
10%
50%
Defence
50%
64%
Goal model
36%
38%
Head to head
62%
30%
Goals
70%
56%
Overall
43%

Season numbers

Primera C 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
3
2
16-30'
4
2
31-45'
2
5
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
3
4
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
1
4
31-45'
3
4
46-60'
2
0
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
3
Mercedes El Porvenir

Side by side

Mercedes El Porvenir
19 Played 19
6 Won 4
8 Drawn 13
5 Lost 2
1 Goals scored per game 0.8
0.6 Goals conceded per game 0.7
1.2 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 0.7 / 0.9
10 Clean sheets 8
8 Failed to score 9
2 Longest winning run 3
5-0 Biggest win 2-1
0-2 Biggest defeat 0-1
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Mercedes vs El Porvenir: preview and prediction

Mercedes host El Porvenir in the Argentina Primera C (Regular Season - 20) on Saturday, 18th July 2026 at 19:00.

Mercedes are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-W-W-L). El Porvenir have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-D-W).

In the last 8 meetings, Mercedes won 2, El Porvenir won 3 and 3 ended level. These games average 1.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% and over 2.5 goals in 38%.

Our goal model expects about 0.95 goals for Mercedes and 0.65 for El Porvenir. It gives Mercedes the edge (41% home win, 35% draw, 24% away win), 22% for over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.34.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Mercedes vs El Porvenir FAQs

What is the best prediction for Mercedes vs El Porvenir?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.34 odds).

Who will win Mercedes vs El Porvenir?

Mercedes are favourites: our model gives Mercedes 41%, the draw 35% and El Porvenir 24%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 29% chance in our model, and it happened in 38% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.6 goals in total, with a 22% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Mercedes vs El Porvenir?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 18th July 2026 at 19:00.