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Marseille vs Paris FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 3
Marseille

Marseille

6th in table
LWLWW
Full time
2:3
HT 1 - 2
Paris FC

Paris FC

4th in table
WLWLW
1' L. Sinayoko
8' A. Gouiri
19' L. Sinayoko
53' A. Gouiri
65' Rudy Matondo
86' L. Sinayoko (Penalty)
87' Lassine Sinayoko
Sunday, 6 September 2026
Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
C. Turpin

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
1Marseille wins
1Draws
0Paris FC wins
5.5Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
31 Jan 2026Ligue 1 Paris FC 2 - 2 Marseille
23 Aug 2025Ligue 1 Marseille 5 - 2 Paris FC

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 21:10 +11 20 WWWWW
2 Lille 9531 12:6 +6 18 WDDWL
3 Lyon 9522 15:7 +8 17 WLWLW
4 Paris FC 9522 16:10 +6 17 WLWLW
5 Rennes 9513 20:19 +1 16 LWLWL
6 Marseille 9504 20:13 +7 15 WWWWL
7 Monaco 9432 12:10 +2 15 LDLDW
8 Nice 9423 13:12 +1 14 WWLWW
9 Lens 9414 16:13 +3 13 LWWWL
10 Stade Brestois 29 9333 16:12 +4 12 WLDWL
11 Lorient 9333 7:8 -1 12 LDWWL
12 Toulouse 9243 12:13 -1 10 LDWDW
13 Strasbourg 9315 17:19 -2 10 WLLLL
14 Auxerre 9315 13:23 -10 10 LDWLW
15 Angers 9225 9:17 -8 8 LDLLW
16 Estac Troyes 9225 7:16 -9 8 WDLLL
17 Le Mans 9144 11:18 -7 7 LDLLW
18 Le Havre 9027 9:20 -11 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 L. SinayokoParis FC 8goals 5assists 9apps
2 E. LepaulRennes 7goals 0assists 7apps
3 C. ArcherAuxerre 6goals 0assists 7apps
4 A. GouiriMarseille 6goals 3assists 9apps
5 E. WahiNice 6goals 2assists 8apps
6 C. TengstedtToulouse 5goals 1assists 7apps
7 Gessime YassineStrasbourg 4goals 3assists 9apps
8 Ferran TorresParis Saint Germain 4goals 1assists 9apps
9 L. AjorqueStade Brestois 29 4goals 1assists 9apps
10 S. SzymańskiRennes 4goals 1assists 7apps

Recent form

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 0 Toulouse W
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 4 - 3 Le Havre W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Marseille L
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Angers 2 - 5 Marseille W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Marseille 0 - 1 Olympiakos Piraeus L
11 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 0 - 2 Marseille W
20 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain L
17 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Beşiktaş 4 - 1 Marseille L
11 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Rennes 1 - 0 Marseille L
06 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 3 Paris FC L
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Paris FC 3 - 1 Monaco W
24 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lens 2 - 1 Paris FC L
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Paris FC 4 - 3 Rennes W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 0 Paris FC L
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Paris FC 2 - 1 Strasbourg W
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Paris FC 0 - 0 Lyon D
06 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 3 Paris FC W
30 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Paris FC 3 - 0 Nice W
22 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 0 - 0 Paris FC D
15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Angers 3 - 2 Paris FC L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Marseille Draw Paris FC
Value spotted: Marseille win at 1.83 (model 79% vs market 54%)

Most likely scores

3-1 7%
4-1 7%
3-0 5.6%
4-0 5.6%
5-1 5.6%
2-1 5.2%

Expected goals: 4 Marseille · 1.25 Paris FC

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals84%
Over 3.5 goals72%
Both teams score66%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
43%
Form
57%
57%
Attack
43%
0%
Defence
100%
0%
Goal model
0%
80%
Head to head
20%
64%
Goals
36%
61%
Overall
39%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Marseille Paris FC

Side by side

Marseille Paris FC
2 Played 2
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 1
1 Lost 0
2 Goals scored per game 1.5
1 Goals conceded per game 0
4 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 3 / 0
1 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 0
4-0 Biggest win 3-0
2-0 Biggest defeat -
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

Marseille vs Paris FC: preview and prediction

Marseille host Paris FC in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 3) on Sunday, 6th September 2026 at 19:45 at Orange Vélodrome, Marseille. Marseille sit 6th in the table and Paris FC 4th.

Marseille are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-W). Paris FC are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-L-W).

In the last 2 meetings, Marseille won 1, Paris FC won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 5.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 4 goals for Marseille and 1.25 for Paris FC. It gives Marseille the edge (79% home win, 9% draw, 7% away win), 84% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 3-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.24. We also like Over 2.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Marseille vs Paris FC FAQs

What is the best prediction for Marseille vs Paris FC?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.24 odds).

Who will win Marseille vs Paris FC?

Marseille are favourites: our model gives Marseille 79%, the draw 9% and Paris FC 7%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 66% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 5.3 goals in total, with a 84% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Marseille vs Paris FC?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 6th September 2026 at 19:45 at Orange Vélodrome, Marseille.

Who is the referee?

C. Turpin is in charge of this game.