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Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ethiopia: Premier League · Regular Season - 16
Mekelakeya

Mekelakeya

3rd in table
LWLDW
Full time
2:0
HT 2 - 0
Kedus Giorgis

Kedus Giorgis

6th in table
WDWDD
28' J. Fatuddin
32' J. Fatuddin
Thursday, 22 January 2026
Addis Abeba Stadium, Addis Abeba

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
2Mekelakeya wins
6Draws
0Kedus Giorgis wins
1.5Goals per game
38%Both scored
13%Over 2.5
22 Jun 2025Premier League Kedus Giorgis 1 - 1 Mekelakeya
03 Dec 2024Premier League Mekelakeya 4 - 3 Kedus Giorgis
06 Apr 2024Premier League Mekelakeya 0 - 0 Kedus Giorgis
04 Jan 2024Premier League Kedus Giorgis 1 - 1 Mekelakeya
11 May 2023Premier League Mekelakeya 1 - 0 Kedus Giorgis
17 Nov 2022Premier League Kedus Giorgis 0 - 0 Mekelakeya
17 Apr 2022Premier League Kedus Giorgis 0 - 0 Mekelakeya
24 Nov 2021Premier League Mekelakeya 0 - 0 Kedus Giorgis

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sidama Bunna 3819118 43:23 +20 68 LWDWW
2 Negelle Arsi 3815158 37:30 +7 60 LWDWD
3 Mekelakeya 3814159 44:31 +13 57 DLWLL
4 Fasil Ketema 38141311 28:28 0 55 WLWWL
5 Mebrat Hayl 38131510 32:26 +6 54 WDWDL
6 Kedus Giorgis 38141212 33:31 +2 54 DWDWW
7 Welayta Dicha 3811189 37:31 +6 51 DWLWD
8 Ethiopia Bunna 38131213 40:39 +1 51 DWDLL
9 Awassa Kenema 38121412 37:32 +5 50 LDDLW
10 Sheger Ketema 38111710 34:31 +3 50 WWLDW
11 Bahardar 389218 28:28 0 48 DLDLD
12 Hadiya Hosaena 38111512 31:35 -4 48 DDWLD
13 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 38111413 45:45 0 47 DLDLW
14 Ethiopian Medhin 38101612 30:31 -1 46 LLLWD
15 Adama Kenema 38101612 35:39 -4 46 WLDWL
16 Welwalo Adigrat Uni 38101612 32:36 -4 46 DWLDD
17 Suhul Shire 3891514 24:32 -8 42 LWDLD
18 Dire Dawa Kenema 3891514 27:41 -14 42 WDWLL
19 Mekelle Kenema 3881614 26:38 -12 40 WLDDD
20 Arba Minch Kenema 3871417 30:46 -16 35 LLLWW

Recent form

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
11 Oct 2026Premier League Awassa Kenema 0 - 1 Mekelakeya W
03 Jul 2026Premier League Mekelakeya 0 - 0 Hadiya Hosaena D
28 Jun 2026Premier League Sheger Ketema 2 - 0 Mekelakeya L
21 Jun 2026Premier League Mekelakeya 1 - 0 Ethiopian Medhin W
14 Jun 2026Premier League Kedus Giorgis 3 - 0 Mekelakeya L
28 May 2026Premier League Mekelakeya 1 - 2 Arba Minch Kenema L
19 May 2026Premier League Bahardar 1 - 1 Mekelakeya D
14 May 2026Premier League Mekelakeya 4 - 0 Negelle Arsi W
09 May 2026Premier League Ethiopia Bunna 1 - 1 Mekelakeya D
04 May 2026Premier League Mekelakeya 0 - 0 Adama Kenema D
5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Premier League Kedus Giorgis 1 - 1 Negelle Arsi D
02 Jul 2026Premier League Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1 - 1 Kedus Giorgis D
26 Jun 2026Premier League Kedus Giorgis 1 - 0 Fasil Ketema W
22 Jun 2026Premier League Suhul Shire 0 - 0 Kedus Giorgis D
14 Jun 2026Premier League Kedus Giorgis 3 - 0 Mekelakeya W
28 May 2026Premier League Dire Dawa Kenema 1 - 2 Kedus Giorgis W
20 May 2026Premier League Kedus Giorgis 1 - 0 Awassa Kenema W
14 May 2026Premier League Welayta Dicha 0 - 0 Kedus Giorgis D
09 May 2026Premier League Kedus Giorgis 1 - 0 Mekelle Kenema W
05 May 2026Premier League Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2 - 0 Kedus Giorgis L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Mekelakeya Draw Kedus Giorgis
Value spotted: Kedus Giorgis win at 3.10 (model 35% vs market 29%)

Most likely scores

0-0 17.4%
0-1 15.6%
1-0 14.8%
1-1 13.3%
0-2 7%
2-0 6.3%

Expected goals: 0.85 Mekelakeya · 0.9 Kedus Giorgis

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals52%
Over 2.5 goals26%
Over 3.5 goals10%
Both teams score34%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
46%
Attack
54%
40%
Defence
60%
45%
Goal model
55%
75%
Head to head
25%
58%
Goals
42%
52%
Overall
47%

Season numbers

Premier League 2025

When the goals come

2
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
3
5
31-45'
5
0
46-60'
1
3
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
3
2
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
1
Mekelakeya Kedus Giorgis

Side by side

Mekelakeya Kedus Giorgis
14 Played 15
5 Won 6
5 Drawn 4
4 Lost 5
1.2 Goals scored per game 1
0.9 Goals conceded per game 0.7
0.9 / 1.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1.1 / 0.9
5 Clean sheets 5
4 Failed to score 5
3 Longest winning run 2
3-1 Biggest win 4-0
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-1
2/2 Penalties scored 1/1

Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis: preview and prediction

Mekelakeya host Kedus Giorgis in the Ethiopia Premier League (Regular Season - 16) on Thursday, 22nd January 2026 at 14:00 at Addis Abeba Stadium, Addis Abeba. Mekelakeya sit 3rd in the table and Kedus Giorgis 6th.

Mekelakeya have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-D-W). Kedus Giorgis are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-W-D-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Mekelakeya won 2, Kedus Giorgis won 0 and 6 ended level. These games average 1.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% and over 2.5 goals in 13%.

Our goal model expects about 0.85 goals for Mekelakeya and 0.9 for Kedus Giorgis. It gives Kedus Giorgis the edge (32% home win, 33% draw, 35% away win), 26% for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.28.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis FAQs

What is the best prediction for Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis?

Our top tip is Free Tip: Home or Draw (1.28 odds).

Who will win Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis?

Kedus Giorgis are favourites: our model gives Mekelakeya 32%, the draw 33% and Kedus Giorgis 35%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 34% chance in our model, and it happened in 38% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.8 goals in total, with a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 22nd January 2026 at 14:00 at Addis Abeba Stadium, Addis Abeba.