Marsaxlokk vs Floriana Prediction, H2H & Stats

Malta: Premier League · Second Stage - Top 6 - 29
Marsaxlokk

Marsaxlokk

5th in table
WWLLW
Full time
1:3
HT 1 - 2
Floriana

Floriana

1st in table
DDDLL
7' Dodo
13' F. Varela
21' O. Spiteri
38' D. Simkus
42' P. Mbong
53' F. Varela
78' N. Muscat
Wednesday, 15 April 2026
M. De Gabriele

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
0Marsaxlokk wins
2Draws
5Floriana wins
2.1Goals per game
71%Both scored
57%Over 2.5
18 Feb 2026Premier League Floriana 0 - 0 Marsaxlokk
03 Jan 2026FA Trophy Floriana 1 - 0 Marsaxlokk
23 Nov 2025Premier League Floriana 2 - 1 Marsaxlokk
20 Sep 2025Premier League Marsaxlokk 1 - 2 Floriana
12 Apr 2025Premier League Floriana 2 - 1 Marsaxlokk
09 Feb 2025Premier League Floriana 2 - 1 Marsaxlokk
21 Oct 2024Premier League Marsaxlokk 1 - 1 Floriana

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Floriana 11722 17:11 +6 23 WWWLW
2 Hamrun Spartans 11641 15:6 +9 22 WLLWW
3 Valletta FC 11641 16:8 +8 22 LLWLL
4 Sliema Wanderers 11542 16:14 +2 19 LDDWD
5 Marsaxlokk 11533 14:11 +3 18 LWWWW
6 Birkirkara 11443 12:8 +4 16 DDDLW
7 Hibernians 11434 20:18 +2 15 LWDLD
8 Gzira United 11344 14:18 -4 13 LDLWL
9 Mosta 11326 13:19 -6 11 WDLDW
10 Zabbar St. Patrick 11245 11:14 -3 10 WLWDD
11 Naxxar Lions 11128 10:18 -8 5 LLDLD
12 Tarxien Rainbows 11128 8:21 -13 5 LWWDD

Top scorers

Premier League
1 F. VarelaFloriana 8goals 0assists 33apps
2 MiullenHibernians 8goals 0assists 18apps
3 N. KoffiHamrun Spartans 4goals 0assists 16apps
4 S. SmajlagićHamrun Spartans 2goals 0assists 9apps
5 Chico TeixeiraFloriana 1goals 0assists 20apps
6 Toni SilvaZabbar St. Patrick 1goals 0assists 10apps
7 Gilson CostaTarxien Rainbows 1goals 0assists 7apps
8 Luís MotaZabbar St. Patrick 0goals 0assists 12apps
9 J. QuitongoTarxien Rainbows 0goals 0assists 6apps
10 André SerucaSliema Wanderers 0goals 0assists 5apps

Recent form

6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026Premier League Gzira United 0 - 5 Marsaxlokk W
24 Oct 2026Premier League Sliema Wanderers 2 - 1 Marsaxlokk L
21 Oct 2026Premier League Birzebbuga 2 - 0 Marsaxlokk L
16 Oct 2026Premier League Marsaxlokk 2 - 0 Birkirkara W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Marsaxlokk 2 - 1 Zabbar St. Patrick W
18 Sep 2026Premier League Hamrun Spartans 4 - 1 Marsaxlokk L
12 Sep 2026Premier League Floriana 2 - 5 Marsaxlokk W
05 Sep 2026Premier League Marsaxlokk 1 - 1 Mosta D
28 Aug 2026Premier League Valletta FC 1 - 2 Marsaxlokk W
21 Aug 2026Premier League Marsaxlokk 1 - 0 Hibernians W
2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Premier League Floriana 0 - 1 Valletta FC L
26 Oct 2026Premier League Floriana 1 - 2 Zabbar St. Patrick L
22 Oct 2026Premier League Birkirkara 1 - 1 Floriana D
18 Oct 2026Premier League Floriana 3 - 3 Mosta D
11 Oct 2026Premier League Floriana 1 - 1 Balzan FC D
20 Sep 2026Premier League Hibernians 0 - 4 Floriana W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Floriana 2 - 5 Marsaxlokk L
07 Sep 2026Super Cup Floriana 0 - 2 Valletta FC L
02 Sep 2026Premier League Floriana 4 - 1 Gzira United W
29 Aug 2026Premier League Hamrun Spartans 1 - 1 Floriana D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Marsaxlokk Draw Floriana
Value spotted: Marsaxlokk win at 3.76 (model 30% vs market 24%)

Most likely scores

0-1 13.2%
1-1 13.2%
0-0 10.5%
1-0 10.5%
0-2 8.2%
1-2 8.2%

Expected goals: 1 Marsaxlokk · 1.25 Floriana

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams score45%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
42%
Form
58%
44%
Attack
56%
36%
Defence
64%
28%
Goal model
72%
7%
Head to head
93%
30%
Goals
70%
31%
Overall
68%

Season numbers

Premier League 2025

When the goals come

5
0-15'
7
4
16-30'
12
7
31-45'
5
6
46-60'
8
5
61-75'
5
5
76-90'
8
1
0-15'
6
8
16-30'
0
7
31-45'
4
3
46-60'
4
6
61-75'
1
8
76-90'
6
Marsaxlokk Floriana

Side by side

Marsaxlokk Floriana
28 Played 28
13 Won 18
8 Drawn 7
7 Lost 3
1.3 Goals scored per game 1.6
1.1 Goals conceded per game 0.8
1.5 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 1.5
8 Clean sheets 12
7 Failed to score 5
2 Longest winning run 5
3-1 Biggest win 4-1
0-2 Biggest defeat 1-3
0/0 Penalties scored 4/4

Marsaxlokk vs Floriana: preview and prediction

Marsaxlokk host Floriana in the Malta Premier League (Second Stage - Top 6 - 29) on Wednesday, 15th April 2026 at 19:30. Marsaxlokk sit 5th in the table and Floriana 1st.

Marsaxlokk are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-L-W). Floriana are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-D-L-L).

In the last 7 meetings, Marsaxlokk won 0, Floriana won 5 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% and over 2.5 goals in 57%.

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Marsaxlokk and 1.25 for Floriana. It gives Floriana the edge (30% home win, 28% draw, 42% away win), 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.19. We also like Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Marsaxlokk vs Floriana FAQs

What is the best prediction for Marsaxlokk vs Floriana?

Our top tip is Free Tip: Away or Draw (1.19 odds).

Who will win Marsaxlokk vs Floriana?

Floriana are favourites: our model gives Marsaxlokk 30%, the draw 28% and Floriana 42%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 45% chance in our model, and it happened in 71% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Marsaxlokk vs Floriana?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 15th April 2026 at 19:30.

Who is the referee?

M. De Gabriele is in charge of this game.